-Main path (important posts)—
+2021 significant posts—
+- Sexual Dimorphism in Yudkowsky's Sequences, in Relation to
+_ Book Review: Kathleen Stock's Material Girls: Why Reality Matters for Feminism (May)
+_ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data
+_ Book Review: Charles Murray's Facing Reality: Two Truths About Race in America (June)
+_ Blanchard's Dangerous Idea and the Plight of the Lucid Crossdreamer
+_ "But I'm Not Quite Sure What That Means": Costs of Nonbinary Gender as a Social Technology
+_ "Assigned at Birth" Is a Schelling Point (If You Live in an Insane Dystopia Where the Concept of Sex Is Somehow Controversial)
+_ A Hill of Validity in Defense of Meaning
+_ Phenotypic Identity and Memetic Capture (working title)
+_ Book Review: Kathryn Paige Harden's The Genetic Lottery: Why DNA Matters for Social Equality (September)
+
+Special—
+_ trapped priors—at home! or, theory of C.
+
+Minor or Needs Development—
+- Amulet
+_ Student Dysphoria, and a Previous Life's War
+_ Gaydar Jamming (L.B. and R.H.)
+_ Overlapping Distributions and Cancellable Stereotypes (the standard GC argument about trans = stereotypes but with more math, why lesbians are women)
+_ Friendship Practices of the Secret-Sharing Plain Speech Valley Squirrels
+_ Hrunkner Unnerby and the Shallowness of Progress
-Milestone—
+Filler links—
+_ Link: You're Kidding, Right?
+_ Link: Lease Bound comic
+_ Link: Quillette on Sons Becoming Daughters
+_ Link: Babylon Bee "It's a Good Life" parody https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=20ALZgd6_Ek
+
+LW—
+_ Feature Selection
+_ Angelic Irony
+_ "You'll Never Persuade Anyone"
+_ Cromwell's Rule Is About Physical Symmetry, Not Fairness
+_ The Motte-and-Bailey Doctrine as Compression Artifact
+_ The Kolmogorov Option Is Incompatible with Rationality as the Common Interest of Many Causes
+_ "Rationalists" Don't Exist (But Rationality Does)
+- And the Wisdom to Know the Difference
+_ importance of getting the direction of causality right
+_ Memetics vs. Discourse
+_ Multi-Level Moloch; Or, Technically, the Holocaust Was a Coordination Success
+_ Reasons to Go On
+
+_ How do unwind one's "rationalist" social identity?
+_ Daniel C. Dennett on Near-Term Alignment Problems
+
+_ Honesty Is Activism
+
+_ agents with different learning algorithms would find it hard to agree on words?
-_ Sexual Dimorphism in Yudkowsky's Sequences, in Relation to My Gender Problems
-_ Unnatural Categories Are Optimized for Deception (LW)
+Trading Political Favors Doesn't Build True Maps, But Correcting Errors Your Yourself Made, Does
-Ancillary documents for milestone—
-_ Motivation and Political Context for My Philosophy of Language Agenda
-_ FUEY
+(Rationalists don't exist)
+> how to be a strong rationalist
+https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/4thPHxgBCvteQjLv6/against-context-free-integrity
+_ A Hill of Validity in Defense of Meaning / Casuistry Is Unbecoming: Replies to Eliezer Yudkowsky (I don't know how to do this)
-_ Irreversible Damage review
-_ Jessica/wiz AGP defense
+_ E.Y. as case study on unconscious-lying and self-report ("their verbal theories contradict their own datapoints" https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10159408250519228?comment_id=10159411435619228&reply_comment_id=10159411567794228)
+
+
+https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zersetzung and the GPT-3 neuron about Trump: imagine a short story, where you suddenly become more villainous in the eyes of the narrative, and it's because a greater fraction of your measure is in simulations written based on an unfavorable view of your legacy (you're only aware of this because the GPT-descendant is smart enough to try to correct for it)
+
+philosophy-of-language replies,
+
+Marketing channels—
+_ Reddit: /r/philosophy, /r/TheMotte, /r/theschism, /r/SneerClub
+_ tags: "The SF Bay Area", "Criticisms of the Rationalist Movement", "Postmortems & Retrospectives"
+
+_ "Cis" is like "gentile"
+_ The Sex/Gender Distinction Was a Mistake
+_ Complicity (how do reasonable people cooperate with each other instead of dumb people in their own coalition)
+_ reinterpretting all of Hannah Montana album lyrics as an AGP narrative
_ Elision _vs_. Choice (working title)
+_ Stereotypes are weak probabilistic inferences (Agreeableness d~0.5), category-membership is strong inference, the same word/signal hits both, but stereotypes are (or should be) easy to cancel; shifting default meaning onto stereotypes in order to suit trans (while still having the word attach to something) is a bad trade
+_ Taxometrics and the Fallacy of the Insufficiently Relevant, Insufficiently Multivariate Experiment
+_ Beyond the Binary
+_ https://www.facebook.com/duncan.sabien/posts/3936528276381860 "Natural does not always mean good." — natural does not always mean good, but at our current tech level, that's actually a really good prior
+_ Novemember 2020 Political Notes; Or, Sen. Kelly Loeffler Is Mostly Living in a Simulation Now
_ Phenotypic Identity and Memetic Capture
-_ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data prior: https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2019/07/19/how-many-trans-folk-are-there-really/ https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2017/04/16/getting-lost-in-the-crowd/
-_ I Am Very Bad at Keeping Secrets and Am Therefore Very Reluctant to Offer Confidentiality Promises
-
-UUT—
_ I, Too, Dislike It
-_ Friendship Practices of the Secret-Sharing Plain Speech Valley Squirrels
-_ Beyond the Binary
-_ A Previous Life's War
-_ The Feeling Is Mutual
-_ Hrunkner Unnerby and the Shallowness of Progress
+
+_ Yardstick abolition pessimism https://culturallyboundgender.wordpress.com/2018/11/13/gender-identity-isnt-a-box-its-a-yardstick/
+_ reductionist rebuttal to "so you think lesbians aren't women"
+_ Principles (transhumanism, and sanity)
_ reply to https://azdoine.tumblr.com/post/173995599942/a-reply-to-unremediatedgenderspace-on-reply-to http://archive.is/JSSNi
-_ Beckett Mariner Is Trans
+_ reply to https://deathisbadblog.com/the-real-transphobes-are-the-ones-we-made-along-the-way/
+_ Beckett Mariner Is Trans https://www.reddit.com/r/DaystromInstitute/comments/in3g92/was_mariner_a_teenager_on_the_enterprised/
_ Cynical Theories review
+_ Persongen/univariate fallacy/typical set
+_ reply on psych prison https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4uvgb4/?context=3
+_ Irreversible Damage review
+_ Jessica/wiz AGP defense
+_ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data prior: https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2019/07/19/how-many-trans-folk-are-there-really/ https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2017/04/16/getting-lost-in-the-crowd/
+_ "More Than We Can Say": High-Dimensional Social Science and the Conjunction of Small Effect Sizes
+_ Comment on "Towards decolonising computational sciences" https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.14258
+_ My Identity Has a Better Brier Score Than Your Identity
+_ TV Review: "The Trouble With Edward"
+_ Comment on "One Size Does Not Fit All: In Support of Psychotherapy for Gender Dysphoria" https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-020-01844-2 (tag: `review (paper)`)
+_ the scapegoating dynamic
+_ review of "What's the Big Secret?" (acknowledges gender-role conventions which are more salient when people are wearing clothes, but then tells the real answer)
+_ reply to https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2020/11/16/hermeneutical-injustice-not-gaslighting/
+_ Comment on "On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots" https://www.reddit.com/r/MachineLearning/comments/k77sxz/d_timnit_gebru_and_google_megathread/gepcliq/ https://doxa.substack.com/p/googles-colosseum
+ - Amy Wax linkpost
+- The Causality of Ethnic Differences in COVID-19 Outcomes Is an Open
+_ follow to "Point Man": prosletyzing religion
+_ Larmarckian Transmission of FtM?!
+
+strict scrutiny
+
+This is the same mechanism as "Unnatural Categories Are Optimized for Deception"!!
+> journalism is usually trustworthy because trustworthiness is the carrier vehicle. It's occasionally corrupt, because corruption is the payload.
+https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/lje3nu/statement_on_new_york_times_article/gnfrprx/?context=3
+
+optimized to confuse and intimidate people trying to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex, even if your conscious verbal narrative never says 'and now I will confuse and intimidate people who want to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex'!"
+
+I should email caption bliggers and ask if they know about AGP
+https://www.imagefap.com/profile/rickbennett
+https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/03/swap-clinic-testimonial-i-can-work-with.html
+https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/10/swap-clinic-win-win-win.html
+
+reverse Wason selection task: https://twitter.com/ThetaGrunberg/status/1305296703088545792
+
+I'm not usually—at least, not always—so much of a scrub as to play chess with a pigeon (which shits on the board and then struts around like it's won), or wrestle with a pig (which gets you both dirty, and the pig likes it), or dispute what the Tortise said to Achilles
+
+(This needs to go into my "Motivations and Political Context")
+Transitioning is easy if you project into the subspace spanned by "given name" and "preferred pronouns" and "frequency of wearing dresses." The problem is that it's not psychologically realistic to expect everyone else to just throw away all the other dimensions—people were using those dimensions!
+
+(for Elision vs. Choice)
+Speakers of my generation are more likely to say "person" when sex isn't relevant, whereas older works (pre-second wave feminism?) would actually say "man" (or "woman"—see how anachronistic it feels to put the female option second and in parentheses?), presumably not because human nature has changed that much, but because of shifting cultural priorities about when sex is "relevant." (Modern speakers similarly frown on mentioning race (https://agentultra.com/blog/the-black-man-stopped-me/) when it's not relevant.)
+
+This is completely discrediting!!!
+https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/11/12/book-review-the-body-keeps-the-score/
+> they're not necessarily rejecting the seriousness of child abuse, only saying it’s not the kind of thing they build their categories around.
+
+(My Identity Has a Better Brier Score)
+I'm skeptical of "ace"—I think it's just an identity label that can be successfully marketed to otherwise-ordinary people in the bottom-quartile of libido, by an ideology that wants to sell people identity labels to get them to join the coalition of sexual minorities
+You might reply: "But you identify as AGP, and attach emotional weight to that—isn't that just another identity label?"
+but the thing about AGP is that, I actually have reason to believe it "fits" the territory of the underlying psychological variation
+it's an expression of the theory that trans women (left-coded) and the subjects of that old Atlantic article about (right-coded) married crossdressers ("Conservative Men in Conservative Dresses") are the same thing
+invariant under the cultural coding
_ Eugenics Is Actually Good, You Worthless Cowards
_ Ideology Is the General Case (working title)
_ Boundary Violations and Territory
_ three views on partisanship: "Hierarchy and Wings" "Bioleninism" "Democracy Cis and Trans"
-
+_ Link: "AGPs! GROW A PAIR AND POLICE YOUR OWN COMMUNITY!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_qFxtJ7pxw Karen Davis
_ Gay + Trans = Straight
_ Too Big to Fail
_ Orc-ham's Razor
_ Answers on Great Divides: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2010/08/questions-for-great-divides.html
_ Film Review: Your Name
_ World of Masks https://twitter.com/zackmdavis/status/1228093035042541569
-_ "But I'm Not Quite Sure What That Means": Costs of Nonbinary Gender as a Social Technology
-_ "I Tell Myself to Let the Story End"; Or, A Hill of Validity ... (UUT)
-_ "More Than We Can Say": High-Dimensional Social Science and ...
_ glomerular filtration rate https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/gq50mo/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_may_25_2020/frvrhwg/
+_ I Am Very Bad at Keeping Secrets and Am Therefore Very Reluctant to Offer Confidentiality Promises
+
+_ starting to lose sympathy for my crazy past-self
"You're conflating sex and gender"—the problem is, Does anyone actually want to change "gender"?—they're bundled for a reason
LW/aAL—
-
+_ You and What Army? Or, The Wisdom to Know the Difference
+_ different ways of factoring a Bayes net of the same data make different predictions about interventions
_ COVID life-years (rather than deaths)
_ Signals, Deception, and the Precession of Simulacra (LW)
_ Contra Scott Alexander on Mental Illness; Or, Oh God, Please Don't (aAL/LW)
another thing keeping me from trans-IDing: trans is "marked"; choosing it would mean associating with the crazy. Normal Society (with men named Zack) has its own madnesses and crimes, but
+
Vocabulary as Capital Investment
_ Challenges of Mounting an Ideological Crusade
_ On Being Stereotyped Badly (working title)
Angelic Irony
-Memetics vs. Discourse
-Being Willing to Change Your Mind Is About Symmetry, Not Fairness
-Honesty Is Activism
-The Motte-and-Bailey Doctrine as Compression Artifact
-Trading Political Favors Doesn't Build True Maps, But Correcting Errors Your Yourself Made, Does
+
+https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/trvFowBfiKiYi7spb/open-thread-july-2019/comment/RYhKrKAxiQxY3FcHa
+> I think sometimes I talk in a way that makes me seem more politically naïve than I actually am, because I feel as if the “naïve” attitude is in some way normative? (“You really think someone would do that? Just go on the internet and tell lies?”)
+
The Wisdom of Nature (I like the idea of transhumanism, but in practice, biology is just too complicated) https://nickbostrom.com/evolution.pdf
_ The Strategy of "Apartment Patty" — the outrage strategy only works if you have a coalition to back you up. Deterrent: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/05/case-social-media-mobs/612202/ Another example: https://twitter.com/jaimetoons/status/1271300265170186240
+Psychiatrist's response to me is kind of case-in-point https://old.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4valma/
+
you regress to your group's mean—but that depends on how you draw the category boundaries around group membership! This could be a good math post!! https://humanvarieties.org/2017/07/01/measurement-error-regression-to-the-mean-and-group-differences/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia "An important fantasy for some individuals is being transformed into the preferred object (such as a statue) and experiencing an associated state of immobility or paralysis."
Objectivity as a Rhetorical Strategy: probability, words, morality
Focus on the Simple Case (accurate maps can have bad effects, but that's a weird second-order analysis)
-Self-Identity as Focal Point; Or, Schelf-Identity
It Was a Complement!
Willie McCovington
A Human's Abridged Guide to Gender Words
_ reply to Ozy on https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2017/08/03/rapid-onset-gender-dysphoria-is-bad-science/ (when marketing in Culture War thread, maybe hat tip https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/9cir3w/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_03/e5c1h2c/ )
_ Q An Infovist's Advisory; Or, Standing Athwart History ...
_ 5150
-Q Blanchard's Dangerous Idea and the Plight of the Lucid Crossdreamer; Or, Could Self-Reports Really Be That Wrong??
apartment patty
projects / Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git / blobdiff