From cce05bd376a2671381317d55365326f05271215a Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: "M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake" Date: Sat, 21 Nov 2020 01:08:11 -0800 Subject: [PATCH] check in --- content/drafts/a-previous-lifes-war.md | 2 +- ...-hypothesis-and-probabilistic-inference.md | 5 +- .../dr-will-powers-on-autogynephilia.md | 20 +++++++ ...ences-in-relation-to-my-gender-problems.md | 3 + ...d-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md | 55 +++++++++++++++++++ ...o-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md | 18 ------ notes/notes.txt | 18 ++++++ notes/post_ideas.txt | 15 ++--- ...exual-dimorphism-in-the-sequences-notes.md | 2 +- 9 files changed, 105 insertions(+), 33 deletions(-) create mode 100644 content/drafts/dr-will-powers-on-autogynephilia.md create mode 100644 content/drafts/survey-data-on-cis-and-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md delete mode 100644 content/drafts/survey-data-on-the-ratio-of-cis-to-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md diff --git a/content/drafts/a-previous-lifes-war.md b/content/drafts/a-previous-lifes-war.md index f6e912e..616e6af 100644 --- a/content/drafts/a-previous-lifes-war.md +++ b/content/drafts/a-previous-lifes-war.md @@ -1,4 +1,4 @@ -Title: A Previous Life's War +Title: Student Dysphoria, and a Previous Life's War Date: 2020-01-01 Category: commentary Tags: schooling diff --git a/content/drafts/comment-on-the-sapir-whorf-hypothesis-and-probabilistic-inference.md b/content/drafts/comment-on-the-sapir-whorf-hypothesis-and-probabilistic-inference.md index 91c332b..e1a00c3 100644 --- a/content/drafts/comment-on-the-sapir-whorf-hypothesis-and-probabilistic-inference.md +++ b/content/drafts/comment-on-the-sapir-whorf-hypothesis-and-probabilistic-inference.md @@ -10,7 +10,7 @@ Our authors discuss an experiment where people are briefly shown a color, and th Our authors propose to explain this with a model in which a stimulus is encoded in the brain as both a fine-grained representation of what was actually seen (this-and-such color perception, with some noise/measurement-error), and as a category ("green"). Then reconstruction of the stimulus from the both the fine-grained representation and the category, will be biased towards the center of the category, with more bias when the fine-grained representation is more uncertain (as in the delayed condition). -The model gains further support from a similar "two-alternative forced choice" experiment, where people try to tell the difference between the original color and a distractor, rather than picking from a color wheel. +The model gains further support from a similar "two-alternative forced choice" experiment, where people try to tell the difference between the original color and a distractor, rather than picking from a color wheel: @@ -27,6 +27,3 @@ Bayesian reasoning! [The answer is always Bayesian reasoning.](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QrhAeKBkm2WsdRYao/searching-for-bayes-structure) - - - diff --git a/content/drafts/dr-will-powers-on-autogynephilia.md b/content/drafts/dr-will-powers-on-autogynephilia.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..8dce808 --- /dev/null +++ b/content/drafts/dr-will-powers-on-autogynephilia.md @@ -0,0 +1,20 @@ +Title: Dr. Will Powers on Autogynephilia +Date: 2021-01-01 +Category: commentary +Tags: autogynephilia, Will Powers +Status: draft + +19 Nov 12:35 UTC +https://www.reddit.com/r/DrWillPowers/comments/jx1wpp/i_often_get_attacked_for_stating_that_agp_exists/ + +19 Nov 19:34 UTC +https://archive.is/DnxUM +https://reddit.com/r/DrWillPowers/comments/jx9io9/my_official_post_on_my_personal_opinion_on/ + +20 Nov 02:51 UTC +https://reddit.com/r/DrWillPowers/comments/jxh3mz/in_this_thread_help_me_and_this_community_come_up/ +https://archive.is/ZSzt1 + +20 Nov 19:03 +https://reddit.com/r/DrWillPowers/comments/jxv882/im_not_so_sure_what_the_right_answer_is_in/ +https://archive.is/0r42I diff --git a/content/drafts/sexual-dimorphism-in-the-sequences-in-relation-to-my-gender-problems.md b/content/drafts/sexual-dimorphism-in-the-sequences-in-relation-to-my-gender-problems.md index c1633cd..64554ac 100644 --- a/content/drafts/sexual-dimorphism-in-the-sequences-in-relation-to-my-gender-problems.md +++ b/content/drafts/sexual-dimorphism-in-the-sequences-in-relation-to-my-gender-problems.md @@ -380,3 +380,6 @@ But the fuzzy low-resolution model is _way too good_ not to be pointing to _some Friend of the blog Tailcalled argues that [there's no discrete typology for FtM](https://www.reddit.com/r/Blanchardianism/comments/jp9rmn/there_is_probably_no_ftm_typology/) as there is for the two types of MtF, because the various causes of gender problems in females vary more independently, favoring spectrum or [simplex](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simplex) models rather than a typology. [TODO: But I do have enough evidence to know that the prevailing narrative _doesn't add up_. Serano's proposal makes no predictions.] + + +The level above "Many-worlds is obviously correct, stop being stupid" is "Racial IQ differences are obviously real; stop being stupid" \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/content/drafts/survey-data-on-cis-and-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md b/content/drafts/survey-data-on-cis-and-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..0283827 --- /dev/null +++ b/content/drafts/survey-data-on-cis-and-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md @@ -0,0 +1,55 @@ +Title: Survey Data on Cis and Trans Women Among Haskell Programmers +Date: 2021-01-01 +Category: other +Tags: Haskell, sex differences +Status: draft + +Stereotypically, computer programming is both a predominantly male profession and the quintessential profession of non-exclusively-androphilic trans women. Stereotypically, these demographic trends are even more pronounced in "niche", academic, or hobbyist technology communities (_e.g._, Rust), rather than those with more established mainstream use (_e.g._, JavaScript). + +But stereotypes can be _wrong_! The heuristic process by which people's brains form stereotypes from experience are riddled with biases that prevent our mental model of what people are like from matching what people are _actually_ like. Unless you believe [a woman is more likely to be a feminist bank teller than a bank teller (which is _mathematically impossible_)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conjunction_fallacy), you're best off seeking _hard numbers_ about what people are like rather than relying on mere stereotypes. + +Fortunately, sometimes hard numbers are available! Taylor Fausak has been administering an annual State of Haskell survey [since 2017](https://taylor.fausak.me/2017/11/15/2017-state-of-haskell-survey-results/), and the [2018](https://taylor.fausak.me/2018/11/18/2018-state-of-haskell-survey-results/), [2019](https://taylor.fausak.me/2019/11/16/haskell-survey-results/), and [2020](TODO: linky) surveys include optional "What is your gender?" and "Do you identify as transgender?" questions, as well as the anonymous response data. + +I wrote a script to use these answers from the CSV response data for the 2018–2020 surveys to tally the number of cis and trans women among survey respondents. (In Python. Sorry.) + +``` +import csv + +survey_results_filenames = [ + "2018-11-18-2018-state-of-haskell-survey-results.csv", + "2019-11-16-state-of-haskell-survey-results.csv", + # TODO: 2020 +] + +if __name__ == "__main__": + for results_filename in survey_results_filenames: + year, _ = results_filename.split('-', 1) + with open(results_filename) as results_file: + reader = csv.DictReader(results_file) + total = 0 + cis_f = 0 + trans_f = 0 + for row in reader: + total += 1 + if row['What is your gender?'] == "Female": + transwer = row['Do you identify as transgender?'] + if transwer == "No": + cis_f += 1 + elif transwer == "Yes": + trans_f += 1 + print( + "{}: total: {}, cis-♀: {}, trans-♀: {}".format( + year, total, cis_f, trans_f + ) + ) + +``` + +It prints this tally: + +``` +2018: total: 1361, cis-♀: 26, trans-♀: 19 +2019: total: 1211, cis-♀: 16, trans-♀: 16 +``` + +[TODO: 2020 data; I briefly thought about pooling years to get a better sample size, but that's methodologically invalid because probably a lot of the same people took the survey multiple years] diff --git a/content/drafts/survey-data-on-the-ratio-of-cis-to-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md b/content/drafts/survey-data-on-the-ratio-of-cis-to-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md deleted file mode 100644 index a2db879..0000000 --- a/content/drafts/survey-data-on-the-ratio-of-cis-to-trans-women-among-haskell-programmers.md +++ /dev/null @@ -1,18 +0,0 @@ -Title: Survey Data on Cis and Trans Women Among Haskell Programmers -Date: 2021-01-01 -Category: other -Tags: Haskell, sex differences -Status: draft - -Stereotypically, computer programming is both a predominantly male profession and the quintessential profession of non-exclusively-androphilic trans women. Stereotypically, these demographic trends are even more pronounced in "niche" or hobbyist technology communities (_e.g._, Rust), rather than those with more established mainstream use (_e.g._, JavaScript). - -But stereotypes can be _wrong_! The heuristic process by which people's brains form stereotypes from experience are riddled with biases that prevent our mental model of what people are like from matching what people are _actually_ like. Unless you believe [a woman is more likely to be a feminist bank teller than a bank teller (which is _mathematically impossible_)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conjunction_fallacy), you're best off seeking _hard numbers_ about what people are like rather than relying on mere stereotypes. - -Fortunately, sometimes hard numbers are available! Taylor Fausak has been administering an annual State of Haskell survey [since 2017](https://taylor.fausak.me/2017/11/15/2017-state-of-haskell-survey-results/), and the [2018](https://taylor.fausak.me/2018/11/18/2018-state-of-haskell-survey-results/), [2019](https://taylor.fausak.me/2019/11/16/haskell-survey-results/), and [2020](TODO: linky) surveys include optional "What is your gender?" and "Do you identify as transgender?" questions, as well as the anonymous response data. - - -https://taylor.fausak.me/2018/11/18/2018-state-of-haskell-survey-results/ -https://taylor.fausak.me/2019/11/16/haskell-survey-results/ -https://haskellweekly.news/survey/2020.html - -(closes on the 15th; if I want to publish before the 2020 edition is out, I can backport updates) diff --git a/notes/notes.txt b/notes/notes.txt index 3371a18..ed2c026 100644 --- a/notes/notes.txt +++ b/notes/notes.txt @@ -2195,3 +2195,21 @@ Like I said, it would seem the disagreement centers around how robust the trait- When I say "selectively varied", I mean that the same standards aren't being applied evenhandedly to different topic-areas. For example, when talking about the anatomy of the hands, you might end up offhandedly saying something like, "Humans have ten fingers." I think it's good for people to be able to say "Humans have ten fingers" in most contexts without it being construed as a denial of the facts that polydactyly exists and that some people lose fingers in accidents. (It's true that polydactyly exists! And it's true that some people lose fingers in accidents! I enthusiastically affirm both of those facts! But I think it's also true that ... you know what I meant.) This is also my rationale for wanting "Men are the ones with penises" to be considered "true" in most contexts. The claim isn't that trans men don't exist; the claim is that adult human males are the prototypical thing that trans men are imitating (to the limits of available technology), such that it's useful for many unmarked usages of "man"/"men" to be understood to refer to the prototype unless there's some contextual reason to think otherwise. + +https://www.berkeleyside.com/2020/11/18/uc-berkeley-strips-the-names-of-professors-with-racist-views-off-3-buildings + +(I remember Logan Brienne recommended Will Powers on Facebook) +https://www.reddit.com/r/DrWillPowers/comments/jx9io9/my_official_post_on_my_personal_opinion_on/ +https://archive.is/DnxUM +He thinks AGP is erotic-only, but gender euphoria is OK + +Funny exchange— https://twitter.com/The_WGD/status/1329872398087303173 +> You're slipping into the Sailer zone, and while he's not exactly canceled...it's your risk to take, but if you drift slowly enough, you won't notice when you're past the line. +> What's the worst thing that Sailer has ever said? +> we don't know because he said it on his alt + +Pay gap among Uber drivers: https://nber.org/papers/w26380 + +Millenials are children: https://archive.fo/KOHS3 + +I should read the new Julia Serano paper. Serano, J. (2020). Autogynephilia: A scientific review, feminist analysis, and alternative ‘embodiment fantasies’ model. The Sociological Review, 68(4), 763–778. diff --git a/notes/post_ideas.txt b/notes/post_ideas.txt index 04d1166..6053b89 100644 --- a/notes/post_ideas.txt +++ b/notes/post_ideas.txt @@ -1,14 +1,10 @@ -Aspiration runup— -18 Nov - Nixon on Forbidden Hypotheses -19 Nov ✓ Interlude XX -20 Nov ✓ The Feeling Is Mutual +_ Dr. Will Powers on Autogynephilia +- Survey Data on Cis and Trans Women in Haskell (waiting for 2020 data) +- Comment on "The Sapir-Whorf Hypothesis and Probabilistic Inference" +- Sexual Dimorphism in Yudkowsky's Sequences, in Relation to -23 Nov - Survey Data on Cis and Trans Women Among Haskell Programmers -27 Nov - Comment on "The Sapir-Whorf Hypothesis and Probabilistic Inference" -28 Nov - Sexual Dimorphism in Yudkowsky's Sequences, in Relation to -_ Principles (transhumanism, and sanity) Iffy— - Amy Wax linkpost @@ -44,7 +40,8 @@ _ Friendship Practices of the Secret-Sharing Plain Speech Valley Squirrels _ Yardstick abolition pessimism https://culturallyboundgender.wordpress.com/2018/11/13/gender-identity-isnt-a-box-its-a-yardstick/ _ Beyond the Binary _ reductionist rebuttal to "so you think lesbians aren't women" -_ A Previous Life's War +_ Student Dysphoria, and a Previous Life's War +_ Principles (transhumanism, and sanity) _ Hrunkner Unnerby and the Shallowness of Progress _ reply to https://azdoine.tumblr.com/post/173995599942/a-reply-to-unremediatedgenderspace-on-reply-to http://archive.is/JSSNi _ reply to https://deathisbadblog.com/the-real-transphobes-are-the-ones-we-made-along-the-way/ diff --git a/notes/sexual-dimorphism-in-the-sequences-notes.md b/notes/sexual-dimorphism-in-the-sequences-notes.md index d10958e..170493e 100644 --- a/notes/sexual-dimorphism-in-the-sequences-notes.md +++ b/notes/sexual-dimorphism-in-the-sequences-notes.md @@ -19,7 +19,7 @@ WTF transphobic garbage did I just read?? Too bad Yudkowsky can't control how cr To SneerClub— -Hi SneerClub! I noticed that you've enjoyed some of my [previous](https://www.reddit.com/r/SneerClub/comments/fw9cng/the_lgbt_activist_machinery_instead_adapted/) [work](https://www.reddit.com/r/SneerClub/comments/61t94y/rationalist_tries_justifying_their_transphobia_by/), so I thought I would go ahead and proactively share this one with you, because (I'm guessing) it probably checks a lot of the boxes for top sneerable content: it's got Yudkowsky hero-worship, _and_ sexism (as many of you would define that), _and_ transphobia (as many of you would define that), _and_ weird sex stuff! +Hi SneerClub! I noticed that you've enjoyed some of my [previous](https://www.reddit.com/r/SneerClub/comments/fw9cng/the_lgbt_activist_machinery_instead_adapted/) [work](https://www.reddit.com/r/SneerClub/comments/61t94y/rationalist_tries_justifying_their_transphobia_by/), so I thought I would go ahead and proactively share this one with you, because (I'm guessing) it probably checks a lot of the boxes for top sneerable content: it's got Yudkowsky hero-worship, _and_ sexism (as many of you would define that), _and_ transphobia (as many of you would define that), _and_ weird sex stuff! (Oh, and a tiny bit of racism (as many of you would define that) at the end.) (From _my_ perspective, I'm pouring my heart out about the most important thing in my life, but if someone else with a different perspective would only sneer, then I can only hope to have been—if only for a moment, as part of a subroutine in the optimal sneer computation—_understood_. And for that moment, I am grateful.) -- 2.17.1