2 Main path (important posts)—
5 _ Sexual Dimorphism in Yudkowsky's Sequences, in Relation to My Gender Problems
6 _ Unnatural Categories Are Optimized for Deception (LW)
7 _ Motivation and Political Context for My Philosophy of Language Agenda
8 _ Feedback on Unnatural Categories (working group + TurnTrout + Rich + Tetra + Steven + Said + Elizabeth (https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/rhZge5qmZKwJ8BMDM/open-and-welcome-thread-march-2020#comment-XG44nfNcpq3BXj7hB) + paid-editor)
11 _ I think I do want to ping V.K.?
12 _ comment to V."C."S. on "Maybe Lying Can't Exist?!"
13 _ comment on W.D. on "Maybe Lying Doesn't Exist"
14 _ "epilogue, thank you, theory of C., goodbye, &c." email to S.A.
15 _ explain "algorthimic" playing dumb to S.A.
18 _ Reddit submissions: /r/philosophy and /r/TheMotte
20 _ tag "Motivation and Political Context": "The SF Bay Area", "Criticisms of the Rationalist Movement", "Postmortems & Retrospectives"
24 _ Friendship Practices of the Secret-Sharing Plain Speech Valley Squirrels
25 _ Yardstick abolition pessimism https://culturallyboundgender.wordpress.com/2018/11/13/gender-identity-isnt-a-box-its-a-yardstick/
27 _ reductionist rebuttal to "so you think lesbians aren't women"
28 _ A Previous Life's War
29 _ The Feeling Is Mutual
30 _ Hrunkner Unnerby and the Shallowness of Progress
31 _ reply to https://azdoine.tumblr.com/post/173995599942/a-reply-to-unremediatedgenderspace-on-reply-to http://archive.is/JSSNi
32 _ reply to https://deathisbadblog.com/the-real-transphobes-are-the-ones-we-made-along-the-way/
33 _ Beckett Mariner Is Trans https://www.reddit.com/r/DaystromInstitute/comments/in3g92/was_mariner_a_teenager_on_the_enterprised/
34 _ Cynical Theories review
35 _ Persongen/univariate fallacy/typical set
36 _ reply on psych prison https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4uvgb4/?context=3
37 _ Irreversible Damage review
38 _ Jessica/wiz AGP defense
39 _ Elision _vs_. Choice (working title)
40 _ Phenotypic Identity and Memetic Capture
41 _ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data prior: https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2019/07/19/how-many-trans-folk-are-there-really/ https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2017/04/16/getting-lost-in-the-crowd/
42 _ "More Than We Can Say": High-Dimensional Social Science and the Conjunction of Small Effect Sizes
43 _ Comment on "Towards decolonising computational sciences" https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.14258
44 _ My Identity Has a Better Brier Score Than Your Identity
45 _ The Causality of Ethnic Differences in COVID-19 Outcomes Is an Open Empirical Question
47 optimized to confuse and intimidate people trying to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex, even if your conscious verbal narrative never says 'and now I will confuse and intimidate people who want to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex'!"
49 I should email caption bliggers and ask if they know about AGP
50 https://www.imagefap.com/profile/rickbennett
51 https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/03/swap-clinic-testimonial-i-can-work-with.html
52 https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/10/swap-clinic-win-win-win.html
54 reverse Wason selection task: https://twitter.com/ThetaGrunberg/status/1305296703088545792
56 I'm not usually—at least, not always—so much of a scrub as to play chess with a pigeon (which shits on the board and then struts around like it's won), or wrestle with a pig (which gets you both dirty, and the pig likes it), or dispute what the Tortise said to Achilles
58 (This needs to go into my "Motivations and Political Context")
59 Transitioning is easy if you project into the subspace spanned by "given name" and "preferred pronouns" and "frequency of wearing dresses." The problem is that it's not psychologically realistic to expect everyone else to just throw away all the other dimensions—people were using those dimensions!
61 (for Elision vs. Choice)
62 Speakers of my generation are more likely to say "person" when sex isn't relevant, whereas older works (pre-second wave feminism?) would actually say "man" (or "woman"—see how anachronistic it feels to put the female option second and in parentheses?), presumably not because human nature has changed that much, but because of shifting cultural priorities about when sex is "relevant." (Modern speakers similarly frown on mentioning race (https://agentultra.com/blog/the-black-man-stopped-me/) when it's not relevant.)
65 (My Identity Has a Better Brier Score)
66 I'm skeptical of "ace"—I think it's just an identity label that can be successfully marketed to otherwise-ordinary people in the bottom-quartile of libido, by an ideology that wants to sell people identity labels to get them to join the coalition of sexual minorities
67 You might reply: "But you identify as AGP, and attach emotional weight to that—isn't that just another identity label?"
68 but the thing about AGP is that, I actually have reason to believe it "fits" the territory of the underlying psychological variation
69 it's an expression of the theory that trans women (left-coded) and the subjects of that old Atlantic article about (right-coded) married crossdressers ("Conservative Men in Conservative Dresses") are the same thing
70 invariant under the cultural coding
74 _ Eugenics Is Actually Good, You Worthless Cowards
75 _ The One Where I Try to Be A Little More Explicit About What 'Autogynephilia' Actually Entails
76 _ No One Actually Wants to Change "Gender"
77 _ Ideology Is the General Case (working title)
78 _ Boundary Violations and Territory
79 _ three views on partisanship: "Hierarchy and Wings" "Bioleninism" "Democracy Cis and Trans"
81 _ Gay + Trans = Straight
84 _ Walker correspondence
85 _ 30 Years of the Blank Slate (Cosmides-Tooby/Pinker/Murray)
86 _ "I Hope You're Happy, California"
87 _ Travis's Trilemma: Creepy, Crazy, or Protected-Class (working title)
88 _ Reply to Ozymandias on Lesbians and on Single-Sex Spaces
89 _ Answers on Great Divides: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2010/08/questions-for-great-divides.html
90 _ Film Review: Your Name
91 _ World of Masks https://twitter.com/zackmdavis/status/1228093035042541569
92 _ "But I'm Not Quite Sure What That Means": Costs of Nonbinary Gender as a Social Technology
93 _ "I Tell Myself to Let the Story End"; Or, A Hill of Validity ... (UUT)
94 _ glomerular filtration rate https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/gq50mo/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_may_25_2020/frvrhwg/
95 _ I Am Very Bad at Keeping Secrets and Am Therefore Very Reluctant to Offer Confidentiality Promises
97 "You're conflating sex and gender"—the problem is, Does anyone actually want to change "gender"?—they're bundled for a reason
101 _ COVID life-years (rather than deaths)
102 _ Signals, Deception, and the Precession of Simulacra (LW)
103 _ Contra Scott Alexander on Mental Illness; Or, Oh God, Please Don't (aAL/LW)
104 _ Comment on Wireheading /r/rational
105 _ Second Derivative (Paul Christiano on growth timelines)
106 _ Selective Reporting and Clustering
107 _ Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization—marginally neglected truths are more
108 _ Explicit Disjunction vs. Contradictory Arguments from a Bottom Line
109 _ How they Pin It Down: Equal Environments Assumption Edition https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cXzTpSiCrNGzeoRAz/conjunction-controversy-or-how-they-nail-it-down
110 _ Social Construction is an Embedded Agency Problem
112 it's important to have language for psychology because you can't point to pictures
114 Training Data—"get used" to the new definitions, in time
116 "You can follow people you disagree with!" makes sense if you think of
120 if pro-reality trans people are allied with more numerous anti-reality trans people, that incentivizes me to join an anti-trans coalition, when what I actually (should) want is to cherry-pick the pro-reality people
122 another thing keeping me from trans-IDing: trans is "marked"; choosing it would mean associating with the crazy. Normal Society (with men named Zack) has its own madnesses and crimes, but
124 Vocabulary as Capital Investment
126 _ Challenges of Mounting an Ideological Crusade
128 B.F. being smart-but-dense
130 how taxonomy/typology emerges from Bayesian networks
132 _ On Being Stereotyped Badly (working title)
135 Memetics vs. Discourse
136 Cromwell's Rule Is About Symmetry, Not Fairness
138 The Motte-and-Bailey Doctrine as Compression Artifact
139 Trading Political Favors Doesn't Build True Maps, But Correcting Errors Your Yourself Made, Does
141 The Wisdom of Nature (I like the idea of transhumanism, but in practice, biology is just too complicated) https://nickbostrom.com/evolution.pdf
144 _ Product Review: FaceApp
146 _ The Strategy of "Apartment Patty" — the outrage strategy only works if you have a coalition to back you up. Deterrent: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/05/case-social-media-mobs/612202/ Another example: https://twitter.com/jaimetoons/status/1271300265170186240
148 Psychiatrist's response to me is kind of case-in-point https://old.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4valma/
150 you regress to your group's mean—but that depends on how you draw the category boundaries around group membership! This could be a good math post!! https://humanvarieties.org/2017/07/01/measurement-error-regression-to-the-mean-and-group-differences/
152 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia "An important fantasy for some individuals is being transformed into the preferred object (such as a statue) and experiencing an associated state of immobility or paralysis."
154 address accusation that I conflate "passing" and biosex
158 Positioning (don't want to prematurely alienate people you're trying to rescue)
160 conservatives complain about low-time preference ppl having too many kids—but from a evolutionary perspective, they're more evolutionarily fit
162 A Science Fiction Story Idea I'm Not Skilled Enough to Write
164 Names and Genders Are Not Relevantly Analogous
166 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia didn't make it into Lawrence's erotic target location paper, did it?
170 Anne Lawrence on AGP Teen Transition
171 Anne Lawrence on Unapologetic Autogynephilic Transsexualism
173 Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization
177 explain my blunder in https://twitter.com/jessi_cata/status/1188567229987577856
179 reply to https://surveyanon.wordpress.com/2019/10/27/the-mathematical-consequences-of-a-toy-model-of-gender-transition/
181 testimony on trans girl periods: http://www.onwednesdays.net/trans-girl-periods/
186 Reading Comprehension Is Rape Culture
188 Reply to David R. MacIver on Gendering
190 Trying to Be Explicit
192 Instrumental Categories, and War
194 (lit-search strategy: go through the del Guidice "Multivariate Misgivings" article and its citations; the Archer paper also mentioned this)
196 Commentary on "Blegg Mode"
198 Faster Than Science (Transgender Edition)
200 (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GEJzPwY8JedcNX2qz/blegg-mode)
202 karaoke, celebrity, cognitive load; I don't want people to do that for me
204 Option<String>?! https://web.archive.org/web/20160731010249/https://qntm.org/gay
207 _ "Lies to Cis People", a.k.a., "Lies"
208 _ I Mean, Yes, I Agree That Man Should Allocate Some More Categories, But
211 https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4ZvJab25tDebB8FGE/you-have-about-five-words : well, that explains the TWAW mantra
213 The Parable of the Good Witch
215 First-Offender Models and the Unilateralist's Blessing
216 The Parable of the Faithful Man and the Cowardly Priest
218 Game Theory of "Apartment Patty"
220 Virtue Signaling Is Costly and Honest
221 (in response to Kosoy's objection)
223 Servants of the Egregore (write-up of egregore theory as told by "Wilhelm")
225 Kolmogorov's Iron Triangle; Or, the Not-Being-a-Worthless-Coward Option (epigraph quote: Raleigh's "The Lie")—(include analogy: the fear that atheism would lead to immortality given that ppl don't have to fear Hell, wouldn't have seemed obviously absurd at the time) — honesty, ability to think, and mainstream credibility. The Kolmogorov option sacrifices a lot of honesty in exchange for mainstream credibility. This might seem like a good trade until you consider that "honesty" and "ability to think" aren't independent (because people are bad at compartmentalization and we need to talk to each other to think together).
227 Research Question: Complicity
230 Where to Segment a Conversation When There's Stuff You Won't Touch, Without Violating the Virtue of Evenness
231 In Praise of Cartesianism (you need to _really_ understand "A Human's Guide to Words" before you can do high-grade good-faith social constructionism)
233 Sex Differences and Commonsense Priors (I have parsimony intuitions that make "AGP is caused by pollution" or "AGP is normal in cis women" or "hormone receptors distributions are the same" seem not worth considering)
235 In the Presence of Mimickry, Extension and Intension Simplicity Trade-Off
237 Objectivity as a Rhetorical Strategy: probability, words, morality
238 Focus on the Simple Case (accurate maps can have bad effects, but that's a weird second-order analysis)
239 Self-Identity as Focal Point; Or, Schelf-Identity
242 A Human's Abridged Guide to Gender Words
246 in a world where we _actually had_ sex change technology, self-identity doctrine _wouldn't even occur to anyone_
248 Operationalization of Bad Faith: if people make reasoning errors that they wouldn't make with another topic having the same underlying structure
252 The Charity Convergence Trap
260 a big essay about Batesian mimickry
263 _ Codes of Convergence; Or, Smile More
265 _ "I Will Fight [...]": LGBT Patriotism and the Moral Fine-Tuning Objection
272 _ The View From Nowhere
276 _ reply to Ozy on https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2017/08/03/rapid-onset-gender-dysphoria-is-bad-science/ (when marketing in Culture War thread, maybe hat tip https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/9cir3w/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_03/e5c1h2c/ )
277 _ Q An Infovist's Advisory; Or, Standing Athwart History ...
279 Q Blanchard's Dangerous Idea and the Plight of the Lucid Crossdreamer; Or, Could Self-Reports Really Be That Wrong??
283 ✓ Interlude XVII (not all men)
285 can the comment on "Bit Players" actually fit on this blog (I didn't empathize with offense at fake physics, but I can take offense at maximum-entropy psychology): epigraph quote, "It's Only a Paper Moon"
287 Q As Well for a Sheep as a Lamb; Or, Charity, Objectivity, and ...
290 _ Stereotypes, Models, and Cognition: Beyond Maximum-Entropy Psychology
291 Imperfect Trait Measurements Regress to the Mean
292 Q The Gender Czar's Compromise
296 Q Book Review: Nevada
297 Product Review: Oculus Go
299 All You Had to Say https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/8xa97t/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_july_09_2018/e228vyj/
305 Q Time Travel Isn't Real; Or, Yes, the Only Real Trans Woman Is a Transitioned Trans Woman
306 _ The Neglect of Probability Fallacy; Or, You Do Not Have an Intersex Condition
307 Q Simple Models Plus Noise Are Better Than Pretending Not to Have a Model
308 Falsifiability and What We Expect Not to See
310 Q The Hand I Was Dealt
311 "diagonalize" http://gender-decoder.katmatfield.com/ by running the research paper it was based on through it
312 Q Reduce Gender Identities to Gender Goals
313 Threnody for the Transhumanism of My Youth
314 of course trans genders are less natural; that's the entire fucking point
315 People Really Don't Know Why They Do Things
316 Q I Want to See You Be Brave
317 Passing Is Legitimacy, Legitimacy Is Passing
318 All Men Benefit From Patriarchy
319 (the story about my name)
320 Review of Nerve Endings: The New Trans Erotic
321 on the poor literary quality of TG captions
322 "Another Me I Haven't Met" (SacAnime cosplay review)
323 go back to east bay tg club night?
324 Product Review: Glamour Boutique's Vee-String Bladder
325 Q This Is Worth a Fight
326 "Trans Women Are Women" is a Positive-Affect Instance of the Noncentral Fallacy
330 story of Gina and Vern selected for GNC
331 story about women engineers and male businesspeople
332 story about race of humans who have a "sneaky" camoflauge form and someone with their analogue of AGP tries to deliberately lower his status to get it
333 fix fic for that one episode of _The Orville_