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+Anyway, all of this leading up to a psychological hypothesis (maybe this is "obvious", but I hadn't thought about it before): when people see someone wavering between their coalition and a rival coalition, they're motivated to offer a few concessions to keep the wavering person on their side. [...] could afford to not-understand (pace Upton Sinclair) the "words need to carve reality at the joints" thing when it was just me freaking out alone, but "got it" almost as soon as I could credibly threaten to walk (defect to a coalition of people she dislikes) [...] (assuming he otherwise wouldn't have spontaneously tweeted something about the univariate fallacy two weeks later)??
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+This probably doesn't work if you repeat it (or if you try to do it consciously)?