1 _ Reply to Scott Alexander on Autogenderphilia
2 _ Hrunkner Unnerby and the Shallowness of Progress
4 _ If Clarity Seems Like Death to Them (April 2019–January 2021)
5 _ Agreeing With Stalin in Ways that Exhibit Generally Rationalist Principles (February 2021)
6 _ Zevi's Choice (April 2021–April 2022)
7 _ Standing Under the Same Sky (December 2022)
8 _ The Last Indictment (January 2023–July 2023)
14 _ newer Haskell surveys?
15 _ Book Review: Imogen Binnie's Nevada
16 _ Book Review: Charles Murray's Facing Reality (short version)
19 _ Elision _vs_. Choice
20 _ Multi-Product Review: AI for AGP
21 _ Link: "On Transitions, Freedom of Form, [...]"
22 _ Beckett Mariner Is Trans https://www.reddit.com/r/DaystromInstitute/comments/in3g92/was_mariner_a_teenager_on_the_enterprised/
28 _ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data
29 _ Book Review: Charles Murray's Facing Reality: Two Truths About Race in America (with coda)
31 _ Escort (cut §, needs title)?
32 _ Biological Sex Actually Exists
33 _ Racial Pseudoscience on the Faculty https://archive.ph/ZxVYk
34 _ Never Going to Find You Faking
35 _ Body Anxiety Posting, Month Year
36 _ "But I'm Not Quite Sure What That Means"
37 _ Yardstick abolition pessimism https://culturallyboundgender.wordpress.com/2018/11/13/gender-identity-isnt-a-box-its-a-yardstick/
38 _ ASL Is Not a Language
39 _ Gaussian Gender Issues
41 _ reinterpretting all of Hannah Montana album lyrics as an AGP narrative
42 _ my medianworld: https://www.glowfic.com/replies/1619639#reply-1619639
44 _ "Reducing" Bias and Improving "Safety"
45 _ Unicode adopt-a-character?? (would it be wrong to adopt "♀"?)
46 _ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WikzbCsFjpLTRQmXn/declustering-reclustering-and-filling-in-thingspace
48 _ Karnofsky's presentism
49 _ motivation for positing meta-attraction
50 _ Joint Book Review: Kathleen Stock's Material Girls and Kathryn Paige Harden's The Genetic Lottery
51 _ Comments on the Conspiracies of dath ilan
55 _ Model-Free Happiness
58 _ "Assigned at Birth" Is a Schelling Point (If You Live in an Insane Dystopia Where the Concept of Sex Is Somehow Controversial)
59 _ Multi-Book Review: Various Sex-Ed Books for Children
60 _ "Why the Hell It Means So Much to Me"
63 More minor or Needs Development—
64 _ Correct Diagnosis as Common Interest: ideological detrans as a mirror of ideological trans: https://reclaimingtrans.wordpress.com/
65 _ "Your Politics Are Interesting" as Worst Compliment
71 _ Link: Halifax Pride: https://www.halifaxpride.com/news/2021/5/28/halifax-public-library-response
72 _ Link: You're Kidding, Right?
73 _ Link: Lease Bound comic
74 _ Link: Quillette on Sons Becoming Daughters
75 _ Link: Babylon Bee "It's a Good Life" parody https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=20ALZgd6_Ek
79 _ agents with different learning algorithms would find it hard to agree on words?
81 * Objection: but then shouldn't we pick different words for the convergent and phylo clusters? Uncomfortable with wavering lines around "berry"
82 * Reply: story for how we end up with multiple senses attached to the same word
83 https://jsmp.dk/posts/2021-01-24-fruits/
85 Trading Political Favors Doesn't Build True Maps, But Correcting Errors Your Yourself Made, Does
87 (Rationalists don't exist)
88 > how to be a strong rationalist
89 https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/4thPHxgBCvteQjLv6/against-context-free-integrity
91 _ A Hill of Validity in Defense of Meaning / Casuistry Is Unbecoming: Replies to Eliezer Yudkowsky (I don't know how to do this)
93 _ E.Y. as case study on unconscious-lying and self-report ("their verbal theories contradict their own datapoints" https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10159408250519228?comment_id=10159411435619228&reply_comment_id=10159411567794228 )
96 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zersetzung and the GPT-3 neuron about Trump: imagine a short story, where you suddenly become more villainous in the eyes of the narrative, and it's because a greater fraction of your measure is in simulations written based on an unfavorable view of your legacy (you're only aware of this because the GPT-descendant is smart enough to try to correct for it)
98 philosophy-of-language replies,
101 _ Reddit: /r/philosophy, /r/TheMotte, /r/theschism, /r/SneerClub
102 _ tags: "The SF Bay Area", "Criticisms of the Rationalist Movement", "Postmortems & Retrospectives"
104 _ "Cis" is like "gentile"
105 _ The Sex/Gender Distinction Was a Mistake
106 _ Complicity (how do reasonable people cooperate with each other instead of dumb people in their own coalition)
108 _ Stereotypes are weak probabilistic inferences (Agreeableness d~0.5), category-membership is strong inference, the same word/signal hits both, but stereotypes are (or should be) easy to cancel; shifting default meaning onto stereotypes in order to suit trans (while still having the word attach to something) is a bad trade
109 _ Taxometrics and the Fallacy of the Insufficiently Relevant, Insufficiently Multivariate Experiment
111 _ https://www.facebook.com/duncan.sabien/posts/3936528276381860 "Natural does not always mean good." — natural does not always mean good, but at our current tech level, that's actually a really good prior
112 _ Novemember 2020 Political Notes; Or, Sen. Kelly Loeffler Is Mostly Living in a Simulation Now
113 _ Phenotypic Identity and Memetic Capture
117 _ Principles (transhumanism, and sanity)
118 _ reply to https://azdoine.tumblr.com/post/173995599942/a-reply-to-unremediatedgenderspace-on-reply-to http://archive.is/JSSNi
119 _ Cynical Theories review
120 _ Persongen/univariate fallacy/typical set
121 _ reply on psych prison https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4uvgb4/?context=3
122 _ Irreversible Damage review
123 _ Jessica/wiz AGP defense
124 _ Trans Kids on the Margin, and Harms From Misleading Training Data prior: https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2019/07/19/how-many-trans-folk-are-there-really/ https://sillyolme.wordpress.com/2017/04/16/getting-lost-in-the-crowd/
125 _ "More Than We Can Say": High-Dimensional Social Science and the Conjunction of Small Effect Sizes
126 _ Comment on "Towards decolonising computational sciences" https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.14258
127 _ My Identity Has a Better Brier Score Than Your Identity
128 _ Comment on "One Size Does Not Fit All: In Support of Psychotherapy for Gender Dysphoria" https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10508-020-01844-2 (tag: `review (paper)`)
129 _ the scapegoating dynamic
130 _ review of "What's the Big Secret?" (acknowledges gender-role conventions which are more salient when people are wearing clothes, but then tells the real answer)
131 _ reply to https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2020/11/16/hermeneutical-injustice-not-gaslighting/
132 _ Comment on "On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots" https://www.reddit.com/r/MachineLearning/comments/k77sxz/d_timnit_gebru_and_google_megathread/gepcliq/ https://doxa.substack.com/p/googles-colosseum
133 - The Causality of Ethnic Differences in COVID-19 Outcomes Is an Open
134 _ follow to "Point Man": prosletyzing religion
135 _ Larmarckian Transmission of FtM?!
139 optimized to confuse and intimidate people trying to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex, even if your conscious verbal narrative never says 'and now I will confuse and intimidate people who want to use language to reason about the concept of biological sex'!"
141 I should email caption bliggers and ask if they know about AGP
142 https://www.imagefap.com/profile/rickbennett
143 https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/03/swap-clinic-testimonial-i-can-work-with.html
144 https://ericatgswapcaps.blogspot.com/2020/10/swap-clinic-win-win-win.html
146 reverse Wason selection task: https://twitter.com/ThetaGrunberg/status/1305296703088545792
148 (This needs to go into my "Motivations and Political Context")
149 Transitioning is easy if you project into the subspace spanned by "given name" and "preferred pronouns" and "frequency of wearing dresses." The problem is that it's not psychologically realistic to expect everyone else to just throw away all the other dimensions—people were using those dimensions!
151 (for Elision vs. Choice)
152 Speakers of my generation are more likely to say "person" when sex isn't relevant, whereas older works (pre-second wave feminism?) would actually say "man" (or "woman"—see how anachronistic it feels to put the female option second and in parentheses?), presumably not because human nature has changed that much, but because of shifting cultural priorities about when sex is "relevant." (Modern speakers similarly frown on mentioning race (https://agentultra.com/blog/the-black-man-stopped-me/) when it's not relevant.)
154 (My Identity Has a Better Brier Score)
155 I'm skeptical of "ace"—I think it's just an identity label that can be successfully marketed to otherwise-ordinary people in the bottom-quartile of libido, by an ideology that wants to sell people identity labels to get them to join the coalition of sexual minorities
156 You might reply: "But you identify as AGP, and attach emotional weight to that—isn't that just another identity label?"
157 but the thing about AGP is that, I actually have reason to believe it "fits" the territory of the underlying psychological variation
158 it's an expression of the theory that trans women (left-coded) and the subjects of that old Atlantic article about (right-coded) married crossdressers ("Conservative Men in Conservative Dresses") are the same thing
159 invariant under the cultural coding
162 _ Eugenics Is Actually Good, You Worthless Cowards
163 _ The One Where I Try to Be A Little More Explicit About What 'Autogynephilia' Actually Entails
164 _ No One Actually Wants to Change "Gender"
165 _ Ideology Is the General Case (working title)
166 _ Boundary Violations and Territory
167 _ three views on partisanship: "Hierarchy and Wings" "Bioleninism" "Democracy Cis and Trans"
168 _ Link: "AGPs! GROW A PAIR AND POLICE YOUR OWN COMMUNITY!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_qFxtJ7pxw Karen Davis
169 _ Gay + Trans = Straight
172 _ Walker correspondence
173 _ 30 Years of the Blank Slate (Cosmides-Tooby/Pinker/Murray)
174 _ "I Hope You're Happy, California"
175 _ Travis's Trilemma: Creepy, Crazy, or Protected-Class (working title)
176 _ Reply to Ozymandias on Lesbians and on Single-Sex Spaces
177 _ Answers on Great Divides: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2010/08/questions-for-great-divides.html
178 _ Film Review: Your Name
179 _ World of Masks https://twitter.com/zackmdavis/status/1228093035042541569
180 _ glomerular filtration rate https://www.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/gq50mo/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_may_25_2020/frvrhwg/
181 _ I Am Very Bad at Keeping Secrets and Am Therefore Very Reluctant to Offer Confidentiality Promises
183 _ starting to lose sympathy for my crazy past-self
185 "You're conflating sex and gender"—the problem is, Does anyone actually want to change "gender"?—they're bundled for a reason
187 it's important to have language for psychology because you can't point to pictures
189 Training Data—"get used" to the new definitions, in time
191 "You can follow people you disagree with!" makes sense if you think of
195 if pro-reality trans people are allied with more numerous anti-reality trans people, that incentivizes me to join an anti-trans coalition, when what I actually (should) want is to cherry-pick the pro-reality people
197 another thing keeping me from trans-IDing: trans is "marked"; choosing it would mean associating with the crazy. Normal Society (with men named Zack) has its own madnesses and crimes, but
200 Vocabulary as Capital Investment
202 _ Challenges of Mounting an Ideological Crusade
204 B.F. being smart-but-dense
206 how taxonomy/typology emerges from Bayesian networks
208 _ On Being Stereotyped Badly (working title)
212 https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/trvFowBfiKiYi7spb/open-thread-july-2019/comment/RYhKrKAxiQxY3FcHa
213 > I think sometimes I talk in a way that makes me seem more politically naïve than I actually am, because I feel as if the “naïve” attitude is in some way normative? (“You really think someone would do that? Just go on the internet and tell lies?”)
216 The Wisdom of Nature (I like the idea of transhumanism, but in practice, biology is just too complicated) https://nickbostrom.com/evolution.pdf
219 _ Product Review: FaceApp
221 _ The Strategy of "Apartment Patty" — the outrage strategy only works if you have a coalition to back you up. Deterrent: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/05/case-social-media-mobs/612202/ Another example: https://twitter.com/jaimetoons/status/1271300265170186240
223 Psychiatrist's response to me is kind of case-in-point https://old.reddit.com/r/TheMotte/comments/io1iih/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_07/g4valma/
225 you regress to your group's mean—but that depends on how you draw the category boundaries around group membership! This could be a good math post!! https://humanvarieties.org/2017/07/01/measurement-error-regression-to-the-mean-and-group-differences/
227 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia "An important fantasy for some individuals is being transformed into the preferred object (such as a statue) and experiencing an associated state of immobility or paralysis."
229 address accusation that I conflate "passing" and biosex
233 Positioning (don't want to prematurely alienate people you're trying to rescue)
235 conservatives complain about low-time preference ppl having too many kids—but from a evolutionary perspective, they're more evolutionarily fit
237 A Science Fiction Story Idea I'm Not Skilled Enough to Write
239 Names and Genders Are Not Relevantly Analogous
241 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agalmatophilia didn't make it into Lawrence's erotic target location paper, did it?
245 Anne Lawrence on AGP Teen Transition
246 Anne Lawrence on Unapologetic Autogynephilic Transsexualism
248 Butting Heads; Or, Selective Reporting and the Tragedy of Cause Prioritization
252 explain my blunder in https://twitter.com/jessi_cata/status/1188567229987577856
254 reply to https://surveyanon.wordpress.com/2019/10/27/the-mathematical-consequences-of-a-toy-model-of-gender-transition/
256 testimony on trans girl periods: http://www.onwednesdays.net/trans-girl-periods/
261 Reading Comprehension Is Rape Culture
263 Reply to David R. MacIver on Gendering
265 Trying to Be Explicit
267 Instrumental Categories, and War
269 (lit-search strategy: go through the del Guidice "Multivariate Misgivings" article and its citations; the Archer paper also mentioned this)
271 Commentary on "Blegg Mode"
273 Faster Than Science (Transgender Edition)
275 (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GEJzPwY8JedcNX2qz/blegg-mode)
277 karaoke, celebrity, cognitive load; I don't want people to do that for me
279 Option<String>?! https://web.archive.org/web/20160731010249/https://qntm.org/gay
282 _ "Lies to Cis People", a.k.a., "Lies"
283 _ I Mean, Yes, I Agree That Man Should Allocate Some More Categories, But
286 https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4ZvJab25tDebB8FGE/you-have-about-five-words : well, that explains the TWAW mantra
288 The Parable of the Good Witch
290 First-Offender Models and the Unilateralist's Blessing
291 The Parable of the Faithful Man and the Cowardly Priest
293 Game Theory of "Apartment Patty"
295 Virtue Signaling Is Costly and Honest
296 (in response to Kosoy's objection)
298 Servants of the Egregore (write-up of egregore theory as told by "Wilhelm")
300 Kolmogorov's Iron Triangle; Or, the Not-Being-a-Worthless-Coward Option (epigraph quote: Raleigh's "The Lie")—(include analogy: the fear that atheism would lead to immortality given that ppl don't have to fear Hell, wouldn't have seemed obviously absurd at the time) — honesty, ability to think, and mainstream credibility. The Kolmogorov option sacrifices a lot of honesty in exchange for mainstream credibility. This might seem like a good trade until you consider that "honesty" and "ability to think" aren't independent (because people are bad at compartmentalization and we need to talk to each other to think together).
302 Research Question: Complicity
305 Where to Segment a Conversation When There's Stuff You Won't Touch, Without Violating the Virtue of Evenness
306 In Praise of Cartesianism (you need to _really_ understand "A Human's Guide to Words" before you can do high-grade good-faith social constructionism)
308 Sex Differences and Commonsense Priors (I have parsimony intuitions that make "AGP is caused by pollution" or "AGP is normal in cis women" or "hormone receptors distributions are the same" seem not worth considering)
310 In the Presence of Mimickry, Extension and Intension Simplicity Trade-Off
312 Objectivity as a Rhetorical Strategy: probability, words, morality
313 Focus on the Simple Case (accurate maps can have bad effects, but that's a weird second-order analysis)
316 A Human's Abridged Guide to Gender Words
320 in a world where we _actually had_ sex change technology, self-identity doctrine _wouldn't even occur to anyone_
322 Operationalization of Bad Faith: if people make reasoning errors that they wouldn't make with another topic having the same underlying structure
326 The Charity Convergence Trap
334 a big essay about Batesian mimickry
337 _ Codes of Convergence; Or, Smile More
339 _ "I Will Fight [...]": LGBT Patriotism and the Moral Fine-Tuning Objection
346 _ The View From Nowhere
350 _ reply to Ozy on https://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2017/08/03/rapid-onset-gender-dysphoria-is-bad-science/ (when marketing in Culture War thread, maybe hat tip https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/9cir3w/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_september_03/e5c1h2c/ )
351 _ Q An Infovist's Advisory; Or, Standing Athwart History ...
356 ✓ Interlude XVII (not all men)
358 can the comment on "Bit Players" actually fit on this blog (I didn't empathize with offense at fake physics, but I can take offense at maximum-entropy psychology): epigraph quote, "It's Only a Paper Moon"
360 Q As Well for a Sheep as a Lamb; Or, Charity, Objectivity, and ...
363 _ Stereotypes, Models, and Cognition: Beyond Maximum-Entropy Psychology
364 Imperfect Trait Measurements Regress to the Mean
365 Q The Gender Czar's Compromise
369 Q Book Review: Nevada
370 Product Review: Oculus Go
372 All You Had to Say https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/8xa97t/culture_war_roundup_for_the_week_of_july_09_2018/e228vyj/
378 Q Time Travel Isn't Real; Or, Yes, the Only Real Trans Woman Is a Transitioned Trans Woman
379 _ The Neglect of Probability Fallacy; Or, You Do Not Have an Intersex Condition
380 Q Simple Models Plus Noise Are Better Than Pretending Not to Have a Model
381 Falsifiability and What We Expect Not to See
383 Q The Hand I Was Dealt
384 "diagonalize" http://gender-decoder.katmatfield.com/ by running the research paper it was based on through it
385 Q Reduce Gender Identities to Gender Goals
386 Threnody for the Transhumanism of My Youth
387 of course trans genders are less natural; that's the entire fucking point
388 People Really Don't Know Why They Do Things
389 Q I Want to See You Be Brave
390 Passing Is Legitimacy, Legitimacy Is Passing
391 All Men Benefit From Patriarchy
392 (the story about my name)
393 Review of Nerve Endings: The New Trans Erotic
394 on the poor literary quality of TG captions
395 "Another Me I Haven't Met" (SacAnime cosplay review)
396 go back to east bay tg club night?
397 Product Review: Glamour Boutique's Vee-String Bladder
398 Q This Is Worth a Fight
399 "Trans Women Are Women" is a Positive-Affect Instance of the Noncentral Fallacy
403 story of Gina and Vern selected for GNC
404 story about women engineers and male businesspeople
405 story about race of humans who have a "sneaky" camoflauge form and someone with their analogue of AGP tries to deliberately lower his status to get it
406 fix fic for that one episode of _The Orville_