### Blanchard's Dangerous Idea and the Plight of the Lucid Crossdreamer * Recap: my story ("Sexual Dimorphism in ...")—but I might be unusual * This is the story of why I think I'm not unusual * Two-type taxonomy explanation * claim: Blanch is a good 1st approximation, & I'll explain what that means later * What evidence could there be for something so wacky?? * Reddit poll (82%!) Points to hit— * It was a compliment! * incentivized and selected for self-delusion!! * Aren't you going to be embarrassed after the Singularity? * T4T is a kind of "Failed Utopia 4-2"!! * the message length of my existence (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mB95aqTSJLNR9YyjH/message-length) http://zackmdavis.net/blog/2019/10/hobbyhorse-apology/ * EGS (and the tragedy of masc/fem forms) * stress fracture vs. sprain: psychology is more complicated, but the basic moral holds * "I don't care" "It sounds like you do care" * if my only choices of reading material are radfems who think I'm awful and trans activists who think I DON'T EXIST (!?!?!!?!), I actually feel better about the radfems * people colluding to maintain a thin layer of social constructions; lies to cis people * learned things in the wrong order * inference by analogy—even if not all trans women are exactly like me, at least a lot of them are going to be similar * in the political world, "gay and trans"—the identity-modifiers "stack"; etiologically, people who are "gay and trans" are ... straight. * not needing permission from another person * people like me being incentivized to identify as part of a political pressure group that attempts to leverage claims of victimhood into claims on power * activity group selecting on trait also selects for inessential weirdnesses of group membership; this is a functional reason for "women in tech" that gets destroyed * It's not a gender identity; it's a sexual orientation that's surprisingly easy to misinterpret as a gender identity * inference by analogy—even if not all trans women are exactly like me, at least a lot of them are going to be similar * idea innoculation on the dumb version of the theory (https://medium.com/@ThingMaker/idea-inoculation-inferential-distance-848836a07a5b ; "Cowpox of Doubt") ### Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data * Introduction * Sex, Sex Differences, Sex Roles, and the Cognitive Function of Categorization * Culture Shapes Decisions on the Margin * Two Possible Views on the Etiology of Gender Dysphoria in Young Children * The Curious Case of Clever Hans, and Comparisons Across Cultures * So what? * Potential Harm Scenarios * Harms from Illegible Miscategorization * Evidence from Cloacal Extrophy Cases * Switching Costs Are Not Obviously Trivial * On the Scope and Extent of Biodeterminism ### A Hill of Validity in Defense of Meaning * Straight reply to most recent pronoun post * Limitations of the Principle of Charity * Cannot Write a Sympathetic Character??? * We can't talk about it?? Then you, sir, are a fraud * Kathleen Stock can talk about it! * How did we get here?? * Recap: my story ("Sexual Dimorphism in ...") and why I'm not unusual ("Blanchard's Dangerous Idea") * My first clue that something was amiss acutually came from ... E.Y. * trying to talk to everyone, checksums failing * happy price offer I * my February breakdown * A Hill of Validity thread, happy price II, losing my shit * We had a whole Sequence about this!! * more than one proton; I want shared maps, not concessions in a marketing war * phil.-of-language campaign; everyone else shot first; dark side epistemology * analysis of the community's political incentives, Kolmogorov * harder to recruit from the Cathedral * Scott on "Against Lie Inflation" * Scott on autogenderphilia * Oh, well; we are dead