-This needs some context-setting. So, I've spent basically my entire adult life in this little intellectual subculture that was founded on an ideal of absolute truthseeking. Sure, anyone will _say_ that their beliefs are true, but you can tell most people aren't being very serious about it. _We_ were going to be serious: with a shared bedrock of knowledge of cognitive biases, reflectivity, and Bayesian probability theory bequeathed to us by our founders, _we_ were going to make serious collective intellectual progress in a way that had [never been](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Nu3wa6npK4Ry66vFp/a-sense-that-more-is-possible) [done before](https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/04/07/yes-we-have-noticed-the-skulls/), and possibly save our entire future light cone from the coming robot apocalypse!