content/drafts/imperfect-trait-measurements-regress-to-the-mean.md

   1 Title: Imperfect Trait Measurements Regress to the Mean
   2 Date: 2020-01-01
   3 Category: commentary
   4 Tags: epistemology
   5 Status: draft
   6
   7 (a focused post explaining this slight _technical_ countercounterpoint to the morally-laudable "treat everyone as an individual" canard; use the example of guessing people's height on seeing them from afar; do the actual conjugate-prior calculation—maybe even in both directions)
   8
   9 study material: https://people.eecs.berkeley.edu/~jordan/courses/260-spring10/lectures/lecture5.pdf