poke at stuff in the morning

[Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git] / notes / i-tell-myself-notes.txt

diff --git a/notes/i-tell-myself-notes.txt b/notes/i-tell-myself-notes.txt
index 12af627..73b6123 100644 (file)
--- a/notes/i-tell-myself-notes.txt
+++ b/notes/i-tell-myself-notes.txt
@@ -50,7 +50,7 @@ this is _really basic shit_
 The way this is supposed to work is that you just make your arguments and trust that good arguments will outcompete bad ones; emailing people begging for a clarification is kind of rude and I want to acknowledge the frame in which I'm the bad guy (or pitably mentally ill)—but I was taught that arguing with people when they're doing something wrong is actually doing them a _favor_—I was taught that it's virtuous to make an extraordinary effort
 
 bad-faith nitpicker—I would be annoyed if someone repeatedly begged me to correct a mistake I made in a blog post from five years ago or a Tweet from November
-I wouldn't hold anyone to standards I wouldn't myself—for whatever that's worth http://zackmdavis.net/blog/2018/07/object-vs-meta-golden-rule/
+I wouldn't hold anyone to standards I wouldn't myself—for whatever that's worth http://zackmdavis.net/blog/2018/07/object-vs-meta-golden-rule/ (not a coincidence that are positions aren't reversed)
 
 Losing faith in guided-by-the-beauty-of-our-weapons
 
@@ -352,6 +352,8 @@ https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1067490362225156096
 
 _Why_ is it humorous? Because you don't like sports? (["Though, since you never designed your own leg muscles, you are racing using strength that isn't yours.  A race between robot cars is a purer contest of their designers."](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/29vqqmGNxNRGzffEj/high-challenge))
 
+It's alarming when someone who shattered all your dreams with logic ten years ago, then turns around and tells you your dreams can be real by definition
+
 https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1067300728572600320
 
 https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1065666629155995648 "The only leaders in the current ecosystem who express any kind of controversial opinion, ever, are organisms that specialize in subsisting on the resource flows produced by expressing that kind of controversial opinion."
@@ -362,11 +364,17 @@ A rationality mistake is made that's useful for supporting political agenda X, n
 
 if THAT is now too politically contentious to affirm in public, we're DEAD
 
+http://zackmdavis.net/blog/2016/07/concerns/
+
 http://zackmdavis.net/blog/2016/09/concerns-ii/ "you yourself admit that your model won't assign literally all of its probability mass to the exact outcome?!"
 
 "category boundaries" were just a visual metaphor for talking about beliefs? There's a little naive Bayes model in my head with "blueness" and "eggness" observation nodes hooked up to a central "blegg" category-membership node, such that I can use observations to update my beliefs about category-membership, and use my beliefs about category-membership to predict observations. The set of things I'll classify as a blegg with probability greater than p is conveniently visualized as an area with a boundary in blueness–eggness space, but the beliefs are the important thing.
 
-http://zackmdavis.net/blog/2016/07/concerns/
+The "borders" metaphor is particularly galling if—[unlike the popular author](https://slatestarcodex.com/2015/01/31/the-parable-of-the-talents/)—you actually know math.
+
+https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hzuSDMx7pd2uxFc5w/causal-diagrams-and-causal-models
+
+
 
 
 
@@ -536,3 +544,4 @@ Steve said it's funny that Ziz and I are ragequitting over opposite things, and
 ; I'm a weird guy; I would like to believe there could be a cis woman like me. Not obvious that I acutally know any. My sister is a natural experiment; hands vs. finger; "felt sense"]
 
 https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KmghfjH6RgXvoKruJ/hand-vs-fingers
+