memoir progress projection

diff --git a/notes/memoir-sections.md b/notes/memoir-sections.md
index 6cb9482..2a428ef 100644 (file)
--- a/notes/memoir-sections.md
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@@ -126,6 +126,21 @@ _ dropping "and Scott" in Jessica's description of attacking narcissim
 _ I think it's OK to copy my friends' language from emails; plagiarism instincts
 
 
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+4 November progress assessment: My 113 word TODO bullets on "discrediting to the community" bloated up into 563 words of prose, a decompression ratio of 5. Taking this at face value—
+
+My remaining TODO notes in the pt. 3 ms. are about 1400 words—does that mean they become 7000 words, with the finished pt. 3 weighing in at 46K words??
+
+For pt. 2, does 970 words of TODO inflate into 5K words of prose, for a finished pt. 2 at 16K words? Feels more likely to be an underestimate due to these notes being sparser on average? An additional 7K words, to finish at 18K??
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+For pt. 4, I have 617 words of TODO notes, but those also feel pretty sparse and should expand at a higher ratio than 5. An additional 5K words, to finish at 19K??
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+Projected post lengths: 18K + 46K + 19K = 83K??
+Projected additional words: 17K??
+Projected additional drafting: 17K / 750 K/day = 23 days??
+cross-referenced with my dayjob schedule implies ... finished draft ms. on 15 December?
+
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 The thing about our crowd is that we have a lamentably low proportion of women (13.3% cis women in the last community survey) and—I don't know when this happened; it certainly didn't feel like this back in 'aught-nine—an enormous number of trans women relative to population base rates (2.7%, for a cis-to-trans ratio of 4.9!!), the vast majority of whom I expect to be AGP