X-Git-Url: http://unremediatedgender.space/source?p=Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git;a=blobdiff_plain;f=notes%2Fnotes.txt;h=98df9050ada75a287a91dcdc10fd5d3668543da7;hp=9a6dde1f138bf2cacca042134f4c64d19aff74d8;hb=c5eae2d8726d1deb2e5683273c3986a86acfbb44;hpb=d34db8ff33c969b37f7a1e4a5f1cebf41d5c9555

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@@ -3164,3 +3164,14 @@ https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2022/06/27/the-invention-of-the-trans-novel-i
 
 preference cascade is starting ...
 https://twitter.com/jessesingal/status/1538541182975877120
+
+[quantifying the two-type effect:
+GD occupations in study 2
+gay men are at .48 (.14); straight women at .36 (.13); straight men at .68 (.12)
+that's d=–1.61 between gay and straight men
+a gay man only needs to be 1 standard deviation (.48-.36 = 0.12) more feminine than average to be as feminine as a straight women
+whereas a straight man needs to be (.68-.36 = 0.32) 0.32/0.12=2.67 more feminine than average to be as feminine as a straight woman—that's rarer, but not impossible
+
+In percentile terms, 1-norm.cdf(1) = 0.15 of gay men are as feminine as a woman
+whereas 1-norm.cdf(2.67) = 0.003 of straight men are
+that's a likelihood ratio of 50 ... but the prior is not that far from 50:1 in the other direction! They cancel out!!]