1 _ Sexual Dimorphism in Yudkowsky's Sequences, in Relation to
4 _ "Assigned at Birth" Is a Schelling Point (If You Live in an Insane Dystopia Where the Concept of Sex Is Somehow Controversial)
5 _ Student Dysphoria, and a Previous Life's War
6 _ Gaydar Jamming (L.B. and R.H.)
7 _ Overlapping Distributions and Cancellable Stereotypes (the standard GC argument about trans = stereotypes but with more math)
8 _ Friendship Practices of the Secret-Sharing Plain Speech Valley Squirrels
9 _ What Are Pronouns For?
12 2021 significant posts—
13 _ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data
14 _ Blanchard's Dangerous Idea and the Plight of the Lucid Crossdreamer (part 2)
15 _ A Hill of Validity in Defense of Meaning (part 3)
16 _ Book Review: Kathleen Stock's Material Girls: Why Reality Matters for Feminism (May)
17 _ Book Review: Charles Murray's Facing Reality: Two Truths About Race in America (June)
18 _ Book Review: Kathryn Paige Harden's The Genetic Lottery: Why DNA Matters for Social Equality (September)
22 _ Daniel C. Dennett on Near-Term Alignment Problems
24 _ "You'll Never Persuade Anyone"
25 _ Cromwell's Rule Is About Physical Symmetry, Not Fairness
26 _ The Motte-and-Bailey Doctrine as Compression Artifact
27 _ "Rationalists" Don't Exist (But Rationality Does)
28 - And the Wisdom to Know the Difference
29 _ agents with different learning algorithms would find it hard to agree on words?
30 _ importance of getting the direction of causality right
31 _ Multi-Level Moloch; Or, Technically, the Holocaust Was a Coordination Success
33 _ Memetics vs. Discourse
36 Trading Political Favors Doesn't Build True Maps, But Correcting Errors Your Yourself Made, Does
40 _ E.Y. as case study on unconscious-lying and self-report ("their verbal theories contradict their own datapoints" https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10159408250519228?comment_id=10159411435619228&reply_comment_id=10159411567794228)
43 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zersetzung and the GPT-3 neuron about Trump: imagine a short story, where you suddenly become more villainous in the eyes of the narrative, and it's because a greater fraction of your measure is in simulations written based on an unfavorable view of your legacy (you're only aware of this because the GPT-descendant is smart enough to try to correct for it)
45 philosophy-of-language replies,
48 _ Reddit: /r/philosophy, /r/TheMotte, /r/theschism, /r/SneerClub
49 _ tags: "The SF Bay Area", "Criticisms of the Rationalist Movement", "Postmortems & Retrospectives"
51 _ An Draft Email I Did Not Send to Jesse Singal
52 _ Complicity (how do reasonable people cooperate with each other instead of dumb people in their own coalition)
53 _ reinterpretting all of Hannah Montana album lyrics as an AGP narrative
54 _ Elision _vs_. Choice (working title)
55 _ Stereotypes are weak probabilistic inferences (Agreeableness d~0.5), category-membership is strong inference, the same word/signal hits both, but stereotypes are (or should be) easy to cancel; shifting default meaning onto stereotypes in order to suit trans (while still having the word attach to something) is a bad trade
56 _ Taxometrics and the Fallacy of the Insufficiently Relevant, Insufficiently Multivariate Experiment
58 _ https://www.facebook.com/duncan.sabien/posts/3936528276381860 "Natural does not always mean good." — natural does not always mean good, but at our current tech level, that's actually a really good prior
59 _ Novemember 2020 Political Notes; Or, Sen. Kelly Loeffler Is Mostly Living in a Simulation Now
60 _ Phenotypic Identity and Memetic Capture
64 _ Yardstick abolition pessimism https://culturallyboundgender.wordpress.com/2018/11/13/gender-identity-isnt-a-box-its-a-yardstick/
65 _ reductionist rebuttal to "so you think lesbians aren't women"
66 _ Principles (transhumanism, and sanity)
67 _ Hrunkner Unnerby and the Shallowness of Progress
68 _ reply to https://azdoine.tumblr.com/post/173995599942/a-reply-to-unremediatedgenderspace-on-reply-to http://archive.is/JSSNi
69 _ reply to https://deathisbadblog.com/the-real-transphobes-are-the-ones-we-made-along-the-way/
70 _ Beckett Mariner Is Trans https://www.reddit.com/r/DaystromInstitute/comments/in3g92/was_mariner_a_teenager_on_the_enterprised/
71 _ Cynical Theories review
72 _ Persongen/univariate fallacy/typical set
73 _ reply on psych prison https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4uvgb4/?context=3
74 _ Irreversible Damage review
75 _ Jessica/wiz AGP defense
76 _ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data prior: https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2019/07/19/how-many-trans-folk-are-there-really/ https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2017/04/16/getting-lost-in-the-crowd/
77 _ "More Than We Can Say": High-Dimensional Social Science and the Conjunction of Small Effect Sizes
78 _ Comment on "Towards decolonising computational sciences" https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.14258
79 _ My Identity Has a Better Brier Score Than Your Identity
80 _ TV Review: "The Trouble With Edward"
81 _ Comment on "One Size Does Not Fit All: In Support of Psychotherapy for Gender Dysphoria" https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-020-01844-2 (tag: `review (paper)`)
82 _ the scapegoating dynamic
83 _ review of "What's the Big Secret?" (acknowledges gender-role conventions which are more salient when people are wearing clothes, but then tells the real answer)
84 _ reply to https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2020/11/16/hermeneutical-injustice-not-gaslighting/
85 _ Comment on "On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots" https://www.reddit.com/r/MachineLearning/comments/k77sxz/d_timnit_gebru_and_google_megathread/gepcliq/ https://doxa.substack.com/p/googles-colosseum
87 - The Causality of Ethnic Differences in COVID-19 Outcomes Is an Open
88 _ follow to "Point Man": prosletyzing religion
89 _ Larmarckian Transmission of FtM?!
93 This is the same mechanism as "Unnatural Categories Are Optimized for Deception"!!
94 > journalism is usually trustworthy because trustworthiness is the carrier vehicle. It's occasionally corrupt, because corruption is the payload.
95 https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/lje3nu/statement_on_new_york_times_article/gnfrprx/?context=3
97 optimized to confuse and intimidate people trying to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex, even if your conscious verbal narrative never says 'and now I will confuse and intimidate people who want to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex'!"
99 I should email caption bliggers and ask if they know about AGP
100 https://www.imagefap.com/profile/rickbennett
101 https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/03/swap-clinic-testimonial-i-can-work-with.html
102 https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/10/swap-clinic-win-win-win.html
104 reverse Wason selection task: https://twitter.com/ThetaGrunberg/status/1305296703088545792
106 I'm not usually—at least, not always—so much of a scrub as to play chess with a pigeon (which shits on the board and then struts around like it's won), or wrestle with a pig (which gets you both dirty, and the pig likes it), or dispute what the Tortise said to Achilles
108 (This needs to go into my "Motivations and Political Context")
109 Transitioning is easy if you project into the subspace spanned by "given name" and "preferred pronouns" and "frequency of wearing dresses." The problem is that it's not psychologically realistic to expect everyone else to just throw away all the other dimensions—people were using those dimensions!
111 (for Elision vs. Choice)
112 Speakers of my generation are more likely to say "person" when sex isn't relevant, whereas older works (pre-second wave feminism?) would actually say "man" (or "woman"—see how anachronistic it feels to put the female option second and in parentheses?), presumably not because human nature has changed that much, but because of shifting cultural priorities about when sex is "relevant." (Modern speakers similarly frown on mentioning race (https://agentultra.com/blog/the-black-man-stopped-me/) when it's not relevant.)
114 This is completely discrediting!!!
115 https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/11/12/book-review-the-body-keeps-the-score/
116 > they're not necessarily rejecting the seriousness of child abuse, only saying it’s not the kind of thing they build their categories around.
118 (My Identity Has a Better Brier Score)
119 I'm skeptical of "ace"—I think it's just an identity label that can be successfully marketed to otherwise-ordinary people in the bottom-quartile of libido, by an ideology that wants to sell people identity labels to get them to join the coalition of sexual minorities
120 You might reply: "But you identify as AGP, and attach emotional weight to that—isn't that just another identity label?"
121 but the thing about AGP is that, I actually have reason to believe it "fits" the territory of the underlying psychological variation
122 it's an expression of the theory that trans women (left-coded) and the subjects of that old Atlantic article about (right-coded) married crossdressers ("Conservative Men in Conservative Dresses") are the same thing
123 invariant under the cultural coding
126 _ Eugenics Is Actually Good, You Worthless Cowards
127 _ The One Where I Try to Be A Little More Explicit About What 'Autogynephilia' Actually Entails
128 _ No One Actually Wants to Change "Gender"
129 _ Ideology Is the General Case (working title)
130 _ Boundary Violations and Territory
131 _ three views on partisanship: "Hierarchy and Wings" "Bioleninism" "Democracy Cis and Trans"
132 _ Link: "AGPs! GROW A PAIR AND POLICE YOUR OWN COMMUNITY!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_qFxtJ7pxw Karen Davis
133 _ Gay + Trans = Straight
136 _ Walker correspondence
137 _ 30 Years of the Blank Slate (Cosmides-Tooby/Pinker/Murray)
138 _ "I Hope You're Happy, California"
139 _ Travis's Trilemma: Creepy, Crazy, or Protected-Class (working title)
140 _ Reply to Ozymandias on Lesbians and on Single-Sex Spaces
141 _ Answers on Great Divides: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2010/08/questions-for-great-divides.html
142 _ Film Review: Your Name
143 _ World of Masks https://twitter.com/zackmdavis/status/1228093035042541569
144 _ "But I'm Not Quite Sure What That Means": Costs of Nonbinary Gender as a Social Technology
145 _ glomerular filtration rate https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/gq50mo/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_may_25_2020/frvrhwg/
146 _ I Am Very Bad at Keeping Secrets and Am Therefore Very Reluctant to Offer Confidentiality Promises
148 _ starting to lose sympathy for my crazy past-self
150 "You're conflating sex and gender"—the problem is, Does anyone actually want to change "gender"?—they're bundled for a reason
153 _ You and What Army? Or, The Wisdom to Know the Difference
154 _ different ways of factoring a Bayes net of the same data make different predictions about interventions
155 _ COVID life-years (rather than deaths)
156 _ Signals, Deception, and the Precession of Simulacra (LW)
157 _ Contra Scott Alexander on Mental Illness; Or, Oh God, Please Don't (aAL/LW)
158 _ Comment on Wireheading /r/rational
159 _ Second Derivative (Paul Christiano on growth timelines)
160 _ Selective Reporting and Clustering
161 _ Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization—marginally neglected truths are more
162 _ Explicit Disjunction vs. Contradictory Arguments from a Bottom Line
163 _ How they Pin It Down: Equal Environments Assumption Edition https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cXzTpSiCrNGzeoRAz/conjunction-controversy-or-how-they-nail-it-down
164 _ Social Construction is an Embedded Agency Problem
166 it's important to have language for psychology because you can't point to pictures
168 Training Data—"get used" to the new definitions, in time
170 "You can follow people you disagree with!" makes sense if you think of
174 if pro-reality trans people are allied with more numerous anti-reality trans people, that incentivizes me to join an anti-trans coalition, when what I actually (should) want is to cherry-pick the pro-reality people
176 another thing keeping me from trans-IDing: trans is "marked"; choosing it would mean associating with the crazy. Normal Society (with men named Zack) has its own madnesses and crimes, but
179 Vocabulary as Capital Investment
181 _ Challenges of Mounting an Ideological Crusade
183 B.F. being smart-but-dense
185 how taxonomy/typology emerges from Bayesian networks
187 _ On Being Stereotyped Badly (working title)
191 https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/trvFowBfiKiYi7spb/open-thread-july-2019/comment/RYhKrKAxiQxY3FcHa
192 > I think sometimes I talk in a way that makes me seem more politically naïve than I actually am, because I feel as if the “naïve” attitude is in some way normative? (“You really think someone would do that? Just go on the internet and tell lies?”)
195 The Wisdom of Nature (I like the idea of transhumanism, but in practice, biology is just too complicated) https://nickbostrom.com/evolution.pdf
198 _ Product Review: FaceApp
200 _ The Strategy of "Apartment Patty" — the outrage strategy only works if you have a coalition to back you up. Deterrent: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/05/case-social-media-mobs/612202/ Another example: https://twitter.com/jaimetoons/status/1271300265170186240
202 Psychiatrist's response to me is kind of case-in-point https://old.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4valma/
204 you regress to your group's mean—but that depends on how you draw the category boundaries around group membership! This could be a good math post!! https://humanvarieties.org/2017/07/01/measurement-error-regression-to-the-mean-and-group-differences/
206 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia "An important fantasy for some individuals is being transformed into the preferred object (such as a statue) and experiencing an associated state of immobility or paralysis."
208 address accusation that I conflate "passing" and biosex
212 Positioning (don't want to prematurely alienate people you're trying to rescue)
214 conservatives complain about low-time preference ppl having too many kids—but from a evolutionary perspective, they're more evolutionarily fit
216 A Science Fiction Story Idea I'm Not Skilled Enough to Write
218 Names and Genders Are Not Relevantly Analogous
220 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia didn't make it into Lawrence's erotic target location paper, did it?
224 Anne Lawrence on AGP Teen Transition
225 Anne Lawrence on Unapologetic Autogynephilic Transsexualism
227 Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization
231 explain my blunder in https://twitter.com/jessi_cata/status/1188567229987577856
233 reply to https://surveyanon.wordpress.com/2019/10/27/the-mathematical-consequences-of-a-toy-model-of-gender-transition/
235 testimony on trans girl periods: http://www.onwednesdays.net/trans-girl-periods/
240 Reading Comprehension Is Rape Culture
242 Reply to David R. MacIver on Gendering
244 Trying to Be Explicit
246 Instrumental Categories, and War
248 (lit-search strategy: go through the del Guidice "Multivariate Misgivings" article and its citations; the Archer paper also mentioned this)
250 Commentary on "Blegg Mode"
252 Faster Than Science (Transgender Edition)
254 (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GEJzPwY8JedcNX2qz/blegg-mode)
256 karaoke, celebrity, cognitive load; I don't want people to do that for me
258 Option<String>?! https://web.archive.org/web/20160731010249/https://qntm.org/gay
261 _ "Lies to Cis People", a.k.a., "Lies"
262 _ I Mean, Yes, I Agree That Man Should Allocate Some More Categories, But
265 https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4ZvJab25tDebB8FGE/you-have-about-five-words : well, that explains the TWAW mantra
267 The Parable of the Good Witch
269 First-Offender Models and the Unilateralist's Blessing
270 The Parable of the Faithful Man and the Cowardly Priest
272 Game Theory of "Apartment Patty"
274 Virtue Signaling Is Costly and Honest
275 (in response to Kosoy's objection)
277 Servants of the Egregore (write-up of egregore theory as told by "Wilhelm")
279 Kolmogorov's Iron Triangle; Or, the Not-Being-a-Worthless-Coward Option (epigraph quote: Raleigh's "The Lie")—(include analogy: the fear that atheism would lead to immortality given that ppl don't have to fear Hell, wouldn't have seemed obviously absurd at the time) — honesty, ability to think, and mainstream credibility. The Kolmogorov option sacrifices a lot of honesty in exchange for mainstream credibility. This might seem like a good trade until you consider that "honesty" and "ability to think" aren't independent (because people are bad at compartmentalization and we need to talk to each other to think together).
281 Research Question: Complicity
284 Where to Segment a Conversation When There's Stuff You Won't Touch, Without Violating the Virtue of Evenness
285 In Praise of Cartesianism (you need to _really_ understand "A Human's Guide to Words" before you can do high-grade good-faith social constructionism)
287 Sex Differences and Commonsense Priors (I have parsimony intuitions that make "AGP is caused by pollution" or "AGP is normal in cis women" or "hormone receptors distributions are the same" seem not worth considering)
289 In the Presence of Mimickry, Extension and Intension Simplicity Trade-Off
291 Objectivity as a Rhetorical Strategy: probability, words, morality
292 Focus on the Simple Case (accurate maps can have bad effects, but that's a weird second-order analysis)
295 A Human's Abridged Guide to Gender Words
299 in a world where we _actually had_ sex change technology, self-identity doctrine _wouldn't even occur to anyone_
301 Operationalization of Bad Faith: if people make reasoning errors that they wouldn't make with another topic having the same underlying structure
305 The Charity Convergence Trap
313 a big essay about Batesian mimickry
316 _ Codes of Convergence; Or, Smile More
318 _ "I Will Fight [...]": LGBT Patriotism and the Moral Fine-Tuning Objection
325 _ The View From Nowhere
329 _ reply to Ozy on https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2017/08/03/rapid-onset-gender-dysphoria-is-bad-science/ (when marketing in Culture War thread, maybe hat tip https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/9cir3w/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_03/e5c1h2c/ )
330 _ Q An Infovist's Advisory; Or, Standing Athwart History ...
335 ✓ Interlude XVII (not all men)
337 can the comment on "Bit Players" actually fit on this blog (I didn't empathize with offense at fake physics, but I can take offense at maximum-entropy psychology): epigraph quote, "It's Only a Paper Moon"
339 Q As Well for a Sheep as a Lamb; Or, Charity, Objectivity, and ...
342 _ Stereotypes, Models, and Cognition: Beyond Maximum-Entropy Psychology
343 Imperfect Trait Measurements Regress to the Mean
344 Q The Gender Czar's Compromise
348 Q Book Review: Nevada
349 Product Review: Oculus Go
351 All You Had to Say https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/8xa97t/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_july_09_2018/e228vyj/
357 Q Time Travel Isn't Real; Or, Yes, the Only Real Trans Woman Is a Transitioned Trans Woman
358 _ The Neglect of Probability Fallacy; Or, You Do Not Have an Intersex Condition
359 Q Simple Models Plus Noise Are Better Than Pretending Not to Have a Model
360 Falsifiability and What We Expect Not to See
362 Q The Hand I Was Dealt
363 "diagonalize" http://gender-decoder.katmatfield.com/ by running the research paper it was based on through it
364 Q Reduce Gender Identities to Gender Goals
365 Threnody for the Transhumanism of My Youth
366 of course trans genders are less natural; that's the entire fucking point
367 People Really Don't Know Why They Do Things
368 Q I Want to See You Be Brave
369 Passing Is Legitimacy, Legitimacy Is Passing
370 All Men Benefit From Patriarchy
371 (the story about my name)
372 Review of Nerve Endings: The New Trans Erotic
373 on the poor literary quality of TG captions
374 "Another Me I Haven't Met" (SacAnime cosplay review)
375 go back to east bay tg club night?
376 Product Review: Glamour Boutique's Vee-String Bladder
377 Q This Is Worth a Fight
378 "Trans Women Are Women" is a Positive-Affect Instance of the Noncentral Fallacy
382 story of Gina and Vern selected for GNC
383 story about women engineers and male businesspeople
384 story about race of humans who have a "sneaky" camoflauge form and someone with their analogue of AGP tries to deliberately lower his status to get it
385 fix fic for that one episode of _The Orville_