Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git
3 days agopolish and revise "Prediction Markets Are Not" master
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 30 Nov 2024 01:23:57 +0000 (17:23 -0800)]
polish and revise "Prediction Markets Are Not"

4 days agorevising "Prediction Markets Are Not"
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 29 Nov 2024 06:48:11 +0000 (22:48 -0800)]
revising "Prediction Markets Are Not"

4 days agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 29 Nov 2024 04:06:46 +0000 (20:06 -0800)]
check in

2 weeks agofinish drafting "Prediction Markets Are Not a Drop-In"
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 19 Nov 2024 06:47:51 +0000 (22:47 -0800)]
finish drafting "Prediction Markets Are Not a Drop-In"

2 weeks agodrafting "Prediction Markets Are Not"
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 17 Nov 2024 20:28:32 +0000 (12:28 -0800)]
drafting "Prediction Markets Are Not"

2 weeks agodrafting "Prediction Markets Are Not a Drop-In Replacement"
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 17 Nov 2024 07:10:17 +0000 (23:10 -0800)]
drafting "Prediction Markets Are Not a Drop-In Replacement"

3 weeks agodrafting "Prediction Markets Are Not ..."
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 10 Nov 2024 04:57:11 +0000 (20:57 -0800)]
drafting "Prediction Markets Are Not ..."

7 weeks agoI don't think my prediction market code is right
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 13 Oct 2024 06:32:37 +0000 (23:32 -0700)]
I don't think my prediction market code is right

7 weeks agopoke at "Prediction Markets ..."
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 12 Oct 2024 20:06:07 +0000 (13:06 -0700)]
poke at "Prediction Markets ..."

7 weeks agodrafting "Prediction Markets Are Not a Drop-In Replacement for Concepts"
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 12 Oct 2024 18:04:46 +0000 (11:04 -0700)]
drafting "Prediction Markets Are Not a Drop-In Replacement for Concepts"

7 weeks agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 12 Oct 2024 17:18:52 +0000 (10:18 -0700)]
check in

4 months agoschedule "AGP and Epistemic Despair" transcript
Zack M. Davis [Mon, 15 Jul 2024 02:14:17 +0000 (19:14 -0700)]
schedule "AGP and Epistemic Despair" transcript

4 months agocomplete edit of "AGP and Epistemic Despair" transcript
Zack M. Davis [Mon, 15 Jul 2024 01:02:11 +0000 (18:02 -0700)]
complete edit of "AGP and Epistemic Despair" transcript

4 months agoediting "AGP and Epistemic Despair" transcript
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 14 Jul 2024 05:40:26 +0000 (22:40 -0700)]
editing "AGP and Epistemic Despair" transcript

4 months agoediting "AGP and Epistemic Despair" transcript
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 13 Jul 2024 05:58:51 +0000 (22:58 -0700)]
editing "AGP and Epistemic Despair" transcript

4 months agoediting "AGP and Epistemic Despair" episode transcript
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 12 Jul 2024 06:00:58 +0000 (23:00 -0700)]
editing "AGP and Epistemic Despair" episode transcript

4 months agoupdate Best Of to include memoir pt. 3 & 4
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 12 Jul 2024 05:39:38 +0000 (22:39 -0700)]
update Best Of to include memoir pt. 3 & 4

5 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 26 Jun 2024 17:15:32 +0000 (10:15 -0700)]
check in

The anti–dath ilan piece should be a Less Wrong exclusive, rather than
part of this blog; it's not part of my memoir.

7 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 30 Apr 2024 19:27:57 +0000 (12:27 -0700)]
check in

9 months agomake sure to include Twitter links in recap
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 2 Mar 2024 22:02:30 +0000 (14:02 -0800)]
make sure to include Twitter links in recap

9 months agopull the trigger on memoir pt. 4
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 2 Mar 2024 21:45:32 +0000 (13:45 -0800)]
pull the trigger on memoir pt. 4

9 months agomemoir: pt. 4 Hoffman links
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 2 Mar 2024 21:36:27 +0000 (13:36 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 Hoffman links

9 months agomemoir: pt. 4 Cade Metz footnote
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 2 Mar 2024 20:51:25 +0000 (12:51 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 Cade Metz footnote

9 months agomemoir: pt. 4 practical tail to "Challenges" summary
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 2 Mar 2024 18:05:18 +0000 (10:05 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 practical tail to "Challenges" summary

9 months agomemoir: pt. 4 final read-through
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 2 Mar 2024 05:01:55 +0000 (21:01 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 final read-through

9 months agomemoir: pt. 4 at the line
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 1 Mar 2024 03:57:03 +0000 (19:57 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 at the line

The "maybe I should have just learned to persuade people" anecdote
gets cut because the relevant authorities have ruled that that
conversation was protected by privacy norms.

9 months agomemoir: pt. 4 culminating edits
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 29 Feb 2024 00:43:19 +0000 (16:43 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 culminating edits

9 months agomiserable day of being too trigger-shy to edit
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 28 Feb 2024 06:17:01 +0000 (22:17 -0800)]
miserable day of being too trigger-shy to edit

9 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 27 Feb 2024 20:41:44 +0000 (12:41 -0800)]
check in

9 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 22 Feb 2024 05:14:42 +0000 (21:14 -0800)]
check in

9 months agomemoir: molasses pokes at pt. 4 continue
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 22 Feb 2024 05:04:34 +0000 (21:04 -0800)]
memoir: molasses pokes at pt. 4 continue

9 months agopoke
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 21 Feb 2024 04:33:08 +0000 (20:33 -0800)]
poke

9 months agopt. 4 edits from an incomplete day
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 17 Feb 2024 18:00:13 +0000 (10:00 -0800)]
pt. 4 edits from an incomplete day

Was having trouble concentrating yesterday, and then a medical
emergency came up. Concentration deficit is probably related to me
being sick of this, definitely need to shove it out the door this
week.

9 months agopoke at pt. 4 prep, incl. #drama strategy opening statement
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 15 Feb 2024 03:54:16 +0000 (19:54 -0800)]
poke at pt. 4 prep, incl. #drama strategy opening statement

I'm not happy with my motivation this week—it looks like I'm going to
miss the framerule for publishing on Saturday! I don't want to rush
it—I want to be absolutely comfortable that what I'm doing is
rock-solid. Still disappointing. (And then I'll catch up with
everything I've been putting off in March?)

9 months agopoke at pt. 4 prep
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 14 Feb 2024 05:31:21 +0000 (21:31 -0800)]
poke at pt. 4 prep

9 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 13 Feb 2024 18:01:03 +0000 (10:01 -0800)]
check in

9 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 11 Feb 2024 23:24:56 +0000 (15:24 -0800)]
check in

9 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 7 Feb 2024 04:35:36 +0000 (20:35 -0800)]
check in

9 months agoremove underlines for TOC, blog/post title, page links
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 4 Feb 2024 02:20:18 +0000 (18:20 -0800)]
remove underlines for TOC, blog/post title, page links

10 months agomemoir: pt. 4 special critic edits
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 2 Feb 2024 06:33:37 +0000 (22:33 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 special critic edits

10 months agomemoir: tweak description of Brennan drama
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 1 Feb 2024 05:59:37 +0000 (21:59 -0800)]
memoir: tweak description of Brennan drama

10 months agoless goofy, more standard CSS link underlines (thx again to Said Achmiz)
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 31 Jan 2024 23:38:52 +0000 (15:38 -0800)]
less goofy, more standard CSS link underlines (thx again to Said Achmiz)

10 months agocheck in wordcount data
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 31 Jan 2024 23:33:50 +0000 (15:33 -0800)]
check in wordcount data

The journey isn't over until it's over.

10 months agomemoir: recap links don't need to be the entire sentence
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 23 Jan 2024 07:10:01 +0000 (23:10 -0800)]
memoir: recap links don't need to be the entire sentence

10 months agosuperscript line spacing fix
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 23 Jan 2024 06:53:36 +0000 (22:53 -0800)]
superscript line spacing fix

10 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 23 Jan 2024 06:53:21 +0000 (22:53 -0800)]
check in

10 months agomemoir: pt. 4 additional edit pass
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 13 Jan 2024 04:26:33 +0000 (20:26 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 additional edit pass

Said Achmiz said he'd have detailed comments for me, but I wanted to
make another pass first.

10 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 13 Jan 2024 00:34:20 +0000 (16:34 -0800)]
check in

11 months agopull the trigger on memoir pt. 3
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 30 Dec 2023 17:34:44 +0000 (09:34 -0800)]
pull the trigger on memoir pt. 3

11 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 30 Dec 2023 17:33:01 +0000 (09:33 -0800)]
check in

11 months agomemoir: pt. 3 final FINAL for real FINAL revisions.docx
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 30 Dec 2023 01:55:06 +0000 (17:55 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 3 final FINAL for real FINAL revisions.docx

I was feeling anxious about publishing after my walk with Anna this
morning, so I did another read-through, and I feel a lot better
now. Perhaps it's not so much that the changes I made are necessary
and the post would be bad without them, but I needed a recent final
readthrough in my head in order to feel confident that pulling the
trigger is the right choice.

I don't want to pull the trigger now because it's nighttime and I
don't want to be wired checking for comments, but I'm ready for the
morning.

11 months agomemoir: pt. 3 fine-tuning at the wire
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 29 Dec 2023 06:28:24 +0000 (22:28 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 3 fine-tuning at the wire

Anna recommended cutting the "brother" comment, and I'm feeling
inclined to acquiece, even though coach will accurately call me a
coward.

11 months agomemoir: more trans kids word-level scrutiny
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 28 Dec 2023 19:47:14 +0000 (11:47 -0800)]
memoir: more trans kids word-level scrutiny

11 months agomemoir: trans kids word-level scrutiny
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 28 Dec 2023 06:05:21 +0000 (22:05 -0800)]
memoir: trans kids word-level scrutiny

11 months agomemoir: provisional pt. 5 § headers
Zack M. Davis [Mon, 25 Dec 2023 22:48:23 +0000 (14:48 -0800)]
memoir: provisional pt. 5 § headers

11 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Mon, 25 Dec 2023 21:01:01 +0000 (13:01 -0800)]
check in

11 months agoI have been informed that CSS doesn't support //-comments
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 24 Dec 2023 23:29:39 +0000 (15:29 -0800)]
I have been informed that CSS doesn't support //-comments

11 months agoenable ToC on memoir pt. 3–4
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 24 Dec 2023 06:53:10 +0000 (22:53 -0800)]
enable ToC on memoir pt. 3–4

11 months agomemoir: pt. 4 red team edits
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 23 Dec 2023 01:19:45 +0000 (17:19 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 red team edits

11 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 22 Dec 2023 05:59:59 +0000 (21:59 -0800)]
check in

11 months agomemoir: one more trans gaslighting anecdote, a couple word tweaks
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 22 Dec 2023 05:58:28 +0000 (21:58 -0800)]
memoir: one more trans gaslighting anecdote, a couple word tweaks

11 months agomemoir: pt. 4 section headers
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 22 Dec 2023 03:49:33 +0000 (19:49 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 section headers

11 months agomemoir: retitle pt. 5
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 21 Dec 2023 23:50:29 +0000 (15:50 -0800)]
memoir: retitle pt. 5

"Zevi's Choice" was never a good title. This one alludes to a
well-known meme, while reflecting the despair of the "Death With
Dignity" era (and my personal despair in the "Challenges" era).

11 months agoenable table-of-contents Markdown extension
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 21 Dec 2023 23:27:47 +0000 (15:27 -0800)]
enable table-of-contents Markdown extension

I don't want to render the ToC because it's a hideous <ul> in the
absence of more specific CSS (which would not be a good use of my time
today), but at least this gets me autogenerated IDs on the h3s?—which
are nice.

11 months agomemoir: pt. 3 section headers
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 21 Dec 2023 05:58:31 +0000 (21:58 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 3 section headers

If both Said (private correspondence) and Ray
(https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/ZjXtjRQaD2b4PAser/a-hill-of-validity-in-defense-of-meaning/comment/Lmhum2tXLXzmbKvm5)
agree that I need section headers, then I probably need section
headers.

I was feeling reluctant about it, but after doing it, I agree that
this is a lot better.

I have mixed feelings about giving the "Why are you a boy?" anecdote
the prominence of its own section. (I wanted it to be subtle
foreshadowing, but if it gets its own section, then it's blantant
foreshadowing, which I choose to lampshade with a Suspiciously
Specific Denial.)

I'm not sure where the defaults were inherited from, but <h2> was too
big and <h3> was too small, so I edit the CSS to make <h3> bigger.

(Ideally, the titles would be anchor links ... do I need to write a
Pelican patch or plugin for that?)

11 months agomemoir: Ruby regret note
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 20 Dec 2023 06:08:28 +0000 (22:08 -0800)]
memoir: Ruby regret note

11 months agomemoir: apply pt. 4 pro edits (lower half)
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 20 Dec 2023 04:55:07 +0000 (20:55 -0800)]
memoir: apply pt. 4 pro edits (lower half)

11 months agocorrect year of autogenderphilia reply
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 19 Dec 2023 06:22:12 +0000 (22:22 -0800)]
correct year of autogenderphilia reply

I was confused why this apparently didn't publish—that is, why it
didn't appear at the newest post after `git push`ing. This is what I
get for letting it rot in drafts for decades of ever (two years).

11 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 19 Dec 2023 06:20:44 +0000 (22:20 -0800)]
check in

11 months agofinish and ship autogenderphilia reply
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 19 Dec 2023 06:16:40 +0000 (22:16 -0800)]
finish and ship autogenderphilia reply

Maybe rushed, maybe imperfect, but this has been sitting in drafts for
decades of ever, and it needs to slot in before memoir pt. 3.

11 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 16 Dec 2023 05:43:05 +0000 (21:43 -0800)]
check in

11 months agomemoir: revise FTX footnote further
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 16 Dec 2023 03:14:59 +0000 (19:14 -0800)]
memoir: revise FTX footnote further

11 months agomemoir: pt. 4 belated ispell pass
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 16 Dec 2023 01:14:11 +0000 (17:14 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 belated ispell pass

(Should've done this before sending it to editor and red team.)

11 months agomemoir: apply pt. 4 pro edits
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 15 Dec 2023 23:44:48 +0000 (15:44 -0800)]
memoir: apply pt. 4 pro edits

11 months agoadd free speech 🖤 stickers to stricker graffiti post
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 15 Dec 2023 20:21:22 +0000 (12:21 -0800)]
add free speech 🖤 stickers to stricker graffiti post

11 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 15 Dec 2023 06:22:16 +0000 (22:22 -0800)]
check in

(Re the blogroll drop: why do Blogger blogs get deleted sometimes? If
you made a sexology blog good enough that I wanted to blogroll it, why
wouldn't you just leave it up? Or was this Google being evil?)

11 months agotrying to whip autogenderphilia reply into shape
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 15 Dec 2023 06:21:23 +0000 (22:21 -0800)]
trying to whip autogenderphilia reply into shape

11 months agoenqueue "Hrunkner Unnerby"
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 14 Dec 2023 20:35:42 +0000 (12:35 -0800)]
enqueue "Hrunkner Unnerby"

11 months agomemoir: try the strong version of the FTX footnote?
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 14 Dec 2023 04:32:34 +0000 (20:32 -0800)]
memoir: try the strong version of the FTX footnote?

Subject to email litigation.

11 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 14 Dec 2023 02:55:04 +0000 (18:55 -0800)]
check in

11 months agomemoir: revise childhood transition section with more quotes
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 14 Dec 2023 02:20:46 +0000 (18:20 -0800)]
memoir: revise childhood transition section with more quotes

I suspect coach might condemn the word choices as cowardice (I'm
making these edits in response to feedback from someone on the other
side the issue), but the fact that I'm including more quotes (which
are realistic even if—if—they're hypothetical) just seems like a
Pareto improvement no matter what words I write around them.

(People on the other side will see nothing wrong with the quotes and
be glad that I'm citing evidence instead of confabulating assumptions
about events where I wasn't present; people who see things my way will
look at the dialogue and cry, "This is grooming!")

11 months agotie off "Hrunkner Unnerby"
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 13 Dec 2023 01:24:56 +0000 (17:24 -0800)]
tie off "Hrunkner Unnerby"

I knew I wanted a post commemerating my connection to this B plot
thread, but I wasn't sure what I wanted to say about it besides a mere
summary. I'm on deadline; I suppose this will do.

11 months agosnip old pseudonym from "Terrorist Memeplexes"
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 13 Dec 2023 01:23:24 +0000 (17:23 -0800)]
snip old pseudonym from "Terrorist Memeplexes"

It changes the meaning, but changing the byline already changed the meaning?

11 months agopull the trigger on "Beyond the Binary"
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 12 Dec 2023 20:58:05 +0000 (12:58 -0800)]
pull the trigger on "Beyond the Binary"

This one has been sitting in the `drafts` directory for decades of
ever, but it's good—classic TSbUUT content! I just sanded off some
italics that were jutting out.

11 months agomemoir: repair "yelling" account to incorporate the anti-corruption perspective
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 12 Dec 2023 01:39:16 +0000 (17:39 -0800)]
memoir: repair "yelling" account to incorporate the anti-corruption perspective

12 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 30 Nov 2023 03:34:25 +0000 (19:34 -0800)]
check in

12 months agomemoir pt. 5 edits: tie off Xu reply; trim Scott vs. Vassarites intro
Zack M. Davis [Thu, 30 Nov 2023 03:13:29 +0000 (19:13 -0800)]
memoir pt. 5 edits: tie off Xu reply; trim Scott vs. Vassarites intro

A while back, coach took issue with my "raw factional conflict"
characterization, arguing instead that Scott was just saying what
everyone else was too polite to, that Jessica is nuts.

I don't care that much about defending my view here, which suggests
saving wordcount by cutting that graf-and-a-half and transitioning
directly to my defense that being a Vassarite didn't harm me (which I
do care about and is worth the wordcount).

12 months agomemoir: pt. 4 contiguous draft
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 28 Nov 2023 23:59:06 +0000 (15:59 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 contiguous draft

I have a few more potential TODO items, but I think I should have my
editors take a swing at this now?

12 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 28 Nov 2023 18:46:36 +0000 (10:46 -0800)]
check in

12 months agomemoir: pt. 4 fills
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 28 Nov 2023 17:13:50 +0000 (09:13 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 4 fills

12 months agomemoir: pt. 3–4 homestretch edits
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 26 Nov 2023 04:45:28 +0000 (20:45 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 3–4 homestretch edits

12 months agomemoir: pt. 3–4 edits
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 25 Nov 2023 04:08:04 +0000 (20:08 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 3–4 edits

12 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Fri, 24 Nov 2023 19:14:09 +0000 (11:14 -0800)]
check in

12 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 22 Nov 2023 06:20:56 +0000 (22:20 -0800)]
check in

12 months agomemoir: pt. 3 tweaks
Zack M. Davis [Wed, 22 Nov 2023 04:21:37 +0000 (20:21 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 3 tweaks

12 months agomemoir: pt. 3 mostly pro edits
Zack M. Davis [Tue, 21 Nov 2023 06:37:17 +0000 (22:37 -0800)]
memoir: pt. 3 mostly pro edits

12 months agocheck in
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 19 Nov 2023 05:07:45 +0000 (21:07 -0800)]
check in

12 months agomemoir: rescue harsh language with a footnote, clarify capitalism zone scope
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 19 Nov 2023 04:13:10 +0000 (20:13 -0800)]
memoir: rescue harsh language with a footnote, clarify capitalism zone scope

12 months agomemoir: revert alphabetical name bump
Zack M. Davis [Sun, 19 Nov 2023 02:19:21 +0000 (18:19 -0800)]
memoir: revert alphabetical name bump

I was thinking about including a "Gloria" example in pt. 3, but it's
been cut.

12 months agomemoir: FTX footnote
Zack M. Davis [Sat, 18 Nov 2023 03:38:28 +0000 (19:38 -0800)]
memoir: FTX footnote