two-types anchor in "... To Make Predictions"

[Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git] / notes / i-mean-yes-notes.md

diff --git a/notes/i-mean-yes-notes.md b/notes/i-mean-yes-notes.md
index bbec328..6d60c21 100644 (file)
--- a/notes/i-mean-yes-notes.md
+++ b/notes/i-mean-yes-notes.md
@@ -92,4 +92,11 @@ But even if it's _possible_ to scrupulously rephrase any individual sentence to
 
 Say something about female primates defending their kin against male aggression, about males competing to control access to females
 
-a male friend of the blog went through a period of dissassociating from his sexuality
\ No newline at end of file
+a male friend of the blog went through a period of dissassociating from his sexuality
+
+
+"As no woman has ever referred to herself as ‘a person with a cervix’, there’s a real danger that misguided deference to trans activists will mean some women end up missing out on medical check-ups specific to their sex.": https://www.spiked-online.com/2018/12/26/the-year-of-trans-tyranny/#.XCNeJ5uEWR8.twitter
+
+Anyway, all of this leading up to a psychological hypothesis (maybe this is "obvious", but I hadn't thought about it before): when people see someone wavering between their coalition and a rival coalition, they're motivated to offer a few concessions to keep the wavering person on their side. [...] could afford to not-understand (pace Upton Sinclair) the "words need to carve reality at the joints" thing when it was just me freaking out alone, but "got it" almost as soon as I could credibly threaten to walk (defect to a coalition of people she dislikes) [...] (assuming he otherwise wouldn't have spontaneously tweeted something about the univariate fallacy two weeks later)??
+
+This probably doesn't work if you repeat it (or if you try to do it consciously)?