-dedicated day?—
+smaller TODO blocks—
+✓ Comp joke [pt. 4]
+✓ or consider Nevada [pt. 2]
+✓ anti-correlated variables [pt. 2]
+- previous AI milestones [pt. 4]
+_ short timelines and politics [pt. 4]
+_ Daria's ending/standing under the same sky? [pt. 4]
+_ social justice and defying threats [pt. 4]
+_ "victories" weren't comforting [pt. 3]
+_ vaccine joke [pt. 4]
+_ "If Clarity" recap intro [pt. 3]
+_ "Agreeing with Stalin" recap intro [pt. 4]
+_ Scott linked to Kay Brown [pt. 2]
+_ posted to /r/gendercritical [pt. 2]
+_ the Death With Dignity era [pt. 4]
+
+
+bigger blocks—
_ dath ilan and Eliezerfic fight
_ Michael Vassar and the Theory of Optimal Gossip
_ psychiatric disaster
With internet available—
-✓ record of Yudkowsky citing TDT as part of decision to prosecute Emerson?
-✓ Scott vs. Ben on Drowning
-✓ Ray and D. Xu's comments on "The Incentives"
-✓ comments on "Self-Consciousness wants to make"
-✓ tussle with Ruby on "Causal vs. Social Reality"
-✓ The End (of Sequences)
+_ IQ vs. cancer risk polygenic score cite
+_ footnote embryo selection companies?
+_ footnote Tailcalled on gayGP
+_ "Qualitative Strategies of Friendliness": discussion of truth vs. happiness in Friendly AI
+_ "Radical Honesty": discussion of Crocker's rules, "whosever lies _in a journal article_ is guilty of utter heresy", lying to others
+_ "not hard to find": link to more /r/itsafetish-like anecdotes
+_ /r/MtF subscriber count, and poll reply numbers
+_ Charlottesville
+_ TSRoadmap mis-identified my pseudonym
+_ did _Nevada_ win a Lambda award or anything like that?
+_ when did I order _Nevada_? when did I order _MTiMB_?
+_ Samo's comment, and what did the TERF phenomenon look like in 2016?
+_ "Tiresias" comment
+_ year of MIRI rebrand; think it was 2013; check before inserting (for ^siai footnote)
+_ stats of SIAI vs. SingInst hits (for ^siai footnote)
_ retrieve own-blog links for "futurist-themed delusions"
_ double-check that "Changing Emotions" was in January
_ No such thing as a tree
_ Yudkowsky's LW moderation policy
far editing tier—
+_ re-read a DALL-E explanation and decide if I think it's less scary now
+_ Scott Aaronson on the blockchain of science https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=6821
_ footnote previous race-IQ baiting on "why do I keep bringing this up"
_ mention my "trembling hand" history with secrets, not just that I don't like it
_ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yaCwW8nPQeJknbCgf/free-speech-and-triskaidekaphobic-calculators-a-reply-to as part of December 2019 blogging streak
_ hostile prereader (April, J. Beshir, Swimmer, someone else from Alicorner #drama)
_ maybe Kelsey (very briefly, just about her name)?
_ maybe SK (briefly about his name)? (the memoir might have the opposite problem (too long) from my hostile-shorthand Twitter snipes)
-_ maybe Big Yud (ask #drama about the politics/ettiquitte)
marketing—
_ Twitter
_ I think it's OK to copy my friends' language from emails; plagiarism instincts
--------
-
-4 November progress assessment: My 113 word TODO bullets on "discrediting to the community" bloated up into 563 words of prose, a decompression ratio of 5. Taking this at face value—
-
-My remaining TODO notes in the pt. 3 ms. are about 1400 words—does that mean they become 7000 words, with the finished pt. 3 weighing in at 46K words??
-
-For pt. 2, does 970 words of TODO inflate into 5K words of prose, for a finished pt. 2 at 16K words? Feels more likely to be an underestimate due to these notes being sparser on average? An additional 7K words, to finish at 18K??
-
-For pt. 4, I have 617 words of TODO notes, but those also feel pretty sparse and should expand at a higher ratio than 5. An additional 5K words, to finish at 19K??
-
-Projected post lengths: 18K + 46K + 19K = 83K??
-Projected additional words: 17K??
-Projected additional drafting: 17K / 750 K/day = 23 days??
-cross-referenced with my dayjob schedule implies ... finished draft ms. on 15 December?
-
-------
The thing about our crowd is that we have a lamentably low proportion of women (13.3% cis women in the last community survey) and—I don't know when this happened; it certainly didn't feel like this back in 'aught-nine—an enormous number of trans women relative to population base rates (2.7%, for a cis-to-trans ratio of 4.9!!), the vast majority of whom I expect to be AGP
from "Go Forth and Create the Art"—
> To the best of my knowledge there is _no_ true science that draws its strength from only one person. To the best of my knowledge that is _strictly_ an idiom of cults. A true science may have its heroes, it may even have its lonely defiant heroes, but _it will have more than one_.
+contrast Sequences-era "Study Science, Not Just Me" with dath ilan sneering at Earth
+
+I have no objection to the conspiracies in Brennan's world! Because Brennan's world was just "here's a fictional world with a different social structure" (Competitive Conspiracy, Cooperative Conspiracy, &c.); sure, there was a post about how Eld Science failed, but that didn't seem like _trash talk_ in the same way
+
contrast the sneering at Earth people with the attitude in "Whining-Based Communities"
from "Why Quantum?" (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gDL9NDEXPxYpDf4vz/why-quantum)
Speaking of coordination: you know what's useful for coordination? Principles! Common knowledge!
the post introducing the litany of Gendlin was literally titled "You _Can_ Face Reality"
-https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HYWhKXRsMAyvRKRYz/you-can-face-reality
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+https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HYWhKXRsMAyvRKRYz/you-can-face-reality
+
+Re: "it's deception aimed at crazy people"—but if you're so casual about deceiving crazy people, you probably don't care much about sane non-Keepers, either. (Same energy: if your date is rude to the waiter, he won't be a good partner, either. Or parents who lie to their kids for convenience.)—and in fact, empathy towards crazy people _is_ shown in the section on Thellim's mother in "but hurting people is wrong"
+
+"Criticism not welcome, it's just a story; if you don't like it, don't read it" works for normal glowfic, but it doesn't work when you're earnestly spreading memes about how your fictional Society is superior to our Earth; if you're going to make _that_ claim in earnest, you should expect people to subject your fictional Society to scrutiny to check whether it holds together
+
+Clara says to just roll your eyes and ignore him, but in a way, that seems _more_ disrespectful—to just _write someone off_, rather than having faith that they can be reached by argument
+
+There's a difference between jokes where the audience is supposed to "get the joke" (and you're willing to accept collateral damage to people who didn't get the joke), and political moves where
+
+When he says "no one but Zack M. Davis would have said anything where you could hear it", I regard that as an abject failure of the community, but he regards it has "working as intended"?
+
+Vassar had once praised me as "Zack is pretty much always right" (when I express an opinion; he still thought I was dumb/unperceptive), and I accepted the praise that it wasn't meant literally—but if someone had a longstanding dispute with me and objected to the praise, I would fundamentally "get" why they were objecting (they don't want Vassar encouraging people to defer to me), rather than assuming _they_ thought it was meant literally
+
+I did "get what I needed" out of the Eliezerfic fight (before, I still had anxiety about whether I should email him before publishing this memoir; and now, I don't)
+
+He could have saved, like, six years of my life, if the March 2016 post had said, "I think 30% of males are gender-dysphoric and might benefit from transitioning"
+
+Fri 14 Jul 2017
+(03:54:42 PM) alicorn24: holy fuck that is a lot of money
+(03:54:53 PM) alicorn24: when I read that blog post I was imagining you'd like, throw fifty bucks at some people
+(03:55:06 PM) zackmdavis@yahoo.com: what? that would be insulting
+(03:57:46 PM) zackmdavis@yahoo.com: there's a calibration thing about being a San Francisco software engineer; and, April could have been really really much worse if I didn't have friends
+
+"probably won't understand" self-comments—
+https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/vjmw8tW6wZAtNJMKo/which-parts-are-me/comment/gYSsBbZ6xvaf2b3Eh
+https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/QZs4vkC7cbyjL9XA9/changing-emotions/comment/pK9JHSTTnnpjbbqZp
+https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/WijMw9WkcafmCFgj4/do-scientists-already-know-this-stuff/comment/EFg4p7KRbthgH3SnR
+https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/r5H6YCmnn8DMtBtxt/you-are-a-brain/comment/CsqYAeCPnsAsdQb7d
+https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/QB9eXzzQWBhq9YuB8/rationalizing-and-sitting-bolt-upright-in-alarm/comment/2FfTFrA7iKK6kxqMq
+
+I should have said: _You_ are a product of your time. _Eliezer_ has no integrity. Or rather, he's forgotten that you can't define the word "integrity" any way you want.
+
+I talked in #drama _about_ talking in Eliezerfic because it seemed like a free action, but the fact that I felt crummy/depressed afterwards suggests that it wasn't actually a free action (but still a substantial discount compared to screwing up in a Yudkowsky-hosted space)
+
+my father's men's group kicked out a gay man (who was at least still male!); women are too nice to eject MtFs
+
+"Something to Protect" says: "you should never _actually_ end up deliberately believing a useful false statement" (but it's OK for Civilization to end up engineering that you do)
+
+explainxkcd.com/wiki/index.php/1425:_Tasks "I'll need a research team and five years" September 2014
+
+May 2019: David MacIver is in on it, too! https://www.drmaciver.com/2019/05/the-inner-sense-of-gender/#comment-366840
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