two-types anchor in "... To Make Predictions"

[Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git] / notes / i-mean-yes-notes.md

diff --git a/notes/i-mean-yes-notes.md b/notes/i-mean-yes-notes.md
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@@ -92,4 +92,11 @@ But even if it's _possible_ to scrupulously rephrase any individual sentence to
 
 Say something about female primates defending their kin against male aggression, about males competing to control access to females
 
 
 Say something about female primates defending their kin against male aggression, about males competing to control access to females
 

-a male friend of the blog went through a period of dissassociating from his sexuality
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+a male friend of the blog went through a period of dissassociating from his sexuality
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+
+"As no woman has ever referred to herself as ‘a person with a cervix’, there’s a real danger that misguided deference to trans activists will mean some women end up missing out on medical check-ups specific to their sex.": https://www.spiked-online.com/2018/12/26/the-year-of-trans-tyranny/#.XCNeJ5uEWR8.twitter
+
+Anyway, all of this leading up to a psychological hypothesis (maybe this is "obvious", but I hadn't thought about it before): when people see someone wavering between their coalition and a rival coalition, they're motivated to offer a few concessions to keep the wavering person on their side. [...] could afford to not-understand (pace Upton Sinclair) the "words need to carve reality at the joints" thing when it was just me freaking out alone, but "got it" almost as soon as I could credibly threaten to walk (defect to a coalition of people she dislikes) [...] (assuming he otherwise wouldn't have spontaneously tweeted something about the univariate fallacy two weeks later)??
+
+This probably doesn't work if you repeat it (or if you try to do it consciously)?