3 O Wad Some Power the Giftie Gie Us; Or, the Identity Dysphoria Trap (school dysphoria)
5 Reuknighted (C. being really curious about my hair "It's complicated." "I think it sets me apart from other guys." Were we ever really living in the same world?)
7 reanalysis of Lawrence data!!!
9 Entangled Truths, Contagious Lies (Transgender Edition)
10 (Eugenics Is Really Important, You Delusional Bastards)
12 Yalta (https://transblog.grieve-smith.com/the-essential-conflict/ "What's in it for me?" "You're the one who doesn't believe in personal identity—you should be happy for us")
14 Externalize Everything
15 "I Will Fight for the Place Where I'm Free"; Or, Stop Praising Steven Universe for LGBT Representation
18 El Goonish Shive (http://www.egscomics.com/index.php?id=2328 http://www.egscomics.com/index.php?id=1895)
22 "The Distance Between Mars and Venus: Measuring Global Sex Differences in Personality" http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0029265
24 Stop Expecting Social Reality to Make Sense
26 re simple models are better: https://evolutionistx.wordpress.com/2017/01/12/conservatives-over-generalize-liberals-under-generalize/
28 clumpy thingspace!— https://darwinianreactionary.wordpress.com/2014/05/23/race-and-realism-part-2/
30 Michael Arc says: "some sort of discussion of the double standard while unambiguously attaching Trump and lampshading 'Locker Room Talk' would probably be valuable"
32 Micahel Arc on nerds anchoring on explicit norms: http://lesswrong.com/lw/sq/a_genius_for_destruction/m5g
36 Blanchardian Truth Serum— "Bayesian Truth Serum" scoring assigns more weight to "surprisingly popular" answers. Doesn't work when people are self-deceptive, I think?—in Veale's data, people think AGP applies to other people, not them
37 https://nelmit.files.wordpress.com/2016/10/bts.pdf
38 http://www.jaimieveale.com/publications/Masters.pdf (p. 82)
41 push back against the global narrative without pushing back against any particular individual narrative
45 * The View From Nowhere
46 * As Well for a Sheep as a Lamb (polarizing tribal forces—because only bad ppl talk about AGP, you need to be very DGAF about politics in order to not be locked out of the correct explanation—and even then, socialization forces might turn you against your own ppl, something I have to be wary of)
47 * The Spirit of Compromise; you can't take away transition technology; if you say it can only be used for dysphoria and not fetish, that creates an enormous incentive for self-delusion; even if someone like Kay would prefer that AGPs don't transition, at least getting ppl to admit that there are two types is a next step; maybe _after_ the trans rights movement has won, _then_ suddenly people will feel free to be non-delusional; "partial autogynephilia" may be partially GAMP, but a lot of it is compromise
49 you delusional bastards—
50 * I Want to See You Be Brave
51 * Yes, the Only Real Trans Woman Is a Transitioned Trans Woman (critique of https://medium.com/@jencoates/i-am-a-transwoman-i-am-in-the-closet-i-am-not-coming-out-4c2dd1907e42#.5dlc2qog6)
55 * Survey of a Crossdreamscape and Why This Is Pretty Obviously Not What Cis Women Feel About Themselves
56 * Blanchard's Dangerous Idea and the Plight of the Lucid Crossdreamer; Or, Could Self-Reports Really Be That Wrong??
57 * Reduce Gender Identities to Gender Goals ("trans" vs. "cis" only makes sense if the gradient between full-transition intervention and no intervention is sufficiently sharp)
60 * The Neglect of Probability Fallacy; Or, You Do Not Have an Intersex Condition
61 * (if not super-femme, there must be some other reason ...)
62 * High-Dimensional Social Science and the Cluster Concept of Concepts
63 * Stereotypes, Models, and Cognition
64 * Mary's Room (we have calibration to know that we're probably mostly seeing the same colors up to colorblindness and tetrachromacy, but ppl probably don't mean the same thing by "gender dysphoria" or "identity", or "sexual orientation" (ref pseudobisexuality); the map is not the territory)
65 * Simple Models Plus Noise Are Better Than Pretending Not to Have a Model (because personal identity doesn't exist, comparing notes with other people and being able to learn from _their_ mistakes is more useful than just saying "everyone has their own experience")
69 psychological sex differences aren't real, but gender identity is?? always nurture except when politically convenient
70 Bucketing (go through Wikipedia list of trans women, categorize everyone)
71 horror story about trans activists being pro-porn, &c. indicating how aliens would analyze them as a subtype of males
72 * Engineering possibilities (Anne Lawrence identitfy early); people say they wish they could have transitioned younger if they knew it were possible (https://twitter.com/argumentshop/status/815633404943183872), but part of the reason people don't know it's possible is because AGP fantasy is the strongest diagnostic criterion and everyone is lying about this
73 rachet effect (http://transblog.grieve-smith.com/the-slippery-slope/) (I can't imagine self with short hair)
75 * Collective Debt, Collective Shame (what I wanted to say to /r/GenderCritical, why it didn't work, even if they're not so hostile towards Miranda Yardley or the androphilic MtTs who post)
76 * Someone Has To Say It
77 * Falsifiability and What We Expect Not to See (this is important for the Bayes crowd)
78 * critique Julia Serano on nature: of course trans genders are less natural; that's the entire fucking point
79 * wait, even Julia Serano can't find cis women to date?? http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/01/14/the-struggle-to-find-trans-love-in-san-francisco.html (I would expect the status boost of being a B-list activist would help; less high-status trans women have even less of a chance)
80 * the intellectually-honest, transhumanist version of trans rights
81 * "Entangled Truths, Contagious Lies": https://autogynephiliatruth.wordpress.com/2016/07/18/gender-identity-exists-to-create-special-framework-for-health-insurance-payments/
84 Gender of the Gaps (you can always propose an essence when people knock down your ludicrous rationalization)
85 Time Travel Isn't Real
89 70s denialists had it right
97 Getting It Right the First Time
98 Psychological Theories Predict Behavior, Not Just Self-Reports
99 My Delusional Paraphilia Is the Best Delusional Paraphilia in the World
100 Dual-Role Transvestism for the 21st Century
101 (I pass as college educated)
104 my upsetness at trans activists not respecting _my_ lived experience as AGP is reminicent of narcisstic rage in ppl hwo
106 at some point, I want to work in the idea that AGP is a good thing because it's a pro-androgyny force in a world that is otherwise way too gendered for my tastes
110 because we're not narcissists http://elegantgatheringofwhitesnows.com/?p=2270
112 euphoric effects of E are a placebo effect! https://autogynephiliatruth.wordpress.com/about/#comment-155
114 very vague childhood memory of wanting to play with my pecs? Is it real??
116 I'm happy for people to rebuild their lives around a paraphilia. I'm not happy for people to rebuild their lives around a _bad explanation_.
118 The Girl in the Mirror
120 A Man With a Transfeminine Side
121 The Man With the Nonstandard Hormone Balance
123 not a masculine, macho man, but, you know, the biologically-male kind of man
125 https://transwidow.wordpress.com/2016/01/25/the-masculinity-of-mtf-transition/
127 Blanchard tweets me: https://twitter.com/BlanchardPhD/status/830580552562524160
129 the story about being on the Portland MAX train and talking to Dap, and then saying hi to the woman
131 marketing opportunity? https://bannedbytrans.wordpress.com/speaking-out-against-transactivist-silencing-tactics/
133 _Someone_ has to be _that asshole_ who says the true thing that everyone else is too cowardly to say, and I guess it's going to have to be me, Taylor Saotome-Westlake.
135 tailcalled's survey: https://www.reddit.com/r/GCdebatesQT/comments/6hp72p/are_agps_misogynist_results_from_a_survey/
137 "I was already presenting as female online, and in the pretty niche stuff I was playing around with it seemed like I was a novelty to devs. I got more than a few questions about how I was a girl – who liked computers! The tone was always friendly, but the undertone was clear: I was weird." https://modelviewculture.com/pieces/there-and-back-again (The devs' surprise is making a _correct prediction_)
139 sorry Dad https://twitter.com/HandOnHilt/status/876880147152072704
141 http://www.translucidcomic.com/comic/the-pair/
143 too picky http://pbfcomics.com/comics/matched/
145 (early play behavior predicts later aggression) https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-017-1005-6
146 (empathizing and systematizing) http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0031661
148 https://twitter.com/arthur_affect/status/883902728849809409 "being nice to people with a weird disorder but not so nice you forget you're just humoring them" (Yes, exactly)
150 women do worse on Asch; in contrast, trans women are _selected_ for nonconformity
152 original research post?— the Hsu–Bailey autopedophilia paper finds a much higher rate of ETLE in pedophiles than in normal men (they say they found 15% AGP in the Mechanical Turk sample gathered for their earlier psychometrics-of-AGP work, but oddly, the psychometrics-of-AGP paper doesn't seem to mention this?? Maybe ask Bailey to clarify sometime??); could this be evidence for the developmental competition effect? (Pedophiles thankfully don't get to actualize their desires, so they fall into ETLI instead?) Similarly, concerning the high IQ of AGP trans women not just being a selection effect: maybe it's because smart people don't get laid (remember that study about a huge fraction of MIT grad students being virgins)
154 http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0118329
156 Inherent Trade-Offs in risk scoring https://arxiv.org/abs/1609.05807 (via https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/6xkyyu/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_following/dmk92dw/)
158 prental T and gynephilia in women and women-adj https://twitter.com/SteveStuWill/status/905572666332987392 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0018506X16301222
160 http://www.misfile.com/?date=2007-07-05
162 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40806-017-0120-x
164 body measurements dist'ns http://anthro.cs.uni-freiburg.de/#colx=100&coly=6
166 same-sex couples do less assortative mating! https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2843104/
169 On Mar 4, 2017 3:23 PM, "Zack M. Davis" <main@zackmdavis.net> wrote:
171 Genocide is murder of a class of people. Can you be more specific about the class of people you see being murdered (nerdy men?) and what you think is murdering them (the political-correctness memeplex that evolved as a social-control mechanism to prevent the United States from becoming Yugoslavia)?
173 I'm guessing you see a picture where the underlying bug in male sexual psychology that leads to AGP would be far less likely to progress to "gender dysphoria"/actually-doing-something-about-it in a world where it was socially-acceptable for highly-verbal 13-year-old boys to seek out sex instead of taking the you're-not-allowed-to-try verbal rules seriously? I agree with this; Blanchard calls this "developmental competition." It's notable that Robert Heinlein's novels have some very strong AGP themes, but I'm not aware of any evidence that he actually did anything about it real life, whereas I, growing up 80 years later, am about to and feel like it's the right choice on reflection given my historically-anomalous developmental trajectory, even though it probably looks like ideologically-driven self-harm from the perspective of normal men.
175 And you think that if the forces of political correctness win and "trans" becomes an entrenched cultural practice, that's like genociding future generations of Robert Heinlein analogues? Whereas from inside the trans-rights social-reality bubble, it looks like you're trying to genocide future generations of Julia Serano analogues. (Julia Serano is a prominent trans activist and author of one of the standard articles that get cited to try to "debunk" autogynephilia.) And from inside my Zack-M.-Davis-personal-eclectic-ideology-bubble, I want to rescue the Julia Serano aesthetic in a way that's compatible with knowledge of science and history. (Robert Heinlein was scientifically- and historically-literate, and Julia Serano is an ignorant ideologue, but Robert Heinlein was a manly man who was OK with being a manly man as his social identity and that's just not my style.)
177 On 2017-03-04 14:12, Michael Vassar wrote:
178 > The ACLU needs to address how plausible the arguments for censorship are. People accepting censorship need to address arguments about how real the harms are. As far as I can tell, you are three maximally concrete and articulate case of a person harness by PC in a context where an impartial summary would call it attempted genocide
180 "Years before that, two different transwomen I knew had pressured me into sending nude photos of my breasts to them." https://4thwavenow.com/2016/04/27/shrinking-to-survive-a-former-trans-man-reports-on-life-inside-queer-youth-culture/
185 Cut from quitting-hormones post (too repetitive given the rest of the blog?)—
187 I think I would prefer not to say it. But given [cultural](http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/ManIFeelLikeAWoman) and [scholarly]((https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15859369)) evidence that the underlying psychological phenomenon is not that uncommon, and given that trans rights is perhaps _the_ culture war issue of our time, of which the psychological phenomenon is of some relevance to, _someone has to say it_.
189 And I guess it's going to have to be me, Taylor Saotome-Westlake.
193 Tail: "zack logic: I don't want an AGP wife because they act too male and that'd be insufficiently female-aligned, I want a cis wife who acts like an AGP wife instead
194 have you considered just giving in to the AGP life?"
196 'conditional on "we somehow eliminate all homophobia and bullying of gnc people and so on", how realistic does the following sound?
197 Gay men no longer repress their GNC, which means they end up socially a lot more like HSTS trans women. (Exactly like HSTS trans women? Or would they be different because lower h on average?) This switches the west to """transgender homosexuality""", as, uh, the newHSTSs (that is, the HSTS-spectrum people who're now feminine in that society but aren't in ours) are now less attractive to each other but more attractive to straight men, and the straight men are less opposed to having sex with them because less homophobia. The newHSTSs are probably going to use HRT, if nothing else then because it makes them more attractive to straight men
198 because that's the impression I got from TMWWBQ'
202 The problem is not social engineering! The problem is _incompetent_ social engineering! The problem is not experimenting on children! The problem is experimenting on children in the service of an ideological crusade rather than in the service of finding out what happens!
206 > And in the online communities I encountered on my journey, and still follow today, I see the same question, repeated over and over, as sweet scared humans pour their vulnerability into a text box, entrusting a group of strangers to help them make the decision of a lifetime:
208 > What if this is just a fetish?
210 > —https://medium.com/gender-shrug/just-1b8c09a11f18
212 https://player.fm/series/opening-up-behind-the-scenes-of-our-open-marriage/8-johns-kink-with-consequences
215 https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/72vi36/foia_request_for_wansink_emails_show_how_an_ivy/dnmp0q9/ (relate to Conchran on lost knowledge?)
218 Vee String review: still ... noticeably not part of my body.
220 (That was the same thing I thought about breastforms. Considering how that escalted, maybe it would be better for my health and bodily integrity to not pursue this line of thinking ...)
224 tail: secretly, all AGP trans women are clockable because you can just look at the hobbies
226 https://www.reddit.com/r/asktransgender/comments/78zw2h/how_many_of_you_were_confused_by_a_transformation/
228 He has a wife and kids to support (if this is 1998) or her FFS bill to pay off (if this is (2018)
230 etymology fun fact: "male" comes from the Latin malus, meaning "bad"
234 on a Facebook thread about female-dominated gym classes, a female acquaintance writes, "My class focuses on weightlifting and it's still all women (including one trans, oddly enough)." (You wouldn't say "oddly enough" if you actually believed that trans women are women!)
236 This is so great (super-AGP 13th century Jewish narrative)
237 http://www.on1foot.org/text/even-bochan-kalonymus-ben-kalonymus
238 http://www.transtorah.org/PDFs/On-Becoming-A-Woman.pdf
240 https://theestablishment.co/yes-trans-women-can-get-period-symptoms-e43a43979e8c
242 Rya comes out as AGP: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ferdf6iRTOg
246 I really hope there's a way to use frequencies and Bayes nets to disprove dysphoria→AGP causal direction, particularly because then I'll be able to call the post "Algebraic Typology"
248 I thought of this pun first/independently: https://twitter.com/WildStoryWoman/status/927514752405737474
250 BIID: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/m/pubmed/28711223/?i=1&from=body%20integrity%20identity%20disorder
252 the heartbreaking misogyny of my native subculture (not that I'm any different): https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/7bjywe/wellness_wednesday_8th_november_2017/dpitpnu/
254 Christian AGP repressor: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCG7sNHEv-HMKwGQE9RS2byQ
256 Binnie-ism: https://twitter.com/FioraAeterna/status/928664101013790720
261 but now I'm watching TV
262 and I have a new actress crush
264 maybe it's just the character she's playing, but she seems slightly facially masculinized?
267 America Ferrera is also in this show
268 I remember her from Ugly Betty, which I would watch at the University in 2007
269 before the personality-altering nervous breadown that led me to quit
270 there was a trans woman character on that show, but she was played by Rebecca Romijn
271 there was a poignant line (you know it's poignant when you can remember a line from a TV show you saw ten years ago) where she says to her brother, "Look into my eyes, Danny; it's the only thing they couldn't change"
272 and how do I put this
273 my blog would sound a lot less transphobic if we had the technology to make AGPs look like Rebecca Romijn
274 Trent - Today at 11:17 PM
275 it would sound more transphobic, no? you'd have transitioned, so you wouldn't be concerned with some of the signalling you do now (e.g. woman as a gender rather than transwoman as one) and may indeed be actively signalling that you haven't signed the contract, Yardley-style; the idea it'd be less transphobic assumes becoming Romijn would put you more in line with trans topics as well
276 (unless I'm misinterpreting something, which is a reasonable assumption)
277 Carrie Zelda-Michelle Davis - Today at 11:19 PM
278 you're right; I wasn't taking the hypothetical seriously enough
280 > ("Since I was 5, I felt like I've been dropped in the wrong skin. This is about correcting a mistake." "Oh, is that all it is? Really?" "That's the fast version.")
282 sex diffs in paraphilias: https://muse.jhu.edu/article/669634/pdf
284 malpractice lawsuit (can't find better public info): https://detransitionedwomenresistadf.wordpress.com/2017/11/19/first-blog-post/
286 transition didn't change crime rate: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0016885
288 "... your identity is supposed to describe the problems you face in your life, not manufacture them": http://neat-dyke.tumblr.com/post/167070168982/old-school-butch-neat-dyke-something-that
290 http://neat-dyke.tumblr.com/post/162258180487/on-being-a-young-butch-lesbian-at-pride-2017
292 http://neat-dyke.tumblr.com/post/154578646192/negative-social-effects-of-my-mastectomy
294 productivity lifehacks: do excellent work in an extremely low-status field that you'd be mortified to be primarily known for, thus forcing yourself to also do excellent work in another area in order to rescue your reputation
296 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=7757667
297 https://clarissasblog.com/2014/05/14/i-dont-want-to-hire-women/
299 drawn by a cis woman?? http://weknowmemes.com/2013/11/perks-of-being-a-woman/
301 "Impact of Using Non-Birth Sex on the Interpretation of Spirometry Data in Subjects With Air-Flow Obstruction": http://rc.rcjournal.com/content/early/2017/11/28/respcare.05586
303 decrease in IQ on puberty suppression: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnhum.2017.00528/full
305 AGP pride flag origin: https://4archive.org/board/lgbt/thread/8628058/attached-image-is-the-agp-pride-flag-black-represents-the-r
307 https://www.reddit.com/r/asktransgender/comments/6uc18b/has_any_of_you_felt_horny_when_using_a_packer_for/
309 https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/kbxw7v/i-was-robbed-of-my-transgender-childhood
311 https://www.reddit.com/r/asktransgender/comments/4ltxc1/does_anyone_else_get_really_turned_on_checking/
313 https://www.reddit.com/r/MtF/comments/7iqcaf/told_my_wife_i_want_to_transition/
315 https://www.reddit.com/r/asktransgender/comments/5axie2/nsfw_im_mtf_i_feel_like_my_body_is_aroused_and/
317 https://www.reddit.com/r/asktransgender/comments/7vdw5u/arousal_is_really_messing_with_my_head/
319 https://www.reddit.com/r/asktransgender/comments/7yfyp2/anybody_discover_they_were_trans_though_sissy_porn/
321 https://np.reddit.com/r/asktransgender/comments/8hob8i/why_do_i_do_this_nsfw/
323 Lindsay Shepherd/James Damore shipfic
325 Brazillian woman moves to Sweeden and cherished egalitarian culture: https://medium.com/@sayhellotovanessa/the-oddities-of-being-an-invisible-woman-8570394caa0d
327 most of men's attractiveness is cues of upper-body strength: http://rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/284/1869/20171819
329 > In the psychiatric evaluation, Johnson reveals that Kaczynski had persistent and intense sexual fantasies about being a woman. While he was a graduate student at the University of Michigan in 1967, he went to a psychiatrist to discuss his wishes for a sex change operation. But in the waiting room, he decided he could not go forward. Instead, he told the psychiatrist he was depressed about the possibility of being drafted.
331 > — https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1998/09/12/gender-confusion-sex-change-idea-fueled-kaczynskis-rage-report-says/eb33b946-8595-427d-af4c-9ccaada45935/?utm_term=.6222611253f6
333 so I'm watching more of the retail comedy with :hearts:♡ Lauren Ash ♡:hearts:, and I think it's just _sociologically fascinating_ how the writers are playing Culture War (guest star character is pro-bathroom bill, and our protagonists are sneeringly like, "Wow, that's so bigoted")
334 like, this is how social change happens
335 with a conspiracy of NBC comedy writers conspiring to hamfistedly socially intimidate their viewers into not believing anything uncool
336 that's my second thought, anyway
338 OMG ★♡ Lauren Ash ♡★ I want to be ~~with~~ her
340 https://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/culture/erik-soderstrom/2016/09/23/superstore-goes-strike-mocks-bigots-against-transgender
342 > Garrett: Hey, nik-nik-nikki. I had a quick just, like, silly question for you. Uh, how serious are you about all this sort of trans bathroom stuff?
343 Nikki: What do you mean?
344 Garrett: I mean, like, is it the only thing you think about or is it more like one of those barely talk about it, just how you were raised, opinion could change if you surrounded yourself with a cooler, more diverse group of friends type deals?
346 (it's interesting that there's one other (semi-) widely-recognized expansion of that initialism)
348 the "husband and provider and guardian of a small AI" game looks fun, that I would be so good at it that the thought isn't worth dropping just because you deserve Bob and Alice doesn't want me and Carol doesn't want me and Edith quietly detests me and Georgia belongs to Dave and the owners of OKCupid have pissed themselves laughing about how much money I'm paying them for the privilege of knowing that _ and _ haven't read my poem
350 "You women and your risk-aversion (compared to men) due to lower reproductive variance (than men) in the environment of evolutionary adaptiveness" is what my analogue who is not forbidden from such thoughts would say
352 I like her as a person but am very conscious of the extent to which I am currently on her good side due to luck and carefully deceptive handling
354 (I don't even think I know what I use internally; my blog says "trans women" as two words so as not to pile insult onto injury) but my model, under whatever word, is "guys like me"
356 like many bottom-80-percentile males, I'm ambiguous on the sign of the poly thing
359 suffering is the chisel God uses to shape us into our true selves
361 suffering is bad in general, but I've already used up my please-take-care-of-me-I'm-hurt quota for the year, which means I have to enthusiastically endorse any emotional pain that happens to me today
363 everyone already knows to be cynical about cola commercials, but somehow people expect "Seek medical care if you're concerned" to be taken literally
365 "We have so much in common!" I said. "Too much," she said.
366 the cognitive dissonance that makes "all trans women" and "all closet crossdressers" the only stable equilibria for social circles of AGP males in a culture without a public concept of AGP
367 https://transblog.grieve-smith.com/the-essential-conflict/
369 at JCC camp, I remember saying that I wasn't the kind of guy who was interested in big breasts. "Well, then you're not a guy," I was told. But actually I just hadn't hit puberty yet
371 Like, I used to tack the word "aspiring" in front as my preferred means of indicating that we don't think we've already solved rationality. Nowadays, I just reach for the scare quotes.
373 While I agree that words can be used in many ways depending on context, I claim that sometimes it's useful to use this top-20 noun to refer strictly to the same thing it's always referred to for the past 200,000 years since language evolved, even if we have reasonably chosen to broaden the extension of that noun to also include other, relevantly similar things in most day-to-day contexts! Given that people are capable of inferring what is meant from the relevant context, this won't confuse anyone, and we can continue peacefully using language to describe reality. Then, we can use those descriptions of reality to formulate plans! Plans that will steer the universe into regions of configuration space that rank higher in our individual and collective preference orderings!
375 NRx-inspired (sigh ... yes, unfortunately) points—
377 (most of this should probably be split into a separate post even if I'm happening to do some outlining in this file; evil speculation shouldn't contaminate the solid "Infovism" idea/slogan)—
379 * democracy is government by whichever memes happen to be the most virulent
380 * outcomes of the long run of a one-dimensional conflict can be classified, roughly something like: Left total victory, right total victory, mutually assured destruction, and program equilibrium
381 * program equilibrium isn't easy/possible for humans
382 * the key point here is that "grant this demand, deny all others" isn't a
383 defensible Schelling point; if you yield here, the _same algorithm_ is
384 going to be running the next time
385 * "Berkeley 2009 morality was just right, but this Berkeley 2017 bullshit has
387 * If I were dictator, (Berkeley, 2009) could be made to work, but everyone has her own (city, year) pair
388 * for some reason I thought this was analogous to something from the
389 Coherent Extrapolated Volition document: Dennis thinks he should own
390 the world, but fairness requires that Dennis's name be erased from any
391 such request, and "some X should own the world" is underspecified"
392 * remember my conversation with a certain female bio-/psychologist studying at
393 Harvard who told me that "Trans women are men with a mental illness" made
394 more sense, but that she was afraid to even think that within the privacy of
397 * Moldbug, "The True Meaning of Diversity": "Certainly not every party member
398 is an [X]. Most of them, in fact, are not. Nor is it absolutely guaranteed
399 that every single [X] will be a party member. But most of them, in fact,
400 are"—thus, requiring representaiton of Xes benefits the party
401 * practice of deferring to designated-victim trans women _makes the trans
402 women worse people_: if you know that you can win a dispute by playing the
403 transphobia card, that incentive shapes your life (Moldbug: discussion of
404 "ignoble privilege" in "Gentle Introduction" pt. 3)
405 * kind of like how _the right to be sued_ is an important part of legal
406 personhood: the possibility of recourse is necessary for trust
409 feminists are masculinized: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4158978/
411 APA pronoun stickers: https://twitter.com/4th_WaveNow/status/950052584416595969
412 (original is https://twitter.com/Lucia_A_Schwarz/status/949315365842116608 )
414 women's voices allegedly getting deeper?!— https://twitter.com/degenrolf/status/949530603342454784
416 https://www.reddit.com/r/asktransgender/comments/7py0ic/fetishizing_yourself/
418 https://medium.com/eden-the-cat/please-stop-making-me-come-out-as-non-binary-at-work-ab72e17abbcc
419 https://medium.com/eden-the-cat/i-came-out-as-non-binary-a-year-ago-here-is-my-experience-177f74fc553e
421 Tailcalled: "The five genders, chad, male, enby, female, stacy"
423 https://www.reddit.com/r/GenderCritical/comments/7s4bu2/as_a_lesbian_in_university_i_feel_increasingly/
425 https://theestablishment.co/japanese-cartoon-porn-helped-me-understand-my-trans-identity-d5bba16cdaf3
427 AAP: https://www.reddit.com/r/GCdebatesQT/comments/7s8twd/do_trans_natal_males_fetishize_teenage_girlhood/dt3ea2n/
429 the conjunction of anti-transphobia and anti-Islamophobia is very strange
431 https://voices.avoiceformen.com/j4mb/2018/01/15/terrified-patient-treated-like-transphobic-bigot/ —this is a compelling fiction prompt! Sad that a male author like me would be needed to fill in the "evolutionary radfem" niche—have the protagonist be hyperaware of the Rotherdam betrayal
433 Zucker et al. study that's one of the sources of "majority desist" claims ("Demographics, behavior problems, and psychosexual characteristics of adolescents with gender identity disorder or transvestic fetishism") https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22390530
436 Old: A*P is caused by internalized sexism, thinking that you have to be a boy to be masculine and have to be a girl to be feminine
437 Bold: A*P is caused by lack of sexism, thinking that you can be masculine/nerdy as a girl and feminine/sensitive as a boy
439 https://pasunhomme.wordpress.com/2015/01/26/crossdressing-and-the-untransy-valley/
443 * transitioning and passing (or passing-adj) as a good outcome
444 * transitioning and not-passing as a bad outcome,
445 * soft body mods (e.g. my breasts)/occasional transvestism without social transition as a good outcome
446 * nonbinary-but-unwilling-to-explain-what-that-means-because-MIGI as a bad outcome (because people are still going to notice your biological sex and make probabilistic inferences about it, but feel socially obligated to pretend that they aren't, and ubiquitous socially-obligatory lies are bad), and
447 * NB-adj transfeminine or transmasculine as an explicit third-gender role as a good outcome, but a very tricky social-engineering problem to establish that niche where it doesn't already exist
449 https://twitter.com/KJ_Harrison/status/958435696359993345
451 distinguish between two types of culture war: when you're demonizing the enemy as orcs, and when you're fighting for the outcome of what happens to people _just like you_
453 it won't look like that for me due to ideological factors
454 "No, I'm not transitioning; I just want to get back on HRT again, for Science"
456 Carrie Zelda-Michelle Davis - Today at 7:48 PM
457 "No, it's not facial feminization surgery; it's just a different cosmetic procedure that happens to be performed by the same doctor"
459 (on the phone during supermarket checkout) "No, it's just a brain transplant into a artificial vat-grown female body." (store clerk says, "Have a good day, ma'am") "That's very kind of you to say, but—"
461 I need to write a magical-realism short story pushing on the analogies between dating as a hot girl and job-searching as a good programmer. Specifically, a story a world in which all engineers are female and all businesspeople are male, dwelling on the theme that on the one hand, it's nice to protected and valued and be taken care of, but on the other hand, it's exploitative that the class of protectors is freeloading off the creative labor of your class, which they could never produce on their own (smash capitalism/the patriarchy!!)
463 Carrie Zelda-Michelle Davis - Today at 12:00 AM
464 "I totally agree with [one-sentence literal summary of the movement's goals], I just disagree with [every other belief and instrumental strategy connotationally associated with the movement]"
465 ... actually, this generalized situation (meeting the criteria of a simple verbal definition, but not being part of that cluster in configuration space along most dimensions) sounds awfully familiar
466 ... I'm pro-trans in the same sense that AGP trans women are women
467 vaticidalprophet - Today at 12:02 AM
468 I get the feeling ever saying those words invalidates you from all definitions of 'pro-trans' even if they are strictly speaking correct
469 Carrie Zelda-Michelle Davis - Today at 12:03 AM
470 but Treeeeent, the bullet-biting æsthetic
471 vaticidalprophet - Today at 12:03 AM
472 jesus, Oberlo is taking a long time to update the prices on my sketchy streetwear dropshipping store
473 Carrie Zelda-Michelle Davis - Today at 12:03 AM
474 you can tell I'm serious about it because I bothered to grab the æ ligatrue
475 vaticidalprophet - Today at 12:04 AM
476 I can tell you're pretentious because you bothered to grab it, that's orthogonal
477 Carrie Zelda-Michelle Davis - Today at 12:04 AM
478 "... ligatrue?" "Yes."
482 to say on FB after "The Categories" is finished??
484 So, hopefully this version is a lot clearer and less needlessly dramatic than my kamikaze halt-melt-catch-fire public tantrum/mental-breakdown of this time last year: [blog link]
490 https://www.wired.com/2009/03/designerdebate/
491 cellular-level sex differences http://www.physiology.org/doi/abs/10.1152/ajpcell.00281.2013
493 Effects of prenatal androgens on rhesus monkeys https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3146061/
495 https://theestablishment.co/why-we-must-stop-calling-menstruation-a-womens-issue-a9c58c677f7c
497 https://twitter.com/BretWeinstein/status/969660864641953792
499 https://www.teenvogue.com/story/9-things-people-get-wrong-about-being-non-binary
501 60,000 likes for "Some men have a uterus": https://twitter.com/PPIndKentucky/status/969384341636861952
503 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radical_flank_effect
505 demography: https://twitter.com/conradhackett/status/974750991756283904
507 http://sinesalvatorem.tumblr.com/post/172312442416/trying-to-talk-to-trans-people-about-their-sexual any scale that involves "pretending you’re a woman" in the instructions is OK by me
509 http://sinesalvatorem.tumblr.com/post/172395616411/explanations-for-distinct-clusters-of-transgender
511 https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/blood-boundaries-should-transfusions-be-matched-by-sex/
513 Nothing we haven't seen before, but God Herself above, this fucking poll and thread: https://www.reddit.com/r/MtF/comments/89nw0w/did_you_have_a_genderbody_swaptransformation/
515 https://www.reddit.com/r/MtF/comments/89s93d/getting_so_much_transierthanthou_flak_for_being/
517 Culture War gem mining, traditionalism for the family: https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/88zgv0/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_april_2_2018/dwt8kjb/
519 https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2018/04/biohacking-siren-song/557849/
523 A female commenter on one of Giego's posts—
525 "When I do experience strong attraction, it feels like being scared of the power of attraction itself. It's pleasantly thrilling rather than aversive, but the fear is real, and it's just as compelling as any other fear. This feeling is what produces my coy behaviors like smiling and looking away.
527 "In this way, I literally *feel* whatever this delay mating instinct is.
529 "I can't just decide not to feel it. I will feel it no matter what.
531 "Also, I enjoy the thrill. I don't *want* to get rid of it. I would prefer to experience more of it. If you want to talk about sheer hedonism, I would definitely want to keep this feeling if I were to re-engineer my brain. The feeling of anticipation or suspense is very enjoyable for me."
535 fake implies artificial (but not vice versa)
537 Cut from "Reply to The Unit" (too far afield, not sure what point I'm trying to make): speculating about unproven sex differences isn't _quite_ as prejudicial as it sounds: if a 19th century scholar, knowing nothing of sex chromosomes, had reasoned, "Whatever the physical mechanism of heredity turns out to be, it probably distinguishes between males and females". (Is https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Temperature-dependent_sex_determination a counterexample or the dreaded "example that proves the rule" like pipefish or the Eurasian dotterel?)
539 the ultimate AGP weekend project (like crossdressing, but with more code): http://svencharleer.com/blog/2018/02/02/family-fun-with-deepfakes-or-how-i-got-my-wife-onto-the-tonight-show/
541 "right"-aligned folk like to say the IAT is "pseudoscientific bullshit", but what if those failed replications are just committing Goldberg's "fallacy of the irrelevant experiment"? Here's a pro-IAT _and_ pro-stereotype-accuracy take: "blacks are violent" stereotype strength varies with local crime rates http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1948550617753522 (via https://twitter.com/mjbsp/status/983338239221293057)
543 want to get around to watching this https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HDDIWGlBt3o
545 Tips for arguing with libtards:
546 * They don't like the "Don't negotiate with terrorists" frame because they don't understand analogies; need to find gentler frames
547 * They'll believe that you're AGP, but they don't want you to say that other people are AGP because they don't understand that the self is still a part of objective reality; need to explain why it matters
549 Consider an illustrative diagram in which there is a hard line in the combined height–weight configuration space, but the line isn't describable in terms of height or weight alone. If there were sufficiently many more traits/dimensions, we could imagine "not describable in terms of some small number of variables n" starting to look more like "not explicitly describable by humans."
551 (not gender-related but I don't have a good notes system): E. Weinstein on IQ: https://twitter.com/EricRWeinstein/status/987833935185952768
553 "Prenatal endocrine influences on sexual orientation and on sexually differentiated childhood behavior" https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3296090/
555 The sad thing is, not only is AGP not the same thing as what women feel, a lot of woman are disgusted by it: https://www.reddit.com/r/GenderCritical/comments/8e9gd6/what_men_find_behind_female_masks/dxtgrcp/
557 https://feminina.eu/2017/12/28/my-current-philosophical-struggles/
559 http://strip.villainette.com/20180205
561 Yes, my Friendship Problems are proof of my female MIGI: "The overall rates of friendship conflict did not differ between men and women, but women were more likely to clash with close friends, to express feelings of anguish over the breakup, and to be more demanding of evidence of remorse before reconciling." — https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/16/science/friendship-discrimination.html
563 women Cooperate less in Prisoner's Dilemma?! https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0001691817305917
565 degrees of FBOE and GNC https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-017-0980-y
567 T. accurately psychoanalyzes me: "she doesn't want men and women to be different, and spends a lot of time minimizing these differences, except when she's trying to be more ego-syntonic about the decision to live as male
568 in which case she writes giant blog posts on how real and massive it is"
570 "women drivers" stereotype vs. car insurance acturaries
572 "as we all know the two genders are math and pregnant" https://rationalists-out-of-context.tumblr.com/post/171916119173/as-we-all-know-the-two-genders-are-math-and?is_related_post=1#notes
574 _Dumbing of Age_ Carla "There's a _reason_ for that" http://www.dumbingofage.com/2014/comic/book-5/01-when-somebody-loved-me/purpleandskates/
576 how does the "women like close-knit friends, whereas men like large, loose coalitions" interact with sex-segregated spaces?—would seem to imply _less_ demand for female-only than male-only quasi-public spaces
578 another crime list: http://appropriately-inappropriate.tumblr.com/post/161606755575/the-tip-of-the-iceberg-please-add-to-this-list
580 https://www.autostraddle.com/how-to-have-trans-woman-lesbian-sex-with-a-penis-414839/
583 Carrie Zelda-Michelle Davis - Today at 9:07 AM
584 @tail (Richard) "LG doesn't belong with T because" this needs to be blogged; should I credit you?
585 tail (Richard) - Today at 9:07 AM
586 :spray: you need to stop being TERFy :thunk:
587 Carrie Zelda-Michelle Davis - Today at 9:08 AM
588 then TERFs should stop having such good jokes
589 tail (Richard) - Today at 9:08 AM
590 (this is a significant TERF controversy - not sure if you've heard of it :thunk: )
593 the argument that LG and T don't belong are TERFs
594 Carrie Zelda-Michelle Davis - Today at 9:10 AM
595 I guess I should have quoted the whole thing; I was familiar with the talking point, but it's funny that a naive observer should say, "Um, you mean that the other way around, right? Trans is the intersex condition, LG is sexual orientation" and then the speaker would say "No"
596 tail (Richard) - Today at 9:10 AM
597 ah ok, thought you cut off the joke because you were referring to the talking point
599 tail (Richard) - Today at 9:12 AM
600 mm, I don't care that much about getting credited but it'd probably be nice (as long as the credit doesn't make me look TERFy :V)
602 https://www.reddit.com/r/Blanchardianism/comments/8izbbj/prevalence_of_the_wish_to_be_of_the_opposite/
604 I wasn't brave enough to take a she/her sticker, but it would have been in character, Twilight Sparkle
606 I've heard of fake geek girls, but this is ridiculous
608 big brain sex differences study with pretty pictures and d-values: https://academic.oup.com/cercor/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cercor/bhy109/4996558
610 body horror: https://girl-unashamed.tumblr.com/post/174051510579/parthenogenon-billnihilism-also-i-have-had
612 the recording here also has stop-recording exchange: https://gendertrender.wordpress.com/2018/05/15/degenderettes-qa-san-francisco-5-12-2018/
614 Blanchard on the record about "homosexual" terminology: https://twitter.com/BlanchardPhD/status/999680624817508352
616 no one remembers pronouns: https://twitter.com/BlanchardPhD/status/1060563648027021314
618 material reality: https://twitter.com/jennyrossity/status/1084449984399970305
620 https://twitter.com/RachelRMoran/status/1060311474780946432
622 http://abc30.com/homeless-women-harassed-in-shower-lawsuit-says/3514544/
624 https://medium.com/@maybekatz/on-the-design-of-womens-spaces-72bf8f396dc0
626 http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-5799375/Anti-HPV-jab-given-teenage-boys-identify-girls.html
628 Yaaaaaay eugenics https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs40592-018-0081-2
630 Hilarious http://skeletonclaw.com/post/102911594023
632 https://femsplain.com/on-being-non-binary-in-female-spaces-12d5980e7f0c
634 "Genome-wide association study reveals sex-specific genetic architecture of facial attractiveness" https://www.biorxiv.org/content/early/2018/06/06/339226
636 Connecticut farce gets worse: https://twitter.com/GameTimeCT/status/1003739370736816129
638 Gnon dislikes too much sexual dimorphism!! (HT Hanson) http://www.kokkonuts.org/wp-content/uploads/Kokko.pdf
640 Any% run: https://www.reddit.com/r/LivestreamFail/comments/6o3gve/cyberdemon531_makes_a_drunk_idiot_of_herself/dkecra4/
642 https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/sex-change-killer-to-be-free-as-a-bird/news-story/b1fecc9a9a4717607de6e980980e0ba5?sv=e95663cd723e2f8ffa0caa3329e03203
644 "The Masculine Woman’s War on Gender Roles" http://www.ericwulff.com/blog/?p=1861
646 https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2018/06/sexism-racism-never-diminishes-even-everyone-becomes-less-sexist-racist.html
648 http://theweek.com/articles/715794/how-single-men-women-are-making-politics-more-extreme
650 https://twitter.com/goldmansachs/status/747834825831292928?lang=en
653 https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/991707514294194176.html
654 https://mashable.com/2018/06/23/charlotte-clymer-twitter-thread-cuba-libre/#HzX3Kmpl3PqB
655 https://www.metroweekly.com/2018/06/transgender-woman-says-she-was-kicked-out-of-popular-d-c-restaurant-for-using-womens-restroom/
656 https://twitter.com/ChelseaClinton/status/1010596357093117953
657 https://twitter.com/cmclymer/status/1060699882506383360
659 "It’s officially impossible to find regular real lesbians unless you happen to stumble upon them in the wild ..."
660 https://www.reddit.com/r/GenderCritical/comments/8mahdy/peak_trans_vii_tell_your_story_here/e1jtuqz/
662 https://medium.com/@dtwps/all-these-black-characters-and-0-done-right-how-steven-universe-fails-its-black-fanbase-part-i-81e0b0b8c3fe
664 4 for 4 https://twitter.com/InnerCityFish/status/1015203128885567493
666 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/07/08/government-drops-doctor-says-gender-given-birth/?utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1531034286
668 https://twitter.com/_sagesharp_/status/1015755975687430145
670 https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/8xa97t/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_july_09_2018/e228vyj/ "Literally all they have to say is 'I'm not physically attracted to every woman in the world'" (But that's not their True Rejection! Are you really in favor of Universal Socially-Mandatory Lies?!)
672 https://where.coraline.codes/blog/oscon/
674 https://www.economist.com/open-future/2018/07/06/changing-the-concept-of-woman-will-cause-unintended-harms
676 Riley is in the rewriting-her-past stage (just like all the other lesbians, I thought I had to like boys because of heteronormativity—and, "want her or be her" fantasy—only a brief mention that TERFs suck): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H34a-EIzSIs
678 What moral should we derive from the experience of breaking a condom inside of a Fleshlight?
679 It's like running over a pedestrian in a driving simulator
680 You'd think it would teach you that such a tiny mistake could have such enormous, life-altering consequences
681 Except for the context in which there are no consequences
683 DSM specifics as historical accident: https://twitter.com/BlanchardPhD/status/1023199189046579200
685 Posie Parker interview: https://auticulture.com/the-liminalist-161-posie-parker/
687 https://medium.com/@JonahMix/playing-the-intersex-card-3d95bb29ea16
689 on the internet and tell lies https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHrZRJR4igQ
691 just watched "Return to Tomorrow"—so wait, Kirk _and_ Spock both got to be women??
693 pity for the secret-sharing squirrels https://cptsdcarlosdevil.tumblr.com/post/176414647498/i-think-a-lot-of-my-relationship-advice-is-deeply
695 notable for the IRB-servitude if nothing else: https://academia.stackexchange.com/questions/114404/how-to-query-gender-in-a-multiple-choice-poll-survey
697 https://twitter.com/compiledwrong/status/994263573512601600 "How long does it take you to stop feeling like a guest in the house after you join a new company?"—when I feel OK about always choosing the female variant reaction emoji
699 https://twitter.com/turnthetide2018/status/1023959468764213248
701 http://andrewgelman.com/2007/08/14/more_taboo_rese/
703 http://www.bostonherald.com/news/columnists/howie_carr/2018/08/howie_carr_jim_lyons_out_pcs_the_democrats The only thing that would make this story more entertaining is if the Democrats bit the bullet and approved every amendment. (Or earnestly debated that e.g. there should be exactly one of "cis female" and "cis woman" &c.)
705 I should read Li Kung and Hines 2017 https://twitter.com/rftbk/status/1027314120381620230
707 The Rust survey asks: "If you find it difficult to participate in the Rust community, and feel comfortable giving more details, please tell us what makes it difficult" with the subhead "Optional. Please share only what you are comfortable sharing". I write: "I have some nuanced and detailed views on transgender issues that I suspect might make me a target for exclusion if people knew about them? Mostly this doesn't matter (the community is focused on technology, as it should be), but it does feel slightly sad to be socially incentivized to separate the technology-focused and sociopolitically-focused aspects of one's public intellectual persona (by having a second blog under a pseudonym, &c.) in a way that people with other views probably aren't."
709 what can go wrong: https://www.reddit.com/r/GenderCritical/comments/95z2zj/i_dont_think_im_going_to_my_girls_hobby_club/
711 Tail pasted a graph from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/7895384_Masculine_Girls_and_Feminine_Boys_Genetic_and_Environmental_Contributions_to_Atypical_Gender_Development_in_Early_Childhood that showed heritable/shared/nonshared bars
713 https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/08/online-dating-out-of-your-league/567083/
715 https://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/15/us/target-transgender-idaho-voyeurism.html?_r=0
717 On Mon, Jun 27, 2016 at 9:11 AM, Zack M. Davis <main@zackmdavis.net> wrote:
718 The family resemblance between me and my sister is quite striking (much more so, I think, than the resemblance between us and either parent); we have the same nose, same dark hair that curls into raidus-half-inch helices, maybe similar mannerisms, probably similar cognitive profiles. Unlike me, my sister is socially well-adjusted. [...] If it's actually the case that one's will is subtly out of alignment with a hypermajority of healthy people in ways that are predictable and causally related to one's medical condition, that might be really disappointing from some grand fun-theoretic universe-design sense, but in the real world where one is not God and everything outside of one's skull is a constant, not being delusional about the degree of alignment might actually be useful in learning how to cooperate better, if mere cooperation is the best we can do.
720 https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/10/business/media/charlottesville-jason-kessler-npr.html?smid=fb-nytimes&smtyp=cur
722 Scattered Personal Reflections After a Tech Conference; Or, Smile More; https://rust-lang.github.io/rustconf-2018-keynote/#56
724 AGP-motivated radfem alignment https://twitter.com/michaelbeltis/status/1032042346450276352
726 Moldbug's deep rhetorical game: https://theotherlifenow.com/bear-traps/
728 when social-justice people say that language is "outdated", do they have an idea of what changed? There may be an uncomfortable analogy here to programmers who want to insist on the latest version of everything even when the old stuff still works!
730 https://broadly.vice.com/en_us/article/evkwm4/how-to-be-an-ally-to-non-binary-gender-non-conforming-people-support
732 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inoculation_theory
736 Extracted from one of my SEXNET posts—
738 Unrelatedly, Beck et al. note in passing a fascinating finding that I think deserves more examination:
740 > Gender portrayal seems to vary based on target audience. In genres and channels targeting boys, girls are more likely to be depicted as smarter, less emotional, and more technically savvy (Baker & Raney, 2007; Gerding and & Signorielli, 2014; Thompson & Zerbinos, 1995). Conversely, genres and channels targeting girl viewers depict boys as more emotional and affectionate than do boy-oriented media (Aubrey & Harrison, 2004; Hentges & Case, 2013).
742 The authors go on to state that "[i]n sum, children's media reinforce gender role binaries and suggest that our culture values strictly delineated gender roles." But left unexplained is why a culture that values strictly delineated gender roles would optimize for portraying girls with masculine-coded virtues in boys' media and boys with feminine-coded virtues in girls' media. (An alternative theory that does predict this particular datum is that media producers are incentivized to cater to children's egocentric fantasies of the other sex's psychology being more like their own ...)
747 Extracted from reply to Ozy on categories—
749 > Conversely, as far as I can tell, there has yet to be a single transgender NFL football player, while statistically there ought to be five currently playing.
751 A side note, but—this doesn't actually seem hard to explain. If the ought-to-be-five means MtFs, well, you _can't_ transition MtF and _stay_ in the NFL—HRT is going to kill your performance. Even if you think the effect size of hormones is overhyped, this is a _very_ competitive area, you can't say, "Oh, it only affected performance like ten percent, that's nothing—ten percent is _huge_." This doesn't rule out Jenner-class eggs in the NFL.
753 And if it means FtMs, well, people get into football as teenagers: there are going to be structural reasons making that difficult even if gynephilic FtMs _are_ the sort of people who would like to play (difficulty of transitioning _that_ early _and_ being stealthy about it, and difficulty of being accepted as one of the guys if you're not stealthy—let alone NFL/NCAA policy about steroid use, if the matter has even come up, which is probably hasn't)
755 The tone of the video news report here makes me nervous (_deception_ is a crime, but the fetish itself shouldn't disqualify him from being a _crossing guard_) https://www.abc15.com/news/crime/pd-gilbert-man-fakes-down-syndrome-hires-caregivers-to-bathe-him-and-change-diapers
757 This is basically the _Quillette_ article that I wanted to write: https://quillette.com/2018/09/12/stereotypes-are-often-harmful-and-accurate/
759 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/ijop.12529
761 https://lesbian-rights-nz.org/shame-receipts/
763 Has someone done the game-theoretic microfoundations of radical feminism?
765 another ROGD referral graph: https://twitter.com/LavenderVerse/status/1042573498592501763
767 https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/unisex-changing-rooms-put-women-in-danger-8lwbp8kgk
769 CoC thread (I donated $10 to the author for this): https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1041668315947708416.html
770 https://mobile.twitter.com/unconed/status/1045325718056554498
772 https://metro.co.uk/2018/09/19/transgender-teen-to-admit-murdering-parents-who-refused-to-accept-her-transition-7960036/
774 https://www.reddit.com/r/GenderCritical/comments/8mahdy/peak_trans_vii_tell_your_story_here/e69oh83/
776 dystopia where all women call themselves nonbinary and men call themselves trans women
778 https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/9ejzkm/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_10/e64jjos/?context=3&sort=best
780 https://www.expressnews.com/news/local/article/Transgender-woman-in-San-Antonio-files-13244056.php?utm_campaign=twitter-mobile&utm_source=CMS%20Sharing%20Button&utm_medium=social "male or female gender should be self-identified and self-reported for the purpose of blood donation"
782 https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2018/09/how-i-was-hounded-off-campus-for-saying-women-dont-have-penises/
784 https://www.econlib.org/you-dont-understand-our-culture/
786 https://twitter.com/tvandreacross/status/1043603304763351041 made me wonder why I haven't heard "Make it easier to get a GRC, but revoke it as part of the penalty for crimes, especially sex crimes" proposed as a compromise
788 WTF _Nature_ redux https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-06784-5?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+nature%2Frss%2Fcurrent+%28Nature+-+Issue%29
790 https://law.justia.com/cases/california/court-of-appeal/2017/b263563.html
792 https://mobile.twitter.com/JamesCantorPhD/status/1012722559874486272
794 Damore is working again https://twitter.com/JamesADamore/status/1034623633174478849
796 HSTS doesn't like being asked pronouns https://twitter.com/Kinesis/status/1046485034113220608
800 וַיֹּאמֶר אֲלֵיהֶם מֹשֶׁה הַֽחִיִּיתֶם כָּל־נְקֵבָֽה׃
802 "Have you allowed all the women to live?" he asked them.
805 וְעַתָּה הִרְגוּ כָל־זָכָר בַּטָּף וְכָל־אִשָּׁה יֹדַעַת אִישׁ לְמִשְׁכַּב זָכָר הֲרֹֽגוּ
807 Now kill all the boys. And kill every woman who has slept with a man,
810 וְכֹל הַטַּף בַּנָּשִׁים אֲשֶׁר לֹא־יָדְעוּ מִשְׁכַּב זָכָר הַחֲיוּ לָכֶֽם
812 but save for yourselves every girl who has never slept with a man.
815 What actual women are like vs. feminist power fantasy: https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/8tpcyn/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_june_25_2018/e1f67ky/
816 https://www.newstatesman.com/culture/2013/08/i-hate-strong-female-characters
818 reading the famous Flight 93 essay and coming across a scare-quoted "cis-genderism", I want to say, "You mean _cisnormativity_"
820 my insufficiently-requited love retweeted this: https://twitter.com/EscapologistFi/status/1052650770624118785
822 http://www.jbhe.com/features/53_SAT.html
824 Singal on pediatrics society statement: https://twitter.com/jessesingal/status/1052939041069588480 (follow-up for critique of Ozy on ROGD!!!)
826 https://twitter.com/rachelvmckinnon/status/1053633641161678848
828 Rachel McKinnon documents say she's a woman https://archive.is/PWmOP https://twitter.com/rachelvmckinnon/status/1053633641161678848
829 Rachel McKinnon on her opponents making gender-identity https://archive.is/mmhwU
831 https://doesnthavetobethisway.wordpress.com/2014/07/19/nametags-pronouns-and-lifting-the-burden/
833 EUGENICS https://www.wired.com/story/pinterest-skin-tone-search/?fbclid=IwAR27gG2-MZOuYjRBxcZCGK2J4x9rEcrD6rM-8W8H37b5GS5UWJnZEqffUjI
835 Request for social technology: again, we really need to do something about the problem where civil-and-charitable discourse culture tends to degenerate into "I accept a belief from you, if you accept a belief from me" social exchange, which rewards dogmatic incumbents. (Submissive people trying to be charitable think, "The incumbent didn't respond to my argument! Maybe I'm wrong!" when maybe they should be less submissive and instead think, "The incumbent is being willfully stupid! No update!") So, we know that personal character attacks are bad and need to be quashed. But maybe "arrogance and contempt towards worldviews which I claim have bugs in addition to their already well-known features" is OK? We know that argument NEVER gets bullet. We know that argument NEVER gets personal attack. But a lot of people seem to think that if argument doesn't get counterargument, that means that argument wins. And that's not right! Maybe sometimes argument deserves, "No update, no time to explain; I falsifiably predict that you'll thank me later." Sometimes this prediction will be wrong! But sometimes it will come true eight years later!
837 ("And he cried out, one last cry under the consciousness of Odeen, except that somehow it was the cry of Dua. 'No, we can't stop the market. We are the market. We—'")
839 "Transsexualism is primarily a type of individual psychopathology. It secondarily acquires the properties of a political or religious movement when individual transsexuals form up into networks."— https://twitter.com/BlanchardPhD/status/1056219179399962631
841 https://www.essence.com/news/16-year-old-black-teen-tells-dr-phil-shes-white-and-hates-black-people/
843 https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2018/10/30/transgender-woman-gets-18-month-sentence-for-sexually-assaulting-daughter.html
845 https://www.gaystarnews.com/article/trans-man-sauna/amp/?__twitter_impression=true
847 https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-07238-8
849 more Yearwood: https://abcnews.go.com/US/transgender-teens-outrun-track-field-competitors-critics-close/story?id=55856294
850 https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2810857-andraya-yearwood-knows-she-has-the-right-to-compete
853 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6179341/Outrage-transgender-child-groomer-legally-female-womens-jail.html
855 https://www.wweek.com/news/2018/11/07/a-transgender-powells-employee-says-the-bookstore-refused-to-designate-a-gender-neutral-restroom-in-its-corporate-office/
857 HSTS typology-discovering narrative: https://twitter.com/Kinesis/status/1060452237967675392
859 https://m.sfgate.com/bayarea/article/UC-Berkeley-campus-senator-abstains-from-a-vote-13378621.php?t=bd81bb94a4#photo-16472734
861 https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/drunken-transgender-women-stamp-defenceless-13566104
863 https://truethingsiwishicouldsay.tumblr.com/post/179846906643/this-is-the-new-queer-compulsory-heterosexuality
865 https://www.adelaidenow.com.au/lifestyle/parenting/midwives-rail-against-proposal-to-call-women-persons-in-new-code-of-conduct/news-story/0c3b37b55934effcfc48498b64a1256f
867 skeleton sex denialism: https://www.theatlantic.com/amp/article/575536/
869 medical records: https://twitter.com/HairyLeggdHarpy/status/1062360988702466048
871 https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/7724502/cop-child-sex-offences-woman/amp/
873 https://janeclarejones.com/2018/11/13/the-annals-of-the-terf-wars/
875 http://academicrightswatch.com/?p=2871
877 https://www.lifesitenews.com/blogs/canadian-man-claiming-to-be-female-sues-16-women-for-refusing-to-wax-his-ge
879 Marcus points out that out the "balls-at-12" 5-alpha-reductase people
881 intersex stats: https://twitter.com/mrkhtake2/status/1063454985147613187
885 unused /r/slatestarcodex comment fodder—
887 More generally, I'm not sure what to do about the problem of how to _break out_ of the existing Culture War narratives, when you think the reigning narrative is wrong and that you have a better one. The immortal Robin Hanson writes that if you want to make an outsized difference in debates, you sould [pull in a direction that few others are in the high-dimensional policyspace](http://www.overcomingbias.com/2007/05/policy_tugowar.html), but I worry that this model overlooks certain difficulties in _marketing_. If you don't want to join the "trans dykes are good and pure; maximize the number of trans people" coalition _or_ the "trans-identified males are bad men; minimize the number of trans people" coalition, the typical reaction is _not_ that people rally around your [third alternative](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/erGipespbbzdG5zYb/the-third-alternative) in the orthogonal direction, but rather: "Good God you're a fucking unicorn."
889 Well, I _guess_. But then what's a unicorn to do? I feel _guilty_ about posting too many variants of the same "read [Anne Lawrence](http://www.annelawrence.com/autogynephilia_&_MtF_typology.html)!" comment whenever trans issues come up in the Culture War thread—it feels too repetitive, too agenda-driven. But _given_ an agenda (people should be aware of the true nature of late-onset gender dysphoria in males so that they can use the knowledge to make better decisions, even if I'm not wise enough to specify in advance what those decisions should be) and wanting to pursue that agenda in good-faith and with an absolute minimum of war,
893 Ideally, the Watsonian and Doylist views should be consilient (social-justice people have a Doylist view of Damore et al. as trying to justify male privilige; Scott Alexander et al. have a Doylist view of social-justice as being about victimhood competition)
895 deep learning can sex your retina: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41551-018-0195-0
897 http://www.womaninterruptedapp.com/en/
899 https://twitter.com/plantkid_/status/1065016189980721152
901 https://medium.com/the-establishment/dont-judge-a-girl-for-what-s-between-her-legs-24f6b6c8cc6
903 how come I've never heard of this Hogancamp guy on Trans Day of Rememberance? oh, right, AGP erasure: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marwencol
905 read later: https://medium.com/@juliaserano/refusing-to-tolerate-intolerance-f24c1bff513f
907 https://www.itv.com/news/meridian/2012-11-15/online-paedophile-jailed-for-14-years/
909 http://valleywag.gawker.com/twitter-engineer-dana-mccallum-pled-guilty-to-two-misde-1643207780
911 https://www.philpercs.com/2016/02/autogynephilia-a-critique-and-personal-narrative.html
913 https://medium.com/@Betsulimo/i-was-one-of-the-transactivists-on-the-channel-4-documentary-i-regret-what-i-did-this-is-why-7e12350ab6d3
915 https://www.reddit.com/r/itsafetish/
917 https://www.thestranger.com/slog/2018/11/30/36431918/if-the-future-is-nonbinary-its-a-bleak-one-for-women
919 "Obviously I socially gender him as male as per his preference."
921 "I wouldn't call it a 'preference' exactly."
923 "I gender him male as per his philosophical commitments"
925 https://www.theverge.com/2014/4/28/5661118/lab-mice-fear-men-not-women-big-problem-for-science
927 Mad Ouroboros on the Somewhere Else Discord speculates that "don't call me cis" gendercrits and AFAB enbies are having the same internal gender experience
929 CAIS in sport: https://twitter.com/FondOfBeetles/status/1070097483408248835
931 the evolutionarily ancient process of noticing secondary sex characteristics is less legitimate than "Because I said so"
933 https://broadly.vice.com/en_us/article/zmynd9/stop-gendering-your-baby?utm_campaign=sharebutton
935 https://twitter.com/terristrange/status/1068887491812290560
937 http://www.publicseminar.org/2018/11/the-performance-of-transgender-inclusion/
939 https://www.afterellen.com/general-news/568221-how-i-became-the-most-hated-lesbian-in-baltimore
941 https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2018/06/sexism-racism-never-diminishes-even-everyone-becomes-less-sexist-racist.html
943 https://trialeterror.home.blog/2018/11/25/alternatives-to-transition-a-step-by-step-guide-to-thinking-your-way-out-of-dysphoria-without-repressing-it/
945 Kinesis on the vibe: https://twitter.com/Kinesis/status/1074361907060957184
949 New from me: ["Trying to Be Explicit"](), a short story that starts out being about the frustration of trying to be objective about a hot-button social issue and facing what one believes to be bad-faith criticism while simultanously acknowledging that _everyone_ thinks their critics are acting in bad faith, but then degenerates into specialized erotica interspersed with commentary on how the details of the erotic fantasy have important implications for the hot-button social issue.
951 ... I don't know, guys. I'm really sorry.
955 I don't understand why it's so hard to _either_ get the _minimal_ flag out in public, _or_ shut up about all related topics. Obviously, I can't fault anyone for not wanting to put potentially-controversial content under their own name, because I use a pseudonym myself. (I also believe in genetic-ancestry-mediated intelligence differences, and I _don't write about it_.) The problem that I'm trying to rally against is that if _all_ the nice-famous-shiny "rationalists" repeat flawed philosophy in support of the "pro-trans" political coalition (I linked four specific examples in a previous email; it really seems to be the consensus position), and _none_ of them loudly, publicly correct themselves when confronted with better philosophy (because the better philosophy happens to be more easily construed to support the "anti-trans" political coalition), then _we have lost the Mandate of Heaven_.
959 Duolingo gave me the sentence "Ihre Frau schreibt" ("Her wife/woman writes") and I was very confused for a few moments. ("Well, the mouseover tooltip hint gives 'Her wife' and 'Your wife' as phrase translations, so it has to be 'your wife'—but wait, 'ihre' is similar to 'ihr', which is the plural you-all, so ...")
961 the MADTv sketch: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bgcLfohtFbE
963 field report on TIMs in lesbian spaces: https://www.reddit.com/r/GenderCritical/comments/9zgivf/peak_trans_viii_tell_your_story_here/ec8zecy/
965 And like, I share all the same moral ideals (I was born in 1987 and grew up in California; I'm not some [bigoted redneck](http://slatestarcodex.com/2014/09/30/i-can-tolerate-anything-except-the-outgroup/)).
967 Yearwood again: https://www.theday.com/article/20170530/SPORT03/170539907
969 looking through scrollback with "Wilhelm"—
971 "Politics Is the Mind; Loyalty to Existing Political Coalitions Is the Mind-Killer"
973 genuine improvements and noise, and that we should be looking for clever strategies to roll back some of the noise while keeping the good parts
975 "Wilhelm": "The preliminary results are not good, and they only look good inside a holiness bubble that is going to pop"
977 I hate you guys so much
978 I'm making a pointed and deliberate effort to hate you so that I can continue to learn from you without getting eaten by your egregore
980 Roissy says that the sum of masculinity and femininity in a relationship must sum to zero, and I can see how putting all of the masculinity in the man and all of the femininity in the woman is kind of useful in that it lets you reap the benefits of comparative advantage
981 but I don't want to be the guy, and like everyone else, I want my preferences to be high-status, which the status quo is sort of doing for me, albeit in a delusional self-destructive way that I hope is fixable
983 "Restore patriarchy!" "Never! I mean, I see the point you're trying to make, but the real solution is embryo selection for more nerd girls!"
985 I hear what you're saying, but, but, without bones of sympathy and approval from feminist women, where am I going to get my bones of approval and sympathy from feminist women?? It's like you're telling me to make fewer paperclips!
988 "Power that is not aligned with natural law leads to evil, because it requires constantly denying reality and punishing dissenters."
989 "OK, but I still want my own breasts"
991 Scott got a lot of pushback just for including the blog that I showed him in a links post (Times have changed! BBL is locally quasi-mainstream after Ozy engaged)
993 but I am starting to get a more detailed appreciation of how the thing-that-is-good-that-I-want-to-call-"individualism" has a lot of missing implementation details; "Everyone's self-reported self-identity must be uncritically respected" social norms are trying to maximize a certain kind of individual choice (you not only get to choose your gender, you can even write-in a new one!), but that choice is taking place in the context of a very specific delusional cultural environment that penalizes other kinds of individual choices (like criticizing the delusions)
995 I'm sad that my update from "Blanchard is probably wrong because everyone's self-report says it's wrong" to "self-reports are pretty crazy" probably has implication for "Red Pill is probably wrong because everyone's self-report says it's wrong"
997 when I asked the Licensed Clinical Social Worker how rare I was (wanting to try HRT while loudly denouncing trans ideology as retarded), he said he gets lots of nonbinary/"transfeminine", but had never met anyone who identified as AGP
998 he wants to talk to the team and have another appt before endocrinologist referal
1000 we should ban identities until we can figure out what's going on
1002 that would require taking power, which is hard
1004 but it's a good thought experiment... if you were appointed Gender Czar, what would you do? This is a rhetorical question, but I think what any decent person with good judgment would do is very, very different from what's happening.
1006 also, it's really personally convenient for me that the delusional identity politics happen to be favorable to my life-defining paraphilia, so I kind of have incentives to play along a bit
1008 as long as you don't describe yourself fully accurately
1010 yeah, it's really annoying, because in addition to my obligately autogynephilic sexuality, I'm also an obligate ultra positivist nerd who doesn't like playing along with cultural narratives that "she" thinks are false
1011 you don't want me as Gender Czar, because I kind of like what's happening (to the extent that we can get away with it without being punished by Gnon), just not how people talk about it
1012 if I get to be Eugenics Czar at the same time, I might be able to make up for it?
1014 You being Gender Czar would be an improvement to what's happening now. I'm not comparing you to my ideal Gender Czar, the thought experiment is that you compare your own judgment to Gender Moloch.
1015 even if you didn't have any power over people, just the ability to give high status public statements would improve the rationality of the general area and shut down some of the holiness spirals occurring
1017 so while you're being successfully marginalized by the currently-reigning egregores, I'm happy to learn some sociology from you NRx guys, because I am an aspiring rationalist, and you have a lot of insights
1018 but if you start gaining power in spaces that I care about, I kind of have to fight you to the death
1021 W: 'Roles require that people support a consistent interface and contracts (in the programming sense). "Identities", "spectrums", "questioning", "finding oneself", and individualism in general break down the contracts and interfaces that others used to be able to rely on. The result is atomization, alienation between genders, and below replacement fertility. It's like a class in a dynamically typed language, where you have no idea what the methods or returned types are.'
1023 unless you have lots of fine-grained roles, "make sure the fence-sitters take the typical route" is really bad for me (screws over everyone who doesn't like the standard role, but isn't weird enough to qualify for a nonstandard one, and statistically, there are a lot more sort-of weird people than really-really weird people)
1025 Yes, exactly: https://twitter.com/pangmeli/status/1079097805250224130
1027 perceiving sex: https://twitter.com/janeclarejones/status/1079334679411675136
1029 "thru a conversation with my sister, I was, for the first time ever, able to distinguish between My Type and My Transition Goals" https://twitter.com/esten/status/1080709264899923968
1031 Consequences for other people: I don't know! That's for those other people to decide, not me! But whatever they decide, they'll probably get more of what they want if they have more accurate beliefs! Rationality, motherfuckers! Do you speak it!
1033 I'm saying that the thing that the Zeitgeist is encouraging people to interpret as an atomic identity is almost certainly actually some kind of very specific bug in male sexual psychology that can be interpreted and acted on in various ways! One possible interpretation/action-plan is to split it into two parts: (1) a happy romantic fantasy that I want to indulge somewhat without taking it too far, and (2) a moral responsibility to self-modify at least somewhat in the direction of being more aligned with women (in the sense of AI alignment) even if my volition would naturally be less aligned in the absence of the perceived moral responsibility!
1035 I agree that I'm being socially disruptive, because I think there are sufficiently serious problems with the current equilibrium of what people are doing, that I've decided to gamble my reputation on staging an intervention! Pretty foolhardy, huh? Well, as evolutionary biologists could tell you, men are all about risk!
1037 Charity is _not_ about using polite language. Charity is about trying to _see_ what the other motherfucker is doing right!
1039 misinterpretation of misdirected male sexuality
1041 I agree that a lot of people seem perform the verbal behavior of saying, "A woman is anyone who wants to be!" But like, you know, maybe they're lying!
1043 Human psychology is a very high-dimensional configuration space! If you've bought into an ideology that says that everyone is equal and that therefore psychological sex differences must be small-to-nonexistent, then you can choose to selectively ignore the dimensions along which sex differences are relatively large, and when you're locked into that worldview, it does indeed genuinely look to you like individual personality differences swamp sex differences! And when you're locked into that worldview, looking at the dimensions along which the differences are relatively large is genuinely painful! Once you notice this, maybe you can think of clever strategies to better serve the moral ideal that makes psychological-sex-differences denialism so appealing, while making use of the additional power you gain by letting yourself look at the whole configuration space!
1045 https://arcdigital.media/what-is-gender-identity-10ce0da71999
1047 One way of describing the trigger for me having gone bezerk starting in February is that I'm horrified that my neoreactionary friends are visibly way smarter than my rationalist friends. This is terrible, because kabbalistically, neoreaction is about being evil, and rationality is about being smart. It is written that being smart is more important than being good for humans (because trying to be good typically involves artificially restricting your hypothesis space; if good people don't permit themselves to even consider X, then they'll have trouble modeling a world in which lots of people make their living off X). But I really didn't expect that, in practice, trying to be evil makes you smarter than trying to be smart does!
1049 (Okay, I was brainwashed by progressivism pretty hard, but ideologies need to appeal to something in human nature; you can't brainwash a human with random bits; they need to be specific bits with something good in them.)
1051 the oscillation between "I'm embarrassed and upset about {thing} that I don't want to acknowledge or explain, but that makes me not want to acknowledge or explain the fact that I feel embarrassed an upset" vs. "Yes, {thing} is real; real things are allowed to appear on maps"
1053 Goodhart's Lawyer (credit "Wilhelm")
1055 the ugly gray communist 90% crap superstimuli aren't a threat to the values of our ancestors, but the really well done ones, are
1057 (the cartoons with female superheroines that make the AGP male heart melt ... but who are noticeably not drawn from the same distribution as ACTUAL WOMEN)
1059 Taking a sabbatical; I'll try to think of it as being a housewife supported by my past self of the past three years
1061 Siezing the Means of Home Production: http://archive.li/9NRrS
1063 !!Con speakers: I count 1 "they/them" woman, 9 probably-actual-women, 3 known/obvious MtF, and 3 "they/them" men (implied 16 normal men remaining (including me?!))
1065 https://abc30.com/homeless-women-harassed-in-shower-lawsuit-says/3514544/
1067 If you ever find yourself saying, "Even if Hypothesis H is true, it doesn't have any decision-relevant implications," YOU ARE RATIONALIZING! The fact that H is interesting enough for you to be considering the question at all (it's not some arbitrary trivium like the 1923th binary digit of π, or the low temperature in São Paulo on September 17, 1978) means that it must have some relevance to the things you care about. It is VANISHINGLY IMPROBABLE that your optimal decisions are going to be the SAME in worlds where H is true and worlds where H is false. The fact that you're tempted to SAY they're the same is probably because some part of you is afraid of some of the imagined consequences of H being true. But H is already true or already false! If you happen to live in a world where H is true, and you make decisions as if you lived in a world where H is false, you are thereby missing out on all the extra utility you would get if you made the H-optimal decisions instead!
1069 If you can figure out exactly what you're afraid of, maybe that will help you work out what the H-optimal decisions are. Then you'll be a better position to successfully notice which world you ACTUALLY live in. http://lesswrong.com/lw/o4/leave_a_line_of_retreat/
1072 "Jesse Singal is a transphobic piece of shit!"
1074 Separately, may also be worth considering https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preference_falsification … when deciding what merits "piece of shit" status? Who knows if some of the ppl you follow are (e.g.) autogynephilia truthers, but don't write about it under their real name because they see the reaction to Singal?
1076 "That's a suspiciously specific hypothetical."
1079 There were a couple of young black women ahead of me at the convenience store who I found physically attractive; I'm given to understand that there's a whole PUA literature about "day game" where you talk to random women, and whether you could have an intellectual conversation with them (across that kind of culture and IQ gap) is besides the point?? It's just so unthinkable to me
1080 I'm not claiming that my upbringing got the right answer
1081 Rather, that I'm actually incapable of thinking of other answers independent of rightness
1082 such that I'll never, ever get to hit that
1083 I can barely speak of this to anyone but you (I mean, I could, but I do have you as my designated-evil friend)
1084 one of them was wearing spandex pants
1085 never get to hit that or be that
1087 Every year, the people who are isomorphic in opinions to you become more masculine (because of everyone moving left), which means they are going to have more inferential distance on gender dysphoria.
1089 Contra affirms self-ID: https://twitter.com/ContraPoints/status/1086351168123621376
1091 divorce court required pronouns: https://www.reddit.com/r/GenderCritical/comments/9zgivf/peak_trans_viii_tell_your_story_here/eea6imc/