Although when I try to put numbers on it now, it's actually looking like I happened to get this one right: if 3% of men are gay, you need log<sub>2</sub>(97/3) ≈ 5 [bits of evidence](/2018/Oct/the-information-theory-of-passing/) to think that someone probably is. Is a sufficiently distinctive "gay voice" that much evidence—something you're 32 times more likely to hear from a gay man than a straight man?
Although when I try to put numbers on it now, it's actually looking like I happened to get this one right: if 3% of men are gay, you need log<sub>2</sub>(97/3) ≈ 5 [bits of evidence](/2018/Oct/the-information-theory-of-passing/) to think that someone probably is. Is a sufficiently distinctive "gay voice" that much evidence—something you're 32 times more likely to hear from a gay man than a straight man?