2 ✓ The Feeling Is Mutual
4 _ Novemember 2020 Political Notes; Or, Sen. Kelly Loeffler Is Mostly Living in a Simulation Now
6 _ Nixon on What You Can't Say quotepost? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PwXOEFK6Swo more on don't say it 18:30
9 Main path (important posts)—
12 _ Sexual Dimorphism in Yudkowsky's Sequences, in Relation to My Gender Problems
13 _ Unnatural Categories Are Optimized for Deception (LW)
14 _ Motivation and Political Context for My Philosophy of Language Agenda
15 _ Feedback on Unnatural Categories (working group + TurnTrout + Rich + Tetra + Steven + Said + Elizabeth (https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/rhZge5qmZKwJ8BMDM/open-and-welcome-thread-march-2020#comment-XG44nfNcpq3BXj7hB) + paid-editor)
18 _ I think I do want to ping V.K.?
19 _ comment to V."C."S. on "Maybe Lying Can't Exist?!"
20 _ comment on W.D. on "Maybe Lying Doesn't Exist"
21 _ "epilogue, thank you, theory of C., goodbye, &c." email to S.A.
22 _ explain "algorthimic" playing dumb to S.A.
25 _ Reddit submissions: /r/philosophy and /r/TheMotte
27 _ tag "Motivation and Political Context": "The SF Bay Area", "Criticisms of the Rationalist Movement", "Postmortems & Retrospectives"
31 _ Friendship Practices of the Secret-Sharing Plain Speech Valley Squirrels
32 _ Yardstick abolition pessimism https://culturallyboundgender.wordpress.com/2018/11/13/gender-identity-isnt-a-box-its-a-yardstick/
34 _ reductionist rebuttal to "so you think lesbians aren't women"
35 _ A Previous Life's War
36 _ Hrunkner Unnerby and the Shallowness of Progress
37 _ reply to https://azdoine.tumblr.com/post/173995599942/a-reply-to-unremediatedgenderspace-on-reply-to http://archive.is/JSSNi
38 _ reply to https://deathisbadblog.com/the-real-transphobes-are-the-ones-we-made-along-the-way/
39 _ Beckett Mariner Is Trans https://www.reddit.com/r/DaystromInstitute/comments/in3g92/was_mariner_a_teenager_on_the_enterprised/
40 _ Cynical Theories review
41 _ Persongen/univariate fallacy/typical set
42 _ reply on psych prison https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4uvgb4/?context=3
43 _ Irreversible Damage review
44 _ Jessica/wiz AGP defense
45 _ Elision _vs_. Choice (working title)
46 _ Phenotypic Identity and Memetic Capture
47 _ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data prior: https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2019/07/19/how-many-trans-folk-are-there-really/ https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2017/04/16/getting-lost-in-the-crowd/
48 _ "More Than We Can Say": High-Dimensional Social Science and the Conjunction of Small Effect Sizes
49 _ Comment on "Towards decolonising computational sciences" https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.14258
50 _ My Identity Has a Better Brier Score Than Your Identity
51 _ The Causality of Ethnic Differences in COVID-19 Outcomes Is an Open Empirical Question
52 _ TV Review: "The Trouble With Edward"
53 _ Comment on "One Size Does Not Fit All: In Support of Psychotherapy for Gender Dysphoria" https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-020-01844-2 (tag: `review (paper)`)
56 optimized to confuse and intimidate people trying to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex, even if your conscious verbal narrative never says 'and now I will confuse and intimidate people who want to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex'!"
58 I should email caption bliggers and ask if they know about AGP
59 https://www.imagefap.com/profile/rickbennett
60 https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/03/swap-clinic-testimonial-i-can-work-with.html
61 https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/10/swap-clinic-win-win-win.html
63 reverse Wason selection task: https://twitter.com/ThetaGrunberg/status/1305296703088545792
65 I'm not usually—at least, not always—so much of a scrub as to play chess with a pigeon (which shits on the board and then struts around like it's won), or wrestle with a pig (which gets you both dirty, and the pig likes it), or dispute what the Tortise said to Achilles
67 (This needs to go into my "Motivations and Political Context")
68 Transitioning is easy if you project into the subspace spanned by "given name" and "preferred pronouns" and "frequency of wearing dresses." The problem is that it's not psychologically realistic to expect everyone else to just throw away all the other dimensions—people were using those dimensions!
70 (for Elision vs. Choice)
71 Speakers of my generation are more likely to say "person" when sex isn't relevant, whereas older works (pre-second wave feminism?) would actually say "man" (or "woman"—see how anachronistic it feels to put the female option second and in parentheses?), presumably not because human nature has changed that much, but because of shifting cultural priorities about when sex is "relevant." (Modern speakers similarly frown on mentioning race (https://agentultra.com/blog/the-black-man-stopped-me/) when it's not relevant.)
74 (My Identity Has a Better Brier Score)
75 I'm skeptical of "ace"—I think it's just an identity label that can be successfully marketed to otherwise-ordinary people in the bottom-quartile of libido, by an ideology that wants to sell people identity labels to get them to join the coalition of sexual minorities
76 You might reply: "But you identify as AGP, and attach emotional weight to that—isn't that just another identity label?"
77 but the thing about AGP is that, I actually have reason to believe it "fits" the territory of the underlying psychological variation
78 it's an expression of the theory that trans women (left-coded) and the subjects of that old Atlantic article about (right-coded) married crossdressers ("Conservative Men in Conservative Dresses") are the same thing
79 invariant under the cultural coding
83 _ Eugenics Is Actually Good, You Worthless Cowards
84 _ The One Where I Try to Be A Little More Explicit About What 'Autogynephilia' Actually Entails
85 _ No One Actually Wants to Change "Gender"
86 _ Ideology Is the General Case (working title)
87 _ Boundary Violations and Territory
88 _ three views on partisanship: "Hierarchy and Wings" "Bioleninism" "Democracy Cis and Trans"
90 _ Gay + Trans = Straight
93 _ Walker correspondence
94 _ 30 Years of the Blank Slate (Cosmides-Tooby/Pinker/Murray)
95 _ "I Hope You're Happy, California"
96 _ Travis's Trilemma: Creepy, Crazy, or Protected-Class (working title)
97 _ Reply to Ozymandias on Lesbians and on Single-Sex Spaces
98 _ Answers on Great Divides: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2010/08/questions-for-great-divides.html
99 _ Film Review: Your Name
100 _ World of Masks https://twitter.com/zackmdavis/status/1228093035042541569
101 _ "But I'm Not Quite Sure What That Means": Costs of Nonbinary Gender as a Social Technology
102 _ "I Tell Myself to Let the Story End"; Or, A Hill of Validity ... (UUT)
103 _ glomerular filtration rate https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/gq50mo/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_may_25_2020/frvrhwg/
104 _ I Am Very Bad at Keeping Secrets and Am Therefore Very Reluctant to Offer Confidentiality Promises
106 _ starting to lose sympathy for my crazy past-self
108 "You're conflating sex and gender"—the problem is, Does anyone actually want to change "gender"?—they're bundled for a reason
112 _ COVID life-years (rather than deaths)
113 _ Signals, Deception, and the Precession of Simulacra (LW)
114 _ Contra Scott Alexander on Mental Illness; Or, Oh God, Please Don't (aAL/LW)
115 _ Comment on Wireheading /r/rational
116 _ Second Derivative (Paul Christiano on growth timelines)
117 _ Selective Reporting and Clustering
118 _ Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization—marginally neglected truths are more
119 _ Explicit Disjunction vs. Contradictory Arguments from a Bottom Line
120 _ How they Pin It Down: Equal Environments Assumption Edition https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cXzTpSiCrNGzeoRAz/conjunction-controversy-or-how-they-nail-it-down
121 _ Social Construction is an Embedded Agency Problem
123 it's important to have language for psychology because you can't point to pictures
125 Training Data—"get used" to the new definitions, in time
127 "You can follow people you disagree with!" makes sense if you think of
131 if pro-reality trans people are allied with more numerous anti-reality trans people, that incentivizes me to join an anti-trans coalition, when what I actually (should) want is to cherry-pick the pro-reality people
133 another thing keeping me from trans-IDing: trans is "marked"; choosing it would mean associating with the crazy. Normal Society (with men named Zack) has its own madnesses and crimes, but
135 Vocabulary as Capital Investment
137 _ Challenges of Mounting an Ideological Crusade
139 B.F. being smart-but-dense
141 how taxonomy/typology emerges from Bayesian networks
143 _ On Being Stereotyped Badly (working title)
147 https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/trvFowBfiKiYi7spb/open-thread-july-2019/comment/RYhKrKAxiQxY3FcHa
148 > I think sometimes I talk in a way that makes me seem more politically naïve than I actually am, because I feel as if the “naïve” attitude is in some way normative? (“You really think someone would do that? Just go on the internet and tell lies?”)
150 Memetics vs. Discourse
151 Cromwell's Rule Is About Symmetry, Not Fairness
153 The Motte-and-Bailey Doctrine as Compression Artifact
154 Trading Political Favors Doesn't Build True Maps, But Correcting Errors Your Yourself Made, Does
156 The Wisdom of Nature (I like the idea of transhumanism, but in practice, biology is just too complicated) https://nickbostrom.com/evolution.pdf
159 _ Product Review: FaceApp
161 _ The Strategy of "Apartment Patty" — the outrage strategy only works if you have a coalition to back you up. Deterrent: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/05/case-social-media-mobs/612202/ Another example: https://twitter.com/jaimetoons/status/1271300265170186240
163 Psychiatrist's response to me is kind of case-in-point https://old.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4valma/
165 you regress to your group's mean—but that depends on how you draw the category boundaries around group membership! This could be a good math post!! https://humanvarieties.org/2017/07/01/measurement-error-regression-to-the-mean-and-group-differences/
167 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia "An important fantasy for some individuals is being transformed into the preferred object (such as a statue) and experiencing an associated state of immobility or paralysis."
169 address accusation that I conflate "passing" and biosex
173 Positioning (don't want to prematurely alienate people you're trying to rescue)
175 conservatives complain about low-time preference ppl having too many kids—but from a evolutionary perspective, they're more evolutionarily fit
177 A Science Fiction Story Idea I'm Not Skilled Enough to Write
179 Names and Genders Are Not Relevantly Analogous
181 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia didn't make it into Lawrence's erotic target location paper, did it?
185 Anne Lawrence on AGP Teen Transition
186 Anne Lawrence on Unapologetic Autogynephilic Transsexualism
188 Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization
192 explain my blunder in https://twitter.com/jessi_cata/status/1188567229987577856
194 reply to https://surveyanon.wordpress.com/2019/10/27/the-mathematical-consequences-of-a-toy-model-of-gender-transition/
196 testimony on trans girl periods: http://www.onwednesdays.net/trans-girl-periods/
201 Reading Comprehension Is Rape Culture
203 Reply to David R. MacIver on Gendering
205 Trying to Be Explicit
207 Instrumental Categories, and War
209 (lit-search strategy: go through the del Guidice "Multivariate Misgivings" article and its citations; the Archer paper also mentioned this)
211 Commentary on "Blegg Mode"
213 Faster Than Science (Transgender Edition)
215 (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GEJzPwY8JedcNX2qz/blegg-mode)
217 karaoke, celebrity, cognitive load; I don't want people to do that for me
219 Option<String>?! https://web.archive.org/web/20160731010249/https://qntm.org/gay
222 _ "Lies to Cis People", a.k.a., "Lies"
223 _ I Mean, Yes, I Agree That Man Should Allocate Some More Categories, But
226 https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4ZvJab25tDebB8FGE/you-have-about-five-words : well, that explains the TWAW mantra
228 The Parable of the Good Witch
230 First-Offender Models and the Unilateralist's Blessing
231 The Parable of the Faithful Man and the Cowardly Priest
233 Game Theory of "Apartment Patty"
235 Virtue Signaling Is Costly and Honest
236 (in response to Kosoy's objection)
238 Servants of the Egregore (write-up of egregore theory as told by "Wilhelm")
240 Kolmogorov's Iron Triangle; Or, the Not-Being-a-Worthless-Coward Option (epigraph quote: Raleigh's "The Lie")—(include analogy: the fear that atheism would lead to immortality given that ppl don't have to fear Hell, wouldn't have seemed obviously absurd at the time) — honesty, ability to think, and mainstream credibility. The Kolmogorov option sacrifices a lot of honesty in exchange for mainstream credibility. This might seem like a good trade until you consider that "honesty" and "ability to think" aren't independent (because people are bad at compartmentalization and we need to talk to each other to think together).
242 Research Question: Complicity
245 Where to Segment a Conversation When There's Stuff You Won't Touch, Without Violating the Virtue of Evenness
246 In Praise of Cartesianism (you need to _really_ understand "A Human's Guide to Words" before you can do high-grade good-faith social constructionism)
248 Sex Differences and Commonsense Priors (I have parsimony intuitions that make "AGP is caused by pollution" or "AGP is normal in cis women" or "hormone receptors distributions are the same" seem not worth considering)
250 In the Presence of Mimickry, Extension and Intension Simplicity Trade-Off
252 Objectivity as a Rhetorical Strategy: probability, words, morality
253 Focus on the Simple Case (accurate maps can have bad effects, but that's a weird second-order analysis)
254 Self-Identity as Focal Point; Or, Schelf-Identity
257 A Human's Abridged Guide to Gender Words
261 in a world where we _actually had_ sex change technology, self-identity doctrine _wouldn't even occur to anyone_
263 Operationalization of Bad Faith: if people make reasoning errors that they wouldn't make with another topic having the same underlying structure
267 The Charity Convergence Trap
275 a big essay about Batesian mimickry
278 _ Codes of Convergence; Or, Smile More
280 _ "I Will Fight [...]": LGBT Patriotism and the Moral Fine-Tuning Objection
287 _ The View From Nowhere
291 _ reply to Ozy on https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2017/08/03/rapid-onset-gender-dysphoria-is-bad-science/ (when marketing in Culture War thread, maybe hat tip https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/9cir3w/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_03/e5c1h2c/ )
292 _ Q An Infovist's Advisory; Or, Standing Athwart History ...
294 Q Blanchard's Dangerous Idea and the Plight of the Lucid Crossdreamer; Or, Could Self-Reports Really Be That Wrong??
298 ✓ Interlude XVII (not all men)
300 can the comment on "Bit Players" actually fit on this blog (I didn't empathize with offense at fake physics, but I can take offense at maximum-entropy psychology): epigraph quote, "It's Only a Paper Moon"
302 Q As Well for a Sheep as a Lamb; Or, Charity, Objectivity, and ...
305 _ Stereotypes, Models, and Cognition: Beyond Maximum-Entropy Psychology
306 Imperfect Trait Measurements Regress to the Mean
307 Q The Gender Czar's Compromise
311 Q Book Review: Nevada
312 Product Review: Oculus Go
314 All You Had to Say https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/8xa97t/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_july_09_2018/e228vyj/
320 Q Time Travel Isn't Real; Or, Yes, the Only Real Trans Woman Is a Transitioned Trans Woman
321 _ The Neglect of Probability Fallacy; Or, You Do Not Have an Intersex Condition
322 Q Simple Models Plus Noise Are Better Than Pretending Not to Have a Model
323 Falsifiability and What We Expect Not to See
325 Q The Hand I Was Dealt
326 "diagonalize" http://gender-decoder.katmatfield.com/ by running the research paper it was based on through it
327 Q Reduce Gender Identities to Gender Goals
328 Threnody for the Transhumanism of My Youth
329 of course trans genders are less natural; that's the entire fucking point
330 People Really Don't Know Why They Do Things
331 Q I Want to See You Be Brave
332 Passing Is Legitimacy, Legitimacy Is Passing
333 All Men Benefit From Patriarchy
334 (the story about my name)
335 Review of Nerve Endings: The New Trans Erotic
336 on the poor literary quality of TG captions
337 "Another Me I Haven't Met" (SacAnime cosplay review)
338 go back to east bay tg club night?
339 Product Review: Glamour Boutique's Vee-String Bladder
340 Q This Is Worth a Fight
341 "Trans Women Are Women" is a Positive-Affect Instance of the Noncentral Fallacy
345 story of Gina and Vern selected for GNC
346 story about women engineers and male businesspeople
347 story about race of humans who have a "sneaky" camoflauge form and someone with their analogue of AGP tries to deliberately lower his status to get it
348 fix fic for that one episode of _The Orville_