Murray also addresses the issue of aggregating effect sizes—something [I've been meaning to get around to blogging about](/2018/Dec/untitled-metablogging-26-december-2018/#high-dimensional-social-science-and-the-conjunction-of-small-effect-sizes) more exhaustively for a while in this context of group differences (although at least, um, my favorite author on _Less Wrong_ [covered it in the purely abstract setting](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cu7YY7WdgJBs3DpmJ/the-univariate-fallacy)): small effect sizes in any single measurement can amount to a _big_ difference when you're considering many measurements at once. That's how people can distinguish female and male faces at 96% accuracy, even though there's no single measurement (like "eye width" or "nose height") offers that much predictive power.
+[TODO: more examples of sex difference effect sizes, elaborate on "big" doesn't mean anything]
+
Subsequent chapers address sex differences in personality, cognition, interests, and the brain. It turns out that women are more warm, empathetic, æsthetically discerning, and cooperative than men are! They're also more into the Conventional, Artistic, and Social dimensions of the [Holland occupational-interests model](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holland_Codes).
You might think that this is all due to socialization, but then it's hard to explain why the same differences show up in different cultures—and why (counterintuitively) the differences seem _larger_ in richer, more feminist countries. You might think that the "larger differences in rich countries" result is an artifact: maybe people in less-feminist countries implicitly make within-sex comparisons when answering personality questions (_e.g._, "I'm aggressive _for a woman_") whereas people in more-feminist countries use a less sexist standard of comparison, construing ratings as compared to people-in-general. Murray points out that this explanation still posits the existence of large sex differences in rich countries (while explaining away the unexpected cross-cultural difference-in-differences). Another possibility is that wealth increases sexual dimorphism _in general_, including, _e.g._, height and blood pressure, not just in personality.
-----
-... and that's the book review that I would prefer to write. A science review of a science book, for science nerds. The kind of thing that would have no reason to draw your attention if you're not _genuinely interested_ in Mahanalobis _D_ effect sizes or adaptive introgression or Falconer's formula, for their own sake, or for the sake of [compressing the length of the message needed to encode your observations](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimum_message_length).
+... and that's the book review that I would prefer to write. A science review of a science book, for science nerds. The kind of thing that would have no reason to draw your attention if you're not _genuinely interested_ in Mahanalobis _D_ effect sizes or adaptive introgression or Falconer's formula, for their own sake, or (better) for the sake of [compressing the length of the message needed to encode your observations](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minimum_message_length).
But that's not why you're reading this. That's not why Murray wrote the book. That's not even why _I'm_ writing this.
Title: Cloud Vision
Date: 2021-01-01
Category: other
-Tags: cathartic
+Tags: cathartic, news
Status: draft
-Google [recently](https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22373635) [sent](https://www.reddit.com/r/programming/comments/f6pyiu/cloud_vision_api_will_not_return_gendered_labels/) out an email to their [Cloud Vision API](https://cloud.google.com/vision) customers, notifying them that the service will stop returning "woman" or "man" labels for people in photos. Being charitable, I can think of reasons why I might defend or support such a decision. Detecting the _sex_ of humans in images is going to significantly less reliable than just picking out the humans in the photo, and the way the machines do sex-classification is going to depend on their training corpus, which might contain embedded cultural prejudices that Google might not want to inadvertently use their technological hegemony to reproduce and amplify. Just using a "person" label dodges the whole problem.
+Google [recently](https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22373635) [sent](https://www.reddit.com/r/programming/comments/f6pyiu/cloud_vision_api_will_not_return_gendered_labels/) out an email to their [Cloud Vision API](https://cloud.google.com/vision) customers, notifying them that the service will stop returning "woman" or "man" labels for people in photos. Being charitable, I can think of reasons why I might defend or support such a decision. Detecting the _sex_ of humans in images is going to significantly less reliable than just picking out the humans in the photo, and the way the machines do sex-classification is going to depend on their training corpus, which might contain embedded cultural prejudices that [Google might not want to](https://ai.google/principles/) inadvertently use their technological hegemony to reproduce and amplify. Just using a "person" label dodges the whole problem.
I think of my experience playing with [FaceApp](https://www.faceapp.com/), the _uniquely best piece of software in the world_, which lets the user apply neural-network-based transformations to their photos to see how their opposite-sex analogue would look! (Okay, the software actually has lots of transformations and filters available—
[...]
+"Given that a person's gender cannot be inferred by appearance [...]" reads the email. _Cannot_ be inferred.
+
This is [Cultural Revolution](https://www.goodreads.com/review/show/2671118186) shit! This is [Lysenko](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lysenkoism)-tier mindfuckery up in here!
Honestly. I want to see you be brave.
-
--- /dev/null
+Title: Teleology
+Date: 2021-01-01
+Category: other
+Tags: epistemology
+Status: draft
+
+"I mean, if that explanation actually makes you feel happier, then fine ..."
+
+"Feeling happier isn't what explanations are for. Explanations are for [predicting our observations](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/a7n8GdKiAZRX86T5A/making-beliefs-pay-rent-in-anticipated-experiences).
+
+[...]
+
+If the explanation that predicts your observations makes you unhappy, then the explanation—and the unhappiness—are functioning as designed."
https://www.amren.com/news/2012/10/arthur-jensen-has-died/
https://nationalpolicy.institute/2020/02/14/bravery-signaling/
+
+Eugenics
+
+https://whyevolutionistrue.wordpress.com/2020/02/20/discovery-institute-makes-hay-of-dawkins-tweet-and-a-geneticist-mistakenly-says-that-artificial-selection-wont-work-in-humans/
Discord arguments get _very_ repetitive; I wish there was a way to make progress and move on rather than having to keep yelling.
+my Culture War struggle is actually structurally similar to AI alignment: the economy/social-justice provides vast riches in the process of eating your soul. (I can have my hair long, I can get HRT and surgeries—but at the cost of not being able to explain why.)
+
---
in "memetics"/"social-control monkey warfare" world, there is no progresss; there is no citations; people just have the same argument over and over again, and whichever egregore has the most bodies and the most volume steamrolls the opposition into accepting their version of social reality
+
+
+https://www.reddit.com/r/GCdebatesQT/comments/dxtgh7/qt_do_you_encourage_other_trans_redditors_to_come/f7wng98/
_ If in Some Smothering Dreams You Too Could Pace (UTT)
-_ CloudWatch
+_ Cloud Vision (UUT)
+_ Telelogy (UUT)
_ Book Review: Charles Murray's Human Diversity (UUT)
_ "I Tell Myself to Let the Story End"; Or, A Hill of Validity ... (UUT)
Honesty Is Activism
+The Motte-and-Bailey Doctrine as Compression Artifact
+Elision _vs_. Choice
+The Wisdom of Nature (I like the idea of transhumanism, but in practice, biology is just too complicated)
+The Strategy of "Apartment Patty"
+
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia "An important fantasy for some individuals is being transformed into the preferred object (such as a statue) and experiencing an associated state of immobility or paralysis."
_ Placeholder, February 2020 (UUT)
-The Motte-and-Bailey Doctrine as Compression Artifact
-conservatives complain about low-time preference ppl having too many kids—but from a evolutionary perspective, they're more evolutionarily fit
-creepy, crazy, or protected-class
+Positioning (don't want to prematurely alienate people you're trying to rescue)
-Elision _vs_. Choice
+conservatives complain about low-time preference ppl having too many kids—but from a evolutionary perspective, they're more evolutionarily fit
-The Wisdom of Nature (I like the idea of transhumanism, but in practice, biology is just too complicated)
+creepy, crazy, or protected-class
-The Strategy of "Apartment Patty"
A Science Fiction Story Idea I'm Not Skilled Enough to Write
projects / Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git / commitdiff