--- /dev/null
+Title: Comp
+Date: 2020-01-01
+Category: other
+Tags: whimsical
+Status: draft
+
+_(-romise, -ensation)_
+
+[Some radical feminists complain](https://archive.is/N1kM5) that males body-modding to become facsimiles of women is appropriation. They're obviously correct, but the claim doesn't seem strong enough to override the right to bodily autonomy. The Law in its majesty finds a precedent in the archives of copyright law: bands recording cover songs are appropriating the work of the original composer, but the composer's claim to control and be compensated for their work doesn't seem strong enough to override the band's right to artistic expression.
+
+The solution in either case: [compulsory licensing](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compulsory_license)! A small tax is administered on transition services (hormone replacement therapy, facial feminization surgery, _&c_.), the proceeds of which are distributed equally amongst all natal females (as if they held a collective patent on the female form).
+++ /dev/null
-Title: Game Theory of Stigmatization (working title)
-Date: 2020-01-01
-Category: commentary
-Tags: game theory
-Status: draft
-
-[TODO: flesh this out with more detail and make it punchier]
-
-> That is going to make the problem worse. We need to support honest autogynephiles earnestly trying to live satisfying and good lives. Don't shame them (or even try)! We need more of them.
-
-What constitutes "the problem" depends on your goals, and the best response further depends on historically contingent features of the political environment.
-
-A toy model: suppose there are three life trajectories available to AGP natal male: (1) stay in the closet and quietly live in shame forever, (2) transition but be "modest" about it (accept the two-type typology, don't try to win women's bike races, _&c._), (3) go all-in on trans activism ("Some women have penises, get over it", _&c._). Which trajectory is taken is going to be partially [influenced by incentives](http://unremediatedgender.space/2017/Dec/lesser-known-demand-curves/).
-
-"This is going to make the problem worse" expresses the concern that /r/itsafetish pushes people from (2) to (3): if the option of both acknowledging and acting on AGP is "taken off the table", then the trans-activism coalition can "offer a better deal" than quietly living in shame forever.
-
-But from the perspective of hard-core gender-critical feminists, (2) itself is _already_ a loss: they're trying to push people from (2) to (1). It might be a strategic mistake on their part (if the (2)→(3) "radicalization effect" is larger than the (2)→(1) "stigmatization effect"), but I don't think it's obvious. And if it's a mistake in the Current Year (because it's better to seek favorable terms of surrender rather than risk the victor's wrath when the war is already effectively lost—maybe this relates to the Nash demand game), it might not have been in Current Year Minus Five, or Minus Ten, _&c._, when the coalition backing (3) was less powerful and therefore had a weaker bid.
This explains why the trans-rights fight ends up focusing on language, rather than any particular policy where "gender" is used to make a decision. "What's the harm in calling people what they really want to be called?" goes the argument. "You can still say _cis woman_ when you want to be more specific."
-It doesn't work like that. When you [change the category associated with](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/soQX8yXLbKy7cFvy8/entropy-and-short-codes) a [short codeword](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/soQX8yXLbKy7cFvy8/entropy-and-short-codes), you're imposing on all the downstream predictions and decisions people were already using that category/word for (which no one has catalogued in advance).
+It doesn't work like that. When you [change the category associated with](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/soQX8yXLbKy7cFvy8/entropy-and-short-codes) a [short codeword](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/soQX8yXLbKy7cFvy8/entropy-and-short-codes), you're imposing on all the downstream predictions and decisions people were already using that category/word for—nor have people catalogued all those decisions in advance; they just expect to be able to think using [top-20 nouns](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Most_common_words_in_English#Nouns) (coordination signals) that came with their native tongue, much as how they expect to be able to think using clock time without needing to compute Earth's rate of rotation measured relative to the fixed stars.
\ No newline at end of file
Title: Political Science Epigrams
Date: 2020-01-01
Category: other
-Tags: cathartic
+Tags: cathartic, game theory
Status: draft
If your policy is, "We don't negotiate with terrorists, but we do appease bears", then from the perspective of a third party fighting a war against the bears, you look like a productive asset being farmed by the bears, and thus, a legitimate military target.
-If your behavior is optimized to respond to political threats, but not to carefully-reasoned arguments from your friends, at some point your friends start to face a strong incentive to stop being your friends and start threatening you politically, because you've made it clear from your behavior that that's all you respond to.
+If your behavior is optimized to respond to political threats, but not to small requests from your friends, at some point your friends start to face a strong incentive to stop being your friends and start threatening you politically, because you've made it clear from your behavior that that's all you respond to.
If you were angry at an enemy (who used to be a friend), you might throw a rock at them. But if they didn't react to the last rock, you need to patiently build a bigger rock.
--- /dev/null
+Title: The Strategy of Stigmatization
+Date: 2020-01-01
+Category: commentary
+Tags: autogynephilia, game theory, stigma
+Status: draft
+
+One common reaction by the Blanchpilled to autogynephilia-truther sites—I mean, the shouty sensationalist kind run by [conservatives](https://archive.is/PsTQP) or [radical](https://outofmypantiesnow.wordpress.com/) [feminists](https://www.reddit.com/r/itsafetish/) that almost never use phrases like "uselessly low-dimensional subspace", not _The Scintillating But Ultimately Untrue Thought_—goes like this:
+
+> That is going to make the problem worse. We need to support honest autogynephiles earnestly trying to live satisfying and good lives. Don't try to shame them—we need more of them!
+
+But what constitutes "the problem" depends on your goals, and the best response further depends on historically contingent features of the political environment.
+
+A toy model: suppose there are three life trajectories available to AGP natal males:
+
+ **(1)** Stay in the closet and quietly live in shame forever,
+ **(2)** Transition but be transmedicalist/assimilationist/gatekeepy about it (think of this as the [Debbie Hayton](https://debbiehayton.wordpress.com/author/debbiehayton/) or Anne Lawrence model), or
+ **(3)** Go all-in on trans activism ("Some women have penises, get over it", _&c._; the Danielle Muscato or [Rachel McKinnon](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rachel_McKinnon) model).
+
+Which trajectory is taken is going to be partially [influenced by incentives](http://unremediatedgender.space/2017/Dec/lesser-known-demand-curves/).
+
+"This is going to make the problem worse" expresses the concern that the likes of /r/itsafetish push people from (2) to (3): if the option of both acknowledging and acting on AGP is "taken off the table", then the trans-activism coalition can "offer a better deal" than quietly living in shame forever.
+
+But from the perspective of hard-core TERFs, (2) itself is _already_ a loss: they're trying to push people from (2) to (1). Whether that's a strategic mistake on their part depends on whether the (2)→(3) "radicalization effect" is larger than the (2)→(1) "stigmatization effect". If it is a mistake in the Current Year (because it's better to seek favorable terms of surrender rather than risk the victor's wrath when the war is already effectively lost), it might not have been in Current Year Minus Five, or Minus Ten, _&c._, when the coalition backing (3) was less powerful and therefore had a weaker bid.
✓ Political Science Epigrams
+✓ The Strategy of Stigmatization
+✓ Comp
✓ On the Argumentative Form "Super-proton Things Tend to Come in Varieties"
✓ Promises I Can Keep
-_ More Schelling
-_ Compensation
✓ Reply to Ozymandias on Fully Consensual Gender
+✓ More Schelling
+_ "I Want to Be the One"
"I Tell Myself to Let the Story End"; Or, A Hill of Validity in Defense of Meaning
-----
-Game Theory of Stigmatization (need better title)
+A Science Fiction Story Idea I'm Not Skilled Enough to Write
+
+Names and Genders Are Not Relevantly Analogous
+
+Anne Lawrence on AGP Teen Transition
+Anne Lawrence on Unapologetic Autogynephilic Transsexualism
-[Some radical feminists complain](https://archive.is/N1kM5) that AGP males body-modding to become facsimiles of women is appropriation. They're obviously correct, but the claim doesn't seem strong enough to override the right to bodily autonomy. The law, in its majestic equality, comes up with a compromise solution: [compulsory licensing](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compulsory_license)! A small tax is administered on transition services (HRT, FFS, _&c_.), the proceeds of which are distributed equally amongst all natal females.
+Elision _vs_. Choice
+
+Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization
+
+One-Way Trolls
Book Review: Human Diversity
Book Review: The Origins of Inequality
testimony on trans girl periods: http://www.onwednesdays.net/trans-girl-periods/
-Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization
-Anne Lawrence on AGP Teen Transition
-
-Unapologetic Autogynephilic Transsexualism
-Promises I Can Keep
Reading Comprehension Is Rape Culture
Trying to Be Explicit
Instrumental Categories, and War
-A Science Fiction Story Idea I'm Not Skilled Enough to Write
(lit-search strategy: go through the del Guidice "Multivariate Misgivings" article and its citations; the Archer paper also mentioned this)
Virtue Signaling Is Costly and Honest
(in response to Kosoy's objection)
-_ Tue: Social Strategy Notes, July 2019
-
Servants of the Egregore (write-up of egregore theory as told by "Wilhelm")
Kolmogorov's Iron Triangle; Or, the Not-Being-a-Worthless-Coward Option (epigraph quote: Raleigh's "The Lie")—(include analogy: the fear that atheism would lead to immortality given that ppl don't have to fear Hell, wouldn't have seemed obviously absurd at the time) — honesty, ability to think, and mainstream credibility. The Kolmogorov option sacrifices a lot of honesty in exchange for mainstream credibility. This might seem like a good trade until you consider that "honesty" and "ability to think" aren't independent (because people are bad at compartmentalization and we need to talk to each other to think together).
Research Question: Complicity
The Motte-and-Bailey Doctrine as Compression Artifact
-
Where to Segment a Conversation When There's Stuff You Won't Touch, Without Violating the Virtue of Evenness
In Praise of Cartesianism (you need to _really_ understand "A Human's Guide to Words" before you can do high-grade good-faith social constructionism)
-
Sex Differences and Commonsense Priors (I have parsimony intuitions that make "AGP is caused by pollution" or "AGP is normal in cis women" or "hormone receptors distributions are the same" seem not worth considering)
In the Presence of Mimickry, Extension and Intension Simplicity Trade-Off
Focus on the Simple Case (accurate maps can have bad effects, but that's a weird second-order analysis)
Self-Identity as Focal Point; Or, Schelf-Identity
It Was a Complement!
-Names and Genders Are Not Relevantly Analogous
Willie McCovington
A Human's Abridged Guide to Gender Words
-One-Way Trolls
+
in a world where we _actually had_ sex change technology, self-identity doctrine _wouldn't even occur to anyone_
_ ℝ40
-_ "I Want to Be the One"
+_
_ The View From Nowhere
projects / Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git / commitdiff