2 Urgent/needed for healing—
3 _ I'm Dropping the Pseudonym From This Blog
4 _ Reply to Scott Alexander on Autogenderphilia
5 _ Hrunkner Unnerby and the Shallowness of Progress
6 _ Blanchard's Dangerous Idea and the Plight of the Lucid Crossdreamer
7 _ A Hill of Validity in Defense of Meaning
8 _ Agreeing With Stalin in Ways that Exhibit Generally Rationalist Principles
9 _ Why I Don't Trust Eliezer Yudkowsky's Intellectual Honesty
13 _ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data
14 _ Book Review: Charles Murray's Facing Reality: Two Truths About Race in America
21 _ Elision _vs_. Choice
22 _ Book Review: Johnny the Walrus
23 _ Comments on the Conspiracies of dath ilan
24 _ Beckett Mariner Is Trans https://www.reddit.com/r/DaystromInstitute/comments/in3g92/was_mariner_a_teenager_on_the_enterprised/
25 _ Link: "On Transitions, Freedom of Form, [...]"
26 _ Biological Sex Actually Exists
27 _ Excerpt from _Redefining Realness_
30 _ Racial Pseudoscience on the Faculty https://archive.ph/ZxVYk
31 _ Never Going to Find You Faking
32 _ Body Anxiety Posting, Month Year
33 _ Review of AGP Erotica Automation Tools, Month Year
34 _ "But I'm Not Quite Sure What That Means"
35 _ Yardstick abolition pessimism https://culturallyboundgender.wordpress.com/2018/11/13/gender-identity-isnt-a-box-its-a-yardstick/
36 _ ASL Is Not a Language
37 _ Gaussian Gender Issues
39 _ reinterpretting all of Hannah Montana album lyrics as an AGP narrative
40 _ my medianworld: https://www.glowfic.com/replies/1619639#reply-1619639
42 _ "Reducing" Bias and Improving "Safety"
43 _ Unicode adopt-a-character?? (would it be wrong to adopt "♀"?)
44 _ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WikzbCsFjpLTRQmXn/declustering-reclustering-and-filling-in-thingspace
46 _ Karnofsky's presentism
47 _ motivation for positing meta-attraction
48 _ Joint Book Review: Kathleen Stock's Material Girls and Kathryn Paige Harden's The Genetic Lottery
52 _ Model-Free Happiness
55 _ "Assigned at Birth" Is a Schelling Point (If You Live in an Insane Dystopia Where the Concept of Sex Is Somehow Controversial)
56 _ Multi-Book Review: Various Sex-Ed Books for Children
57 _ "Why the Hell It Means So Much to Me"
60 More minor or Needs Development—
61 _ Correct Diagnosis as Common Interest: ideological detrans as a mirror of ideological trans: https://reclaimingtrans.wordpress.com/
62 _ "Your Politics Are Interesting" as Worst Compliment
68 _ Link: Halifax Pride: https://www.halifaxpride.com/news/2021/5/28/halifax-public-library-response
69 _ Link: You're Kidding, Right?
70 _ Link: Lease Bound comic
71 _ Link: Quillette on Sons Becoming Daughters
72 _ Link: Babylon Bee "It's a Good Life" parody https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=20ALZgd6_Ek
76 _ agents with different learning algorithms would find it hard to agree on words?
78 * Objection: but then shouldn't we pick different words for the convergent and phylo clusters? Uncomfortable with wavering lines around "berry"
79 * Reply: story for how we end up with multiple senses attached to the same word
80 https://jsmp.dk/posts/2021-01-24-fruits/
82 Trading Political Favors Doesn't Build True Maps, But Correcting Errors Your Yourself Made, Does
84 (Rationalists don't exist)
85 > how to be a strong rationalist
86 https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/4thPHxgBCvteQjLv6/against-context-free-integrity
88 _ A Hill of Validity in Defense of Meaning / Casuistry Is Unbecoming: Replies to Eliezer Yudkowsky (I don't know how to do this)
90 _ E.Y. as case study on unconscious-lying and self-report ("their verbal theories contradict their own datapoints" https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10159408250519228?comment_id=10159411435619228&reply_comment_id=10159411567794228 )
93 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zersetzung and the GPT-3 neuron about Trump: imagine a short story, where you suddenly become more villainous in the eyes of the narrative, and it's because a greater fraction of your measure is in simulations written based on an unfavorable view of your legacy (you're only aware of this because the GPT-descendant is smart enough to try to correct for it)
95 philosophy-of-language replies,
98 _ Reddit: /r/philosophy, /r/TheMotte, /r/theschism, /r/SneerClub
99 _ tags: "The SF Bay Area", "Criticisms of the Rationalist Movement", "Postmortems & Retrospectives"
101 _ "Cis" is like "gentile"
102 _ The Sex/Gender Distinction Was a Mistake
103 _ Complicity (how do reasonable people cooperate with each other instead of dumb people in their own coalition)
105 _ Stereotypes are weak probabilistic inferences (Agreeableness d~0.5), category-membership is strong inference, the same word/signal hits both, but stereotypes are (or should be) easy to cancel; shifting default meaning onto stereotypes in order to suit trans (while still having the word attach to something) is a bad trade
106 _ Taxometrics and the Fallacy of the Insufficiently Relevant, Insufficiently Multivariate Experiment
108 _ https://www.facebook.com/duncan.sabien/posts/3936528276381860 "Natural does not always mean good." — natural does not always mean good, but at our current tech level, that's actually a really good prior
109 _ Novemember 2020 Political Notes; Or, Sen. Kelly Loeffler Is Mostly Living in a Simulation Now
110 _ Phenotypic Identity and Memetic Capture
114 _ Principles (transhumanism, and sanity)
115 _ reply to https://azdoine.tumblr.com/post/173995599942/a-reply-to-unremediatedgenderspace-on-reply-to http://archive.is/JSSNi
116 _ Cynical Theories review
117 _ Persongen/univariate fallacy/typical set
118 _ reply on psych prison https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4uvgb4/?context=3
119 _ Irreversible Damage review
120 _ Jessica/wiz AGP defense
121 _ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data prior: https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2019/07/19/how-many-trans-folk-are-there-really/ https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2017/04/16/getting-lost-in-the-crowd/
122 _ "More Than We Can Say": High-Dimensional Social Science and the Conjunction of Small Effect Sizes
123 _ Comment on "Towards decolonising computational sciences" https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.14258
124 _ My Identity Has a Better Brier Score Than Your Identity
125 _ Comment on "One Size Does Not Fit All: In Support of Psychotherapy for Gender Dysphoria" https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-020-01844-2 (tag: `review (paper)`)
126 _ the scapegoating dynamic
127 _ review of "What's the Big Secret?" (acknowledges gender-role conventions which are more salient when people are wearing clothes, but then tells the real answer)
128 _ reply to https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2020/11/16/hermeneutical-injustice-not-gaslighting/
129 _ Comment on "On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots" https://www.reddit.com/r/MachineLearning/comments/k77sxz/d_timnit_gebru_and_google_megathread/gepcliq/ https://doxa.substack.com/p/googles-colosseum
130 - The Causality of Ethnic Differences in COVID-19 Outcomes Is an Open
131 _ follow to "Point Man": prosletyzing religion
132 _ Larmarckian Transmission of FtM?!
136 optimized to confuse and intimidate people trying to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex, even if your conscious verbal narrative never says 'and now I will confuse and intimidate people who want to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex'!"
138 I should email caption bliggers and ask if they know about AGP
139 https://www.imagefap.com/profile/rickbennett
140 https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/03/swap-clinic-testimonial-i-can-work-with.html
141 https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/10/swap-clinic-win-win-win.html
143 reverse Wason selection task: https://twitter.com/ThetaGrunberg/status/1305296703088545792
145 (This needs to go into my "Motivations and Political Context")
146 Transitioning is easy if you project into the subspace spanned by "given name" and "preferred pronouns" and "frequency of wearing dresses." The problem is that it's not psychologically realistic to expect everyone else to just throw away all the other dimensions—people were using those dimensions!
148 (for Elision vs. Choice)
149 Speakers of my generation are more likely to say "person" when sex isn't relevant, whereas older works (pre-second wave feminism?) would actually say "man" (or "woman"—see how anachronistic it feels to put the female option second and in parentheses?), presumably not because human nature has changed that much, but because of shifting cultural priorities about when sex is "relevant." (Modern speakers similarly frown on mentioning race (https://agentultra.com/blog/the-black-man-stopped-me/) when it's not relevant.)
151 (My Identity Has a Better Brier Score)
152 I'm skeptical of "ace"—I think it's just an identity label that can be successfully marketed to otherwise-ordinary people in the bottom-quartile of libido, by an ideology that wants to sell people identity labels to get them to join the coalition of sexual minorities
153 You might reply: "But you identify as AGP, and attach emotional weight to that—isn't that just another identity label?"
154 but the thing about AGP is that, I actually have reason to believe it "fits" the territory of the underlying psychological variation
155 it's an expression of the theory that trans women (left-coded) and the subjects of that old Atlantic article about (right-coded) married crossdressers ("Conservative Men in Conservative Dresses") are the same thing
156 invariant under the cultural coding
159 _ Eugenics Is Actually Good, You Worthless Cowards
160 _ The One Where I Try to Be A Little More Explicit About What 'Autogynephilia' Actually Entails
161 _ No One Actually Wants to Change "Gender"
162 _ Ideology Is the General Case (working title)
163 _ Boundary Violations and Territory
164 _ three views on partisanship: "Hierarchy and Wings" "Bioleninism" "Democracy Cis and Trans"
165 _ Link: "AGPs! GROW A PAIR AND POLICE YOUR OWN COMMUNITY!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_qFxtJ7pxw Karen Davis
166 _ Gay + Trans = Straight
169 _ Walker correspondence
170 _ 30 Years of the Blank Slate (Cosmides-Tooby/Pinker/Murray)
171 _ "I Hope You're Happy, California"
172 _ Travis's Trilemma: Creepy, Crazy, or Protected-Class (working title)
173 _ Reply to Ozymandias on Lesbians and on Single-Sex Spaces
174 _ Answers on Great Divides: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2010/08/questions-for-great-divides.html
175 _ Film Review: Your Name
176 _ World of Masks https://twitter.com/zackmdavis/status/1228093035042541569
177 _ glomerular filtration rate https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/gq50mo/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_may_25_2020/frvrhwg/
178 _ I Am Very Bad at Keeping Secrets and Am Therefore Very Reluctant to Offer Confidentiality Promises
180 _ starting to lose sympathy for my crazy past-self
182 "You're conflating sex and gender"—the problem is, Does anyone actually want to change "gender"?—they're bundled for a reason
185 _ You and What Army? Or, The Wisdom to Know the Difference
186 _ different ways of factoring a Bayes net of the same data make different predictions about interventions
187 _ COVID life-years (rather than deaths)
188 _ Signals, Deception, and the Precession of Simulacra (LW)
189 _ Contra Scott Alexander on Mental Illness; Or, Oh God, Please Don't (aAL/LW)
190 _ Comment on Wireheading /r/rational
191 _ Second Derivative (Paul Christiano on growth timelines)
192 _ Selective Reporting and Clustering
193 _ Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization—marginally neglected truths are more
194 _ Explicit Disjunction vs. Contradictory Arguments from a Bottom Line
195 _ How they Pin It Down: Equal Environments Assumption Edition https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cXzTpSiCrNGzeoRAz/conjunction-controversy-or-how-they-nail-it-down
196 _ Social Construction is an Embedded Agency Problem
198 it's important to have language for psychology because you can't point to pictures
200 Training Data—"get used" to the new definitions, in time
202 "You can follow people you disagree with!" makes sense if you think of
206 if pro-reality trans people are allied with more numerous anti-reality trans people, that incentivizes me to join an anti-trans coalition, when what I actually (should) want is to cherry-pick the pro-reality people
208 another thing keeping me from trans-IDing: trans is "marked"; choosing it would mean associating with the crazy. Normal Society (with men named Zack) has its own madnesses and crimes, but
211 Vocabulary as Capital Investment
213 _ Challenges of Mounting an Ideological Crusade
215 B.F. being smart-but-dense
217 how taxonomy/typology emerges from Bayesian networks
219 _ On Being Stereotyped Badly (working title)
223 https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/trvFowBfiKiYi7spb/open-thread-july-2019/comment/RYhKrKAxiQxY3FcHa
224 > I think sometimes I talk in a way that makes me seem more politically naïve than I actually am, because I feel as if the “naïve” attitude is in some way normative? (“You really think someone would do that? Just go on the internet and tell lies?”)
227 The Wisdom of Nature (I like the idea of transhumanism, but in practice, biology is just too complicated) https://nickbostrom.com/evolution.pdf
230 _ Product Review: FaceApp
232 _ The Strategy of "Apartment Patty" — the outrage strategy only works if you have a coalition to back you up. Deterrent: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/05/case-social-media-mobs/612202/ Another example: https://twitter.com/jaimetoons/status/1271300265170186240
234 Psychiatrist's response to me is kind of case-in-point https://old.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4valma/
236 you regress to your group's mean—but that depends on how you draw the category boundaries around group membership! This could be a good math post!! https://humanvarieties.org/2017/07/01/measurement-error-regression-to-the-mean-and-group-differences/
238 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia "An important fantasy for some individuals is being transformed into the preferred object (such as a statue) and experiencing an associated state of immobility or paralysis."
240 address accusation that I conflate "passing" and biosex
244 Positioning (don't want to prematurely alienate people you're trying to rescue)
246 conservatives complain about low-time preference ppl having too many kids—but from a evolutionary perspective, they're more evolutionarily fit
248 A Science Fiction Story Idea I'm Not Skilled Enough to Write
250 Names and Genders Are Not Relevantly Analogous
252 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia didn't make it into Lawrence's erotic target location paper, did it?
256 Anne Lawrence on AGP Teen Transition
257 Anne Lawrence on Unapologetic Autogynephilic Transsexualism
259 Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization
263 explain my blunder in https://twitter.com/jessi_cata/status/1188567229987577856
265 reply to https://surveyanon.wordpress.com/2019/10/27/the-mathematical-consequences-of-a-toy-model-of-gender-transition/
267 testimony on trans girl periods: http://www.onwednesdays.net/trans-girl-periods/
272 Reading Comprehension Is Rape Culture
274 Reply to David R. MacIver on Gendering
276 Trying to Be Explicit
278 Instrumental Categories, and War
280 (lit-search strategy: go through the del Guidice "Multivariate Misgivings" article and its citations; the Archer paper also mentioned this)
282 Commentary on "Blegg Mode"
284 Faster Than Science (Transgender Edition)
286 (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GEJzPwY8JedcNX2qz/blegg-mode)
288 karaoke, celebrity, cognitive load; I don't want people to do that for me
290 Option<String>?! https://web.archive.org/web/20160731010249/https://qntm.org/gay
293 _ "Lies to Cis People", a.k.a., "Lies"
294 _ I Mean, Yes, I Agree That Man Should Allocate Some More Categories, But
297 https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4ZvJab25tDebB8FGE/you-have-about-five-words : well, that explains the TWAW mantra
299 The Parable of the Good Witch
301 First-Offender Models and the Unilateralist's Blessing
302 The Parable of the Faithful Man and the Cowardly Priest
304 Game Theory of "Apartment Patty"
306 Virtue Signaling Is Costly and Honest
307 (in response to Kosoy's objection)
309 Servants of the Egregore (write-up of egregore theory as told by "Wilhelm")
311 Kolmogorov's Iron Triangle; Or, the Not-Being-a-Worthless-Coward Option (epigraph quote: Raleigh's "The Lie")—(include analogy: the fear that atheism would lead to immortality given that ppl don't have to fear Hell, wouldn't have seemed obviously absurd at the time) — honesty, ability to think, and mainstream credibility. The Kolmogorov option sacrifices a lot of honesty in exchange for mainstream credibility. This might seem like a good trade until you consider that "honesty" and "ability to think" aren't independent (because people are bad at compartmentalization and we need to talk to each other to think together).
313 Research Question: Complicity
316 Where to Segment a Conversation When There's Stuff You Won't Touch, Without Violating the Virtue of Evenness
317 In Praise of Cartesianism (you need to _really_ understand "A Human's Guide to Words" before you can do high-grade good-faith social constructionism)
319 Sex Differences and Commonsense Priors (I have parsimony intuitions that make "AGP is caused by pollution" or "AGP is normal in cis women" or "hormone receptors distributions are the same" seem not worth considering)
321 In the Presence of Mimickry, Extension and Intension Simplicity Trade-Off
323 Objectivity as a Rhetorical Strategy: probability, words, morality
324 Focus on the Simple Case (accurate maps can have bad effects, but that's a weird second-order analysis)
327 A Human's Abridged Guide to Gender Words
331 in a world where we _actually had_ sex change technology, self-identity doctrine _wouldn't even occur to anyone_
333 Operationalization of Bad Faith: if people make reasoning errors that they wouldn't make with another topic having the same underlying structure
337 The Charity Convergence Trap
345 a big essay about Batesian mimickry
348 _ Codes of Convergence; Or, Smile More
350 _ "I Will Fight [...]": LGBT Patriotism and the Moral Fine-Tuning Objection
357 _ The View From Nowhere
361 _ reply to Ozy on https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2017/08/03/rapid-onset-gender-dysphoria-is-bad-science/ (when marketing in Culture War thread, maybe hat tip https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/9cir3w/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_03/e5c1h2c/ )
362 _ Q An Infovist's Advisory; Or, Standing Athwart History ...
367 ✓ Interlude XVII (not all men)
369 can the comment on "Bit Players" actually fit on this blog (I didn't empathize with offense at fake physics, but I can take offense at maximum-entropy psychology): epigraph quote, "It's Only a Paper Moon"
371 Q As Well for a Sheep as a Lamb; Or, Charity, Objectivity, and ...
374 _ Stereotypes, Models, and Cognition: Beyond Maximum-Entropy Psychology
375 Imperfect Trait Measurements Regress to the Mean
376 Q The Gender Czar's Compromise
380 Q Book Review: Nevada
381 Product Review: Oculus Go
383 All You Had to Say https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/8xa97t/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_july_09_2018/e228vyj/
389 Q Time Travel Isn't Real; Or, Yes, the Only Real Trans Woman Is a Transitioned Trans Woman
390 _ The Neglect of Probability Fallacy; Or, You Do Not Have an Intersex Condition
391 Q Simple Models Plus Noise Are Better Than Pretending Not to Have a Model
392 Falsifiability and What We Expect Not to See
394 Q The Hand I Was Dealt
395 "diagonalize" http://gender-decoder.katmatfield.com/ by running the research paper it was based on through it
396 Q Reduce Gender Identities to Gender Goals
397 Threnody for the Transhumanism of My Youth
398 of course trans genders are less natural; that's the entire fucking point
399 People Really Don't Know Why They Do Things
400 Q I Want to See You Be Brave
401 Passing Is Legitimacy, Legitimacy Is Passing
402 All Men Benefit From Patriarchy
403 (the story about my name)
404 Review of Nerve Endings: The New Trans Erotic
405 on the poor literary quality of TG captions
406 "Another Me I Haven't Met" (SacAnime cosplay review)
407 go back to east bay tg club night?
408 Product Review: Glamour Boutique's Vee-String Bladder
409 Q This Is Worth a Fight
410 "Trans Women Are Women" is a Positive-Affect Instance of the Noncentral Fallacy
414 story of Gina and Vern selected for GNC
415 story about women engineers and male businesspeople
416 story about race of humans who have a "sneaky" camoflauge form and someone with their analogue of AGP tries to deliberately lower his status to get it
417 fix fic for that one episode of _The Orville_