-Scheduled—
-27 Apr Peering Through Reverent Fingers
-28 Apr Book Review: Charles Murray's Human Diversity
-29 Apr Teleology
+Vacation agenda—
+- Crossing the Line
+- Unnatural Categories Are Optimized for Deception (LW)
+ - get feedback from A.D.+ReductiveSoteriology,TurnTrout
+- Sexual Dimorphism in Yudkowsky's Sequences, in Relation to
+- Containment thread: postmortem note, reply to Villiam
+_ "epilogue, thank you, theory of C., goodbye, &c." email to S.A.
+_ self-review "Heads I Win?"
+_ self-review "Where to Draw the Boundaries?"
+- And the Wisdom to Know the Difference
+_ importance of getting the direction of causality right
-Main path (important posts)—
-_ Intrumental Categories, Wireheading, and War (LW)
-_ Elision _vs_. Choice (working title)
-_ Phenotypic Identity and Memetic Capture
-_ Sexual Dimorphism in Yudkowsky's Sequences, in Relation to My Gender Problems
-_ "I Tell Myself to Let the Story End"; Or, A Hill of Validity ... (UUT)
-_ "More Than We Can Say": High-Dimensional Social Science and ...
+Marketing channels—
+_ Twitter/Facebook
+_ Reddit: /r/philosophy, /r/TheMotte, /r/theschism, /r/SneerClub
+_ tags: "The SF Bay Area", "Criticisms of the Rationalist Movement", "Postmortems & Retrospectives"
-UUT—
+
+_ Novemember 2020 Political Notes; Or, Sen. Kelly Loeffler Is Mostly Living in a Simulation Now
+_ Phenotypic Identity and Memetic Capture
+_ crimestopped about L.B.
+_ I, Too, Dislike It
+_ Friendship Practices of the Secret-Sharing Plain Speech Valley Squirrels
+_ Yardstick abolition pessimism https://culturallyboundgender.wordpress.com/2018/11/13/gender-identity-isnt-a-box-its-a-yardstick/
_ Beyond the Binary
+_ reductionist rebuttal to "so you think lesbians aren't women"
+_ Student Dysphoria, and a Previous Life's War
+_ Principles (transhumanism, and sanity)
_ Hrunkner Unnerby and the Shallowness of Progress
+_ reply to https://azdoine.tumblr.com/post/173995599942/a-reply-to-unremediatedgenderspace-on-reply-to http://archive.is/JSSNi
+_ reply to https://deathisbadblog.com/the-real-transphobes-are-the-ones-we-made-along-the-way/
+_ Beckett Mariner Is Trans https://www.reddit.com/r/DaystromInstitute/comments/in3g92/was_mariner_a_teenager_on_the_enterprised/
+_ Cynical Theories review
+_ Persongen/univariate fallacy/typical set
+_ reply on psych prison https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4uvgb4/?context=3
+_ Irreversible Damage review
+_ Jessica/wiz AGP defense
+_ Elision _vs_. Choice (working title)
+_ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data prior: https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2019/07/19/how-many-trans-folk-are-there-really/ https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2017/04/16/getting-lost-in-the-crowd/
+_ "More Than We Can Say": High-Dimensional Social Science and the Conjunction of Small Effect Sizes
+_ Comment on "Towards decolonising computational sciences" https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.14258
+_ My Identity Has a Better Brier Score Than Your Identity
+_ TV Review: "The Trouble With Edward"
+_ Comment on "One Size Does Not Fit All: In Support of Psychotherapy for Gender Dysphoria" https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-020-01844-2 (tag: `review (paper)`)
+_ the scapegoating dynamic
+_ review of "What's the Big Secret?" (acknowledges gender-role conventions which are more salient when people are wearing clothes, but then tells the real answer)
+_ reply to https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2020/11/16/hermeneutical-injustice-not-gaslighting/
+_ four clusters
+_ Comment on "On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots" https://www.reddit.com/r/MachineLearning/comments/k77sxz/d_timnit_gebru_and_google_megathread/gepcliq/
+ - Amy Wax linkpost
+ - The Causality of Ethnic Differences in COVID-19 Outcomes Is an Open
+
+
+optimized to confuse and intimidate people trying to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex, even if your conscious verbal narrative never says 'and now I will confuse and intimidate people who want to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex'!"
+
+I should email caption bliggers and ask if they know about AGP
+https://www.imagefap.com/profile/rickbennett
+https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/03/swap-clinic-testimonial-i-can-work-with.html
+https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/10/swap-clinic-win-win-win.html
+
+reverse Wason selection task: https://twitter.com/ThetaGrunberg/status/1305296703088545792
+
+I'm not usually—at least, not always—so much of a scrub as to play chess with a pigeon (which shits on the board and then struts around like it's won), or wrestle with a pig (which gets you both dirty, and the pig likes it), or dispute what the Tortise said to Achilles
+
+(This needs to go into my "Motivations and Political Context")
+Transitioning is easy if you project into the subspace spanned by "given name" and "preferred pronouns" and "frequency of wearing dresses." The problem is that it's not psychologically realistic to expect everyone else to just throw away all the other dimensions—people were using those dimensions!
+
+(for Elision vs. Choice)
+Speakers of my generation are more likely to say "person" when sex isn't relevant, whereas older works (pre-second wave feminism?) would actually say "man" (or "woman"—see how anachronistic it feels to put the female option second and in parentheses?), presumably not because human nature has changed that much, but because of shifting cultural priorities about when sex is "relevant." (Modern speakers similarly frown on mentioning race (https://agentultra.com/blog/the-black-man-stopped-me/) when it's not relevant.)
+
+
+(My Identity Has a Better Brier Score)
+I'm skeptical of "ace"—I think it's just an identity label that can be successfully marketed to otherwise-ordinary people in the bottom-quartile of libido, by an ideology that wants to sell people identity labels to get them to join the coalition of sexual minorities
+You might reply: "But you identify as AGP, and attach emotional weight to that—isn't that just another identity label?"
+but the thing about AGP is that, I actually have reason to believe it "fits" the territory of the underlying psychological variation
+it's an expression of the theory that trans women (left-coded) and the subjects of that old Atlantic article about (right-coded) married crossdressers ("Conservative Men in Conservative Dresses") are the same thing
+invariant under the cultural coding
+
+
+
+_ Eugenics Is Actually Good, You Worthless Cowards
+_ The One Where I Try to Be A Little More Explicit About What 'Autogynephilia' Actually Entails
+_ No One Actually Wants to Change "Gender"
+_ Ideology Is the General Case (working title)
+_ Boundary Violations and Territory
+_ three views on partisanship: "Hierarchy and Wings" "Bioleninism" "Democracy Cis and Trans"
+
+_ Gay + Trans = Straight
+_ Too Big to Fail
+_ Orc-ham's Razor
_ Walker correspondence
-_ The Feeling Is Mutual
-_ I, Too, Dislike It (Captions): sexuality stays with the body— http://theinsomniactg.blogspot.com/2019/07/knocked-out-of-my-body.html
+_ 30 Years of the Blank Slate (Cosmides-Tooby/Pinker/Murray)
+_ "I Hope You're Happy, California"
_ Travis's Trilemma: Creepy, Crazy, or Protected-Class (working title)
_ Reply to Ozymandias on Lesbians and on Single-Sex Spaces
-_ Friendship Practices of the Secret-Sharing Plain Speech Valley Squirrels
_ Answers on Great Divides: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2010/08/questions-for-great-divides.html
-_ Challenges of Mounting an Ideological Crusade
+_ Film Review: Your Name
+_ World of Masks https://twitter.com/zackmdavis/status/1228093035042541569
+_ "But I'm Not Quite Sure What That Means": Costs of Nonbinary Gender as a Social Technology
+_ "I Tell Myself to Let the Story End"; Or, A Hill of Validity ... (UUT)
+_ glomerular filtration rate https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/gq50mo/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_may_25_2020/frvrhwg/
+_ I Am Very Bad at Keeping Secrets and Am Therefore Very Reluctant to Offer Confidentiality Promises
-LW/aAL—
-_ Algorithmic Intent: A Hansonian Generalized Anti-Zombie Principle (LW)
-_ Zoom vs. EMH (LW)
-_ Comment on "Endogenous Epistemic Factionalization"
-_ Skyrms on Deception
+_ starting to lose sympathy for my crazy past-self
+
+"You're conflating sex and gender"—the problem is, Does anyone actually want to change "gender"?—they're bundled for a reason
+LW/aAL—
+_ You and What Army? Or, The Wisdom to Know the Difference
+_ different ways of factoring a Bayes net of the same data make different predictions about interventions
+_ COVID life-years (rather than deaths)
+_ Signals, Deception, and the Precession of Simulacra (LW)
_ Contra Scott Alexander on Mental Illness; Or, Oh God, Please Don't (aAL/LW)
+_ Comment on Wireheading /r/rational
+_ Second Derivative (Paul Christiano on growth timelines)
_ Selective Reporting and Clustering
_ Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization—marginally neglected truths are more
-
+_ Explicit Disjunction vs. Contradictory Arguments from a Bottom Line
+_ How they Pin It Down: Equal Environments Assumption Edition https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cXzTpSiCrNGzeoRAz/conjunction-controversy-or-how-they-nail-it-down
_ Social Construction is an Embedded Agency Problem
it's important to have language for psychology because you can't point to pictures
Training Data—"get used" to the new definitions, in time
+"You can follow people you disagree with!" makes sense if you think of
+
+"gay and trans"
if pro-reality trans people are allied with more numerous anti-reality trans people, that incentivizes me to join an anti-trans coalition, when what I actually (should) want is to cherry-pick the pro-reality people
another thing keeping me from trans-IDing: trans is "marked"; choosing it would mean associating with the crazy. Normal Society (with men named Zack) has its own madnesses and crimes, but
+
Vocabulary as Capital Investment
+_ Challenges of Mounting an Ideological Crusade
+
B.F. being smart-but-dense
how taxonomy/typology emerges from Bayesian networks
Angelic Irony
-Memetics vs. Discourse
+https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/trvFowBfiKiYi7spb/open-thread-july-2019/comment/RYhKrKAxiQxY3FcHa
+> I think sometimes I talk in a way that makes me seem more politically naïve than I actually am, because I feel as if the “naïve” attitude is in some way normative? (“You really think someone would do that? Just go on the internet and tell lies?”)
+Memetics vs. Discourse
+Cromwell's Rule Is About Symmetry, Not Fairness
Honesty Is Activism
The Motte-and-Bailey Doctrine as Compression Artifact
+Trading Political Favors Doesn't Build True Maps, But Correcting Errors Your Yourself Made, Does
The Wisdom of Nature (I like the idea of transhumanism, but in practice, biology is just too complicated) https://nickbostrom.com/evolution.pdf
_ Product Review: FaceApp
-_ The Strategy of "Apartment Patty" — the outrage strategy only works if you have a coalition to back you up
+_ The Strategy of "Apartment Patty" — the outrage strategy only works if you have a coalition to back you up. Deterrent: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/05/case-social-media-mobs/612202/ Another example: https://twitter.com/jaimetoons/status/1271300265170186240
+
+Psychiatrist's response to me is kind of case-in-point https://old.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4valma/
you regress to your group's mean—but that depends on how you draw the category boundaries around group membership! This could be a good math post!! https://humanvarieties.org/2017/07/01/measurement-error-regression-to-the-mean-and-group-differences/
Objectivity as a Rhetorical Strategy: probability, words, morality
Focus on the Simple Case (accurate maps can have bad effects, but that's a weird second-order analysis)
-Self-Identity as Focal Point; Or, Schelf-Identity
It Was a Complement!
Willie McCovington
A Human's Abridged Guide to Gender Words
_ Codes of Convergence; Or, Smile More
-_ "But I'm Not Quite Sure What That Means": Costs of Nonbinary Gender as a Social Technology
+
_ "I Will Fight [...]": LGBT Patriotism and the Moral Fine-Tuning Objection
_ ℝ40
projects / Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git / blobdiff