I don't think Prof. H.'s voice was quite that extreme? Maybe it was only 2 or 2.5 standard deviations out, for a likelihood ratio of around 8–12.7, which is about 3–3.7 bits of evidence—which is an update from 3% to about 20–28%?
And the effect size of childhood sex-typed behavior on sexual orientation [is around _d_ ≈ 1.3](/papers/bailey-zucker-childhood_sex-typed_behavior_and_sexual_orientation.pdf), so I'll actually go with roughly similar numbers for L.
I don't think Prof. H.'s voice was quite that extreme? Maybe it was only 2 or 2.5 standard deviations out, for a likelihood ratio of around 8–12.7, which is about 3–3.7 bits of evidence—which is an update from 3% to about 20–28%?
And the effect size of childhood sex-typed behavior on sexual orientation [is around _d_ ≈ 1.3](/papers/bailey-zucker-childhood_sex-typed_behavior_and_sexual_orientation.pdf), so I'll actually go with roughly similar numbers for L.