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[Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git] / notes / post_ideas.txt

diff --git a/notes/post_ideas.txt b/notes/post_ideas.txt
index f63d5ee..e94f753 100644 (file)
--- a/notes/post_ideas.txt
+++ b/notes/post_ideas.txt
@@ -51,7 +51,7 @@ _ My Identity Has a Better Brier Score Than Your Identity
 _ The Causality of Ethnic Differences in COVID-19 Outcomes Is an Open Empirical Question
 _ TV Review: "The Trouble With Edward"
 _ Comment on "One Size Does Not Fit All: In Support of Psychotherapy for Gender Dysphoria" https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-020-01844-2 (tag: `review (paper)`)
-
+_ the scapegoating dynamic
 
 optimized to confuse and intimidate people trying to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex, even if your conscious verbal narrative never says 'and now I will confuse and intimidate people who want to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex'!"
 
@@ -109,6 +109,7 @@ _ starting to lose sympathy for my crazy past-self
 
 LW/aAL—
 
+_ different ways of factoring a Bayes net of the same data make different predictions about interventions
 _ COVID life-years (rather than deaths)
 _ Signals, Deception, and the Precession of Simulacra (LW)
 _ Contra Scott Alexander on Mental Illness; Or, Oh God, Please Don't (aAL/LW)
@@ -251,7 +252,6 @@ In the Presence of Mimickry, Extension and Intension Simplicity Trade-Off
 
 Objectivity as a Rhetorical Strategy: probability, words, morality
 Focus on the Simple Case (accurate maps can have bad effects, but that's a weird second-order analysis)
-Self-Identity as Focal Point; Or, Schelf-Identity
 It Was a Complement!
 Willie McCovington
 A Human's Abridged Guide to Gender Words