4 _ Book Endorsement: Autoheterosexual
5 _ I'm Dropping the Pseudonym From This Blog
8 _ Blanchard's Dangerous Idea and the Plight of the Lucid Crossdreamer (March 2016–December 2017)
9 _ People, Evolved Social-Control Mechanisms, and Rocks (January 2017–April 2017)
10 _ A Hill of Validity in Defense of Meaning (November 2018–April 2019)
14 _ Reply to Scott Alexander on Autogenderphilia
15 _ Book Review: Imogen Binnie's Nevada
16 _ Hrunkner Unnerby and the Shallowness of Progress
18 _ If Clarity Seems Like Death to Them (April 2019–January 2021)
19 _ Agreeing With Stalin in Ways that Exhibit Generally Rationalist Principles (February 2021)
20 _ Zevi's Choice (April 2021–April 2022)
21 _ Standing Under the Same Sky (December 2022)
22 _ The Last Indictment (January 2023–July 2023)
25 _ Janet Mock on Late Transitioners
29 _ Book Review: Charles Murray's Facing Reality (short version)
32 _ Elision _vs_. Choice
33 _ Multi-Product Review: AI for AGP
34 _ Link: "On Transitions, Freedom of Form, [...]"
35 _ Beckett Mariner Is Trans https://www.reddit.com/r/DaystromInstitute/comments/in3g92/was_mariner_a_teenager_on_the_enterprised/
41 _ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data
42 _ Book Review: Charles Murray's Facing Reality: Two Truths About Race in America (with coda)
44 _ Escort (cut §, needs title)?
45 _ Biological Sex Actually Exists
46 _ Racial Pseudoscience on the Faculty https://archive.ph/ZxVYk
47 _ Never Going to Find You Faking
48 _ Body Anxiety Posting, Month Year
49 _ "But I'm Not Quite Sure What That Means"
50 _ Yardstick abolition pessimism https://culturallyboundgender.wordpress.com/2018/11/13/gender-identity-isnt-a-box-its-a-yardstick/
51 _ ASL Is Not a Language
52 _ Gaussian Gender Issues
54 _ reinterpretting all of Hannah Montana album lyrics as an AGP narrative
55 _ my medianworld: https://www.glowfic.com/replies/1619639#reply-1619639
57 _ "Reducing" Bias and Improving "Safety"
58 _ Unicode adopt-a-character?? (would it be wrong to adopt "♀"?)
59 _ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WikzbCsFjpLTRQmXn/declustering-reclustering-and-filling-in-thingspace
61 _ Karnofsky's presentism
62 _ motivation for positing meta-attraction
63 _ Joint Book Review: Kathleen Stock's Material Girls and Kathryn Paige Harden's The Genetic Lottery
64 _ Comments on the Conspiracies of dath ilan
68 _ Model-Free Happiness
71 _ "Assigned at Birth" Is a Schelling Point (If You Live in an Insane Dystopia Where the Concept of Sex Is Somehow Controversial)
72 _ Multi-Book Review: Various Sex-Ed Books for Children
73 _ "Why the Hell It Means So Much to Me"
76 More minor or Needs Development—
77 _ Correct Diagnosis as Common Interest: ideological detrans as a mirror of ideological trans: https://reclaimingtrans.wordpress.com/
78 _ "Your Politics Are Interesting" as Worst Compliment
84 _ Link: Halifax Pride: https://www.halifaxpride.com/news/2021/5/28/halifax-public-library-response
85 _ Link: You're Kidding, Right?
86 _ Link: Lease Bound comic
87 _ Link: Quillette on Sons Becoming Daughters
88 _ Link: Babylon Bee "It's a Good Life" parody https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=20ALZgd6_Ek
92 _ agents with different learning algorithms would find it hard to agree on words?
94 * Objection: but then shouldn't we pick different words for the convergent and phylo clusters? Uncomfortable with wavering lines around "berry"
95 * Reply: story for how we end up with multiple senses attached to the same word
96 https://jsmp.dk/posts/2021-01-24-fruits/
98 Trading Political Favors Doesn't Build True Maps, But Correcting Errors Your Yourself Made, Does
100 (Rationalists don't exist)
101 > how to be a strong rationalist
102 https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/4thPHxgBCvteQjLv6/against-context-free-integrity
104 _ A Hill of Validity in Defense of Meaning / Casuistry Is Unbecoming: Replies to Eliezer Yudkowsky (I don't know how to do this)
106 _ E.Y. as case study on unconscious-lying and self-report ("their verbal theories contradict their own datapoints" https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10159408250519228?comment_id=10159411435619228&reply_comment_id=10159411567794228 )
109 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zersetzung and the GPT-3 neuron about Trump: imagine a short story, where you suddenly become more villainous in the eyes of the narrative, and it's because a greater fraction of your measure is in simulations written based on an unfavorable view of your legacy (you're only aware of this because the GPT-descendant is smart enough to try to correct for it)
111 philosophy-of-language replies,
114 _ Reddit: /r/philosophy, /r/TheMotte, /r/theschism, /r/SneerClub
115 _ tags: "The SF Bay Area", "Criticisms of the Rationalist Movement", "Postmortems & Retrospectives"
117 _ "Cis" is like "gentile"
118 _ The Sex/Gender Distinction Was a Mistake
119 _ Complicity (how do reasonable people cooperate with each other instead of dumb people in their own coalition)
121 _ Stereotypes are weak probabilistic inferences (Agreeableness d~0.5), category-membership is strong inference, the same word/signal hits both, but stereotypes are (or should be) easy to cancel; shifting default meaning onto stereotypes in order to suit trans (while still having the word attach to something) is a bad trade
122 _ Taxometrics and the Fallacy of the Insufficiently Relevant, Insufficiently Multivariate Experiment
124 _ https://www.facebook.com/duncan.sabien/posts/3936528276381860 "Natural does not always mean good." — natural does not always mean good, but at our current tech level, that's actually a really good prior
125 _ Novemember 2020 Political Notes; Or, Sen. Kelly Loeffler Is Mostly Living in a Simulation Now
126 _ Phenotypic Identity and Memetic Capture
130 _ Principles (transhumanism, and sanity)
131 _ reply to https://azdoine.tumblr.com/post/173995599942/a-reply-to-unremediatedgenderspace-on-reply-to http://archive.is/JSSNi
132 _ Cynical Theories review
133 _ Persongen/univariate fallacy/typical set
134 _ reply on psych prison https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4uvgb4/?context=3
135 _ Irreversible Damage review
136 _ Jessica/wiz AGP defense
137 _ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data prior: https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2019/07/19/how-many-trans-folk-are-there-really/ https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2017/04/16/getting-lost-in-the-crowd/
138 _ "More Than We Can Say": High-Dimensional Social Science and the Conjunction of Small Effect Sizes
139 _ Comment on "Towards decolonising computational sciences" https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.14258
140 _ My Identity Has a Better Brier Score Than Your Identity
141 _ Comment on "One Size Does Not Fit All: In Support of Psychotherapy for Gender Dysphoria" https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-020-01844-2 (tag: `review (paper)`)
142 _ the scapegoating dynamic
143 _ review of "What's the Big Secret?" (acknowledges gender-role conventions which are more salient when people are wearing clothes, but then tells the real answer)
144 _ reply to https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2020/11/16/hermeneutical-injustice-not-gaslighting/
145 _ Comment on "On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots" https://www.reddit.com/r/MachineLearning/comments/k77sxz/d_timnit_gebru_and_google_megathread/gepcliq/ https://doxa.substack.com/p/googles-colosseum
146 - The Causality of Ethnic Differences in COVID-19 Outcomes Is an Open
147 _ follow to "Point Man": prosletyzing religion
148 _ Larmarckian Transmission of FtM?!
152 optimized to confuse and intimidate people trying to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex, even if your conscious verbal narrative never says 'and now I will confuse and intimidate people who want to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex'!"
154 I should email caption bliggers and ask if they know about AGP
155 https://www.imagefap.com/profile/rickbennett
156 https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/03/swap-clinic-testimonial-i-can-work-with.html
157 https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/10/swap-clinic-win-win-win.html
159 reverse Wason selection task: https://twitter.com/ThetaGrunberg/status/1305296703088545792
161 (This needs to go into my "Motivations and Political Context")
162 Transitioning is easy if you project into the subspace spanned by "given name" and "preferred pronouns" and "frequency of wearing dresses." The problem is that it's not psychologically realistic to expect everyone else to just throw away all the other dimensions—people were using those dimensions!
164 (for Elision vs. Choice)
165 Speakers of my generation are more likely to say "person" when sex isn't relevant, whereas older works (pre-second wave feminism?) would actually say "man" (or "woman"—see how anachronistic it feels to put the female option second and in parentheses?), presumably not because human nature has changed that much, but because of shifting cultural priorities about when sex is "relevant." (Modern speakers similarly frown on mentioning race (https://agentultra.com/blog/the-black-man-stopped-me/) when it's not relevant.)
167 (My Identity Has a Better Brier Score)
168 I'm skeptical of "ace"—I think it's just an identity label that can be successfully marketed to otherwise-ordinary people in the bottom-quartile of libido, by an ideology that wants to sell people identity labels to get them to join the coalition of sexual minorities
169 You might reply: "But you identify as AGP, and attach emotional weight to that—isn't that just another identity label?"
170 but the thing about AGP is that, I actually have reason to believe it "fits" the territory of the underlying psychological variation
171 it's an expression of the theory that trans women (left-coded) and the subjects of that old Atlantic article about (right-coded) married crossdressers ("Conservative Men in Conservative Dresses") are the same thing
172 invariant under the cultural coding
175 _ Eugenics Is Actually Good, You Worthless Cowards
176 _ The One Where I Try to Be A Little More Explicit About What 'Autogynephilia' Actually Entails
177 _ No One Actually Wants to Change "Gender"
178 _ Ideology Is the General Case (working title)
179 _ Boundary Violations and Territory
180 _ three views on partisanship: "Hierarchy and Wings" "Bioleninism" "Democracy Cis and Trans"
181 _ Link: "AGPs! GROW A PAIR AND POLICE YOUR OWN COMMUNITY!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_qFxtJ7pxw Karen Davis
182 _ Gay + Trans = Straight
185 _ Walker correspondence
186 _ 30 Years of the Blank Slate (Cosmides-Tooby/Pinker/Murray)
187 _ "I Hope You're Happy, California"
188 _ Travis's Trilemma: Creepy, Crazy, or Protected-Class (working title)
189 _ Reply to Ozymandias on Lesbians and on Single-Sex Spaces
190 _ Answers on Great Divides: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2010/08/questions-for-great-divides.html
191 _ Film Review: Your Name
192 _ World of Masks https://twitter.com/zackmdavis/status/1228093035042541569
193 _ glomerular filtration rate https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/gq50mo/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_may_25_2020/frvrhwg/
194 _ I Am Very Bad at Keeping Secrets and Am Therefore Very Reluctant to Offer Confidentiality Promises
196 _ starting to lose sympathy for my crazy past-self
198 "You're conflating sex and gender"—the problem is, Does anyone actually want to change "gender"?—they're bundled for a reason
200 it's important to have language for psychology because you can't point to pictures
202 Training Data—"get used" to the new definitions, in time
204 "You can follow people you disagree with!" makes sense if you think of
208 if pro-reality trans people are allied with more numerous anti-reality trans people, that incentivizes me to join an anti-trans coalition, when what I actually (should) want is to cherry-pick the pro-reality people
210 another thing keeping me from trans-IDing: trans is "marked"; choosing it would mean associating with the crazy. Normal Society (with men named Zack) has its own madnesses and crimes, but
213 Vocabulary as Capital Investment
215 _ Challenges of Mounting an Ideological Crusade
217 B.F. being smart-but-dense
219 how taxonomy/typology emerges from Bayesian networks
221 _ On Being Stereotyped Badly (working title)
225 https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/trvFowBfiKiYi7spb/open-thread-july-2019/comment/RYhKrKAxiQxY3FcHa
226 > I think sometimes I talk in a way that makes me seem more politically naïve than I actually am, because I feel as if the “naïve” attitude is in some way normative? (“You really think someone would do that? Just go on the internet and tell lies?”)
229 The Wisdom of Nature (I like the idea of transhumanism, but in practice, biology is just too complicated) https://nickbostrom.com/evolution.pdf
232 _ Product Review: FaceApp
234 _ The Strategy of "Apartment Patty" — the outrage strategy only works if you have a coalition to back you up. Deterrent: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/05/case-social-media-mobs/612202/ Another example: https://twitter.com/jaimetoons/status/1271300265170186240
236 Psychiatrist's response to me is kind of case-in-point https://old.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4valma/
238 you regress to your group's mean—but that depends on how you draw the category boundaries around group membership! This could be a good math post!! https://humanvarieties.org/2017/07/01/measurement-error-regression-to-the-mean-and-group-differences/
240 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia "An important fantasy for some individuals is being transformed into the preferred object (such as a statue) and experiencing an associated state of immobility or paralysis."
242 address accusation that I conflate "passing" and biosex
246 Positioning (don't want to prematurely alienate people you're trying to rescue)
248 conservatives complain about low-time preference ppl having too many kids—but from a evolutionary perspective, they're more evolutionarily fit
250 A Science Fiction Story Idea I'm Not Skilled Enough to Write
252 Names and Genders Are Not Relevantly Analogous
254 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia didn't make it into Lawrence's erotic target location paper, did it?
258 Anne Lawrence on AGP Teen Transition
259 Anne Lawrence on Unapologetic Autogynephilic Transsexualism
261 Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization
265 explain my blunder in https://twitter.com/jessi_cata/status/1188567229987577856
267 reply to https://surveyanon.wordpress.com/2019/10/27/the-mathematical-consequences-of-a-toy-model-of-gender-transition/
269 testimony on trans girl periods: http://www.onwednesdays.net/trans-girl-periods/
274 Reading Comprehension Is Rape Culture
276 Reply to David R. MacIver on Gendering
278 Trying to Be Explicit
280 Instrumental Categories, and War
282 (lit-search strategy: go through the del Guidice "Multivariate Misgivings" article and its citations; the Archer paper also mentioned this)
284 Commentary on "Blegg Mode"
286 Faster Than Science (Transgender Edition)
288 (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GEJzPwY8JedcNX2qz/blegg-mode)
290 karaoke, celebrity, cognitive load; I don't want people to do that for me
292 Option<String>?! https://web.archive.org/web/20160731010249/https://qntm.org/gay
295 _ "Lies to Cis People", a.k.a., "Lies"
296 _ I Mean, Yes, I Agree That Man Should Allocate Some More Categories, But
299 https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4ZvJab25tDebB8FGE/you-have-about-five-words : well, that explains the TWAW mantra
301 The Parable of the Good Witch
303 First-Offender Models and the Unilateralist's Blessing
304 The Parable of the Faithful Man and the Cowardly Priest
306 Game Theory of "Apartment Patty"
308 Virtue Signaling Is Costly and Honest
309 (in response to Kosoy's objection)
311 Servants of the Egregore (write-up of egregore theory as told by "Wilhelm")
313 Kolmogorov's Iron Triangle; Or, the Not-Being-a-Worthless-Coward Option (epigraph quote: Raleigh's "The Lie")—(include analogy: the fear that atheism would lead to immortality given that ppl don't have to fear Hell, wouldn't have seemed obviously absurd at the time) — honesty, ability to think, and mainstream credibility. The Kolmogorov option sacrifices a lot of honesty in exchange for mainstream credibility. This might seem like a good trade until you consider that "honesty" and "ability to think" aren't independent (because people are bad at compartmentalization and we need to talk to each other to think together).
315 Research Question: Complicity
318 Where to Segment a Conversation When There's Stuff You Won't Touch, Without Violating the Virtue of Evenness
319 In Praise of Cartesianism (you need to _really_ understand "A Human's Guide to Words" before you can do high-grade good-faith social constructionism)
321 Sex Differences and Commonsense Priors (I have parsimony intuitions that make "AGP is caused by pollution" or "AGP is normal in cis women" or "hormone receptors distributions are the same" seem not worth considering)
323 In the Presence of Mimickry, Extension and Intension Simplicity Trade-Off
325 Objectivity as a Rhetorical Strategy: probability, words, morality
326 Focus on the Simple Case (accurate maps can have bad effects, but that's a weird second-order analysis)
329 A Human's Abridged Guide to Gender Words
333 in a world where we _actually had_ sex change technology, self-identity doctrine _wouldn't even occur to anyone_
335 Operationalization of Bad Faith: if people make reasoning errors that they wouldn't make with another topic having the same underlying structure
339 The Charity Convergence Trap
347 a big essay about Batesian mimickry
350 _ Codes of Convergence; Or, Smile More
352 _ "I Will Fight [...]": LGBT Patriotism and the Moral Fine-Tuning Objection
359 _ The View From Nowhere
363 _ reply to Ozy on https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2017/08/03/rapid-onset-gender-dysphoria-is-bad-science/ (when marketing in Culture War thread, maybe hat tip https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/9cir3w/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_03/e5c1h2c/ )
364 _ Q An Infovist's Advisory; Or, Standing Athwart History ...
369 ✓ Interlude XVII (not all men)
371 can the comment on "Bit Players" actually fit on this blog (I didn't empathize with offense at fake physics, but I can take offense at maximum-entropy psychology): epigraph quote, "It's Only a Paper Moon"
373 Q As Well for a Sheep as a Lamb; Or, Charity, Objectivity, and ...
376 _ Stereotypes, Models, and Cognition: Beyond Maximum-Entropy Psychology
377 Imperfect Trait Measurements Regress to the Mean
378 Q The Gender Czar's Compromise
382 Q Book Review: Nevada
383 Product Review: Oculus Go
385 All You Had to Say https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/8xa97t/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_july_09_2018/e228vyj/
391 Q Time Travel Isn't Real; Or, Yes, the Only Real Trans Woman Is a Transitioned Trans Woman
392 _ The Neglect of Probability Fallacy; Or, You Do Not Have an Intersex Condition
393 Q Simple Models Plus Noise Are Better Than Pretending Not to Have a Model
394 Falsifiability and What We Expect Not to See
396 Q The Hand I Was Dealt
397 "diagonalize" http://gender-decoder.katmatfield.com/ by running the research paper it was based on through it
398 Q Reduce Gender Identities to Gender Goals
399 Threnody for the Transhumanism of My Youth
400 of course trans genders are less natural; that's the entire fucking point
401 People Really Don't Know Why They Do Things
402 Q I Want to See You Be Brave
403 Passing Is Legitimacy, Legitimacy Is Passing
404 All Men Benefit From Patriarchy
405 (the story about my name)
406 Review of Nerve Endings: The New Trans Erotic
407 on the poor literary quality of TG captions
408 "Another Me I Haven't Met" (SacAnime cosplay review)
409 go back to east bay tg club night?
410 Product Review: Glamour Boutique's Vee-String Bladder
411 Q This Is Worth a Fight
412 "Trans Women Are Women" is a Positive-Affect Instance of the Noncentral Fallacy
416 story of Gina and Vern selected for GNC
417 story about women engineers and male businesspeople
418 story about race of humans who have a "sneaky" camoflauge form and someone with their analogue of AGP tries to deliberately lower his status to get it
419 fix fic for that one episode of _The Orville_