X-Git-Url: http://unremediatedgender.space/source?a=blobdiff_plain;f=notes%2Fnotes.txt;h=98df9050ada75a287a91dcdc10fd5d3668543da7;hb=c5eae2d8726d1deb2e5683273c3986a86acfbb44;hp=d9571dc2279b8218fbd89e1bd75c34bbfc82f08b;hpb=18f5849d69386a57580fb19e5e1a3913afbe8236;p=Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git diff --git a/notes/notes.txt b/notes/notes.txt index d9571dc..98df905 100644 --- a/notes/notes.txt +++ b/notes/notes.txt @@ -1224,16 +1224,10 @@ a Facebook acquaintance (who didn't pass very well when we met in October): 'Of https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/04/12/radical-feminist-warned-refer-transgender-defendant-assault/ -"yeah in public we say 'cis women' but tran to tran we just say 'women,' we‘re not insane lol" -no transsexual is like 'from a young age all i ever wanted was to be.. cis' -https://twitter.com/theorygurl/status/1062451652836446208 - https://www.reddit.com/r/GenderCritical/comments/bhulic/i_cant_do_this_any_more_i_need_to_divorce_my/ thanks for the marketing advice! I should _definitely_ take that into account if I ever decide to put more effort into "persuading people", which sounds like something that an aspiring instrumental rationalist would care about. Perhaps unfortunately, however, I'm an aspiring epistemic rationalist: all I can do is try to communicate what I actually think and feel using clear language (and standard rhetorical techniques like sarcasm, satire, &c. that people know how to interpret even if they wouldn't be clear if someone naïvely took the words literally). If other people aren't persuaded by this ... maybe they _shouldn't_ be! Maybe I can live with that! -You _can't_ optimize your group's culture for not-talking-about-atheism without also optimizing against understanding Occam's razor; you _can't_ optimize for not questioning gender self-identity without also optimizing against understanding "A Human's Guide to Words." - I guess I can't argue with that, but I wish I knew what happened to my wallet https://www.nationalreview.com/2019/05/ray-blanchard-transgender-orthodoxy/ @@ -3170,3 +3164,14 @@ https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2022/06/27/the-invention-of-the-trans-novel-i preference cascade is starting ... https://twitter.com/jessesingal/status/1538541182975877120 + +[quantifying the two-type effect: +GD occupations in study 2 +gay men are at .48 (.14); straight women at .36 (.13); straight men at .68 (.12) +that's d=–1.61 between gay and straight men +a gay man only needs to be 1 standard deviation (.48-.36 = 0.12) more feminine than average to be as feminine as a straight women +whereas a straight man needs to be (.68-.36 = 0.32) 0.32/0.12=2.67 more feminine than average to be as feminine as a straight woman—that's rarer, but not impossible + +In percentile terms, 1-norm.cdf(1) = 0.15 of gay men are as feminine as a woman +whereas 1-norm.cdf(2.67) = 0.003 of straight men are +that's a likelihood ratio of 50 ... but the prior is not that far from 50:1 in the other direction! They cancel out!!]