Ultimately_Untrue_Thought.git
13 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Mon, 3 Apr 2023 05:42:28 +0000 (22:42 -0700)]
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13 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 1 Apr 2023 01:26:05 +0000 (18:26 -0700)]
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13 months agomemoir: the insanity defense against tone policing
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 31 Mar 2023 23:38:40 +0000 (16:38 -0700)]
memoir: the insanity defense against tone policing

13 months agomemoir: lit exam—the third bluebook
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 31 Mar 2023 21:32:31 +0000 (14:32 -0700)]
memoir: lit exam—the third bluebook

13 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 31 Mar 2023 05:14:50 +0000 (22:14 -0700)]
check in

13 months agomemoir: lit exam—the first two bluebooks
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 31 Mar 2023 03:48:23 +0000 (20:48 -0700)]
memoir: lit exam—the first two bluebooks

13 months agomemoir: lit exam ...
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 30 Mar 2023 04:16:00 +0000 (21:16 -0700)]
memoir: lit exam ...

I want to recount some of the things I said before I started the exam
without disrupting the exposition there, so I moved it earlier where
it fits in thematically, but that just creates a horrible seam where
the corrigibility quip clashes with RationalMoron's question ... I can
fix it.

This has not been a great day, but I met my wordcount quota, so I can
feel OK about myself.

13 months agomemoir: peace talks
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 29 Mar 2023 21:46:34 +0000 (14:46 -0700)]
memoir: peace talks

13 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 29 Mar 2023 05:03:21 +0000 (22:03 -0700)]
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13 months agomemoir: Eliezerfic—editing, Big Yud lays down the challenge
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 29 Mar 2023 05:00:42 +0000 (22:00 -0700)]
memoir: Eliezerfic—editing, Big Yud lays down the challenge

13 months agomemoir: progress towards discussing the real thing
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 29 Mar 2023 05:00:02 +0000 (22:00 -0700)]
memoir: progress towards discussing the real thing

13 months agomemoir: "Causal Reality"/"Self-Consciousness" slapfight, to § end
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 28 Mar 2023 22:10:56 +0000 (15:10 -0700)]
memoir: "Causal Reality"/"Self-Consciousness" slapfight, to § end

13 months agomemoir: NRx education, late '16/early '17
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 28 Mar 2023 04:41:46 +0000 (21:41 -0700)]
memoir: NRx education, late '16/early '17

13 months agomemoir: some net tasks; timestamps surprised me
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 28 Mar 2023 00:55:44 +0000 (17:55 -0700)]
memoir: some net tasks; timestamps surprised me

hovered over the the "6y ago" stamps on Facebook (while I had network
earlier today) unearthed surprising sequence details about what
happened exactly when

13 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sun, 26 Mar 2023 06:19:02 +0000 (23:19 -0700)]
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13 months agomemoir: "Causal vs. Social Reality" scuffle
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sun, 26 Mar 2023 06:17:41 +0000 (23:17 -0700)]
memoir: "Causal vs. Social Reality" scuffle

13 months agoGPT-4 guest post
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sun, 26 Mar 2023 04:32:28 +0000 (21:32 -0700)]
GPT-4 guest post

13 months agomemoir: back-and-forth to explain the concept
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 25 Mar 2023 23:10:24 +0000 (16:10 -0700)]
memoir: back-and-forth to explain the concept

13 months agocheck in ... and thinking about an advance
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 25 Mar 2023 03:54:34 +0000 (20:54 -0700)]
check in ... and thinking about an advance

Given that a lot of the unwritten sections are in pt. 4 and 6, I'm
thinking that I should prioritize getting a pt. 2 draft filled out, so
that I can polish and publish pts. 2 and 3 sooner (without 4–6 having
been done yet). It impose a little bit of communication overhead on my
friends re: clearances, but probably not insufferably much.

For now, I should just focus on cranking out 1000-wordcount days
(tomorrow, and the 27–31) as planned, but on 2 April, maybe I should
think about what it would look like to shove pt. 2 and 3 out the door
early?

So much time pressure in the current year.

13 months agomemoir: sleepless Valentine's Day meltdown 2017
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 25 Mar 2023 03:52:37 +0000 (20:52 -0700)]
memoir: sleepless Valentine's Day meltdown 2017

13 months agomemoir: the tragedy of scaling
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 25 Mar 2023 03:08:17 +0000 (20:08 -0700)]
memoir: the tragedy of scaling

13 months agomemoir: fewer arrows, more power
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 24 Mar 2023 16:56:23 +0000 (09:56 -0700)]
memoir: fewer arrows, more power

13 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 24 Mar 2023 04:54:26 +0000 (21:54 -0700)]
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13 months agomemoir: February 2017 Facebook meltdown, cont'd
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 24 Mar 2023 04:49:38 +0000 (21:49 -0700)]
memoir: February 2017 Facebook meltdown, cont'd

13 months agomemoir: "but I'm staying in"
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 24 Mar 2023 02:08:53 +0000 (19:08 -0700)]
memoir: "but I'm staying in"

13 months agomemoir: tone-policing Lawrence
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 23 Mar 2023 22:46:50 +0000 (15:46 -0700)]
memoir: tone-policing Lawrence

13 months agomemoir: February 2017 public Facebook meltdown
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 23 Mar 2023 05:17:44 +0000 (22:17 -0700)]
memoir: February 2017 public Facebook meltdown

13 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 22 Mar 2023 04:46:03 +0000 (21:46 -0700)]
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13 months agomemoir: some fine details to the parts about "Helen" and Sophia
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 21 Mar 2023 20:45:37 +0000 (13:45 -0700)]
memoir: some fine details to the parts about "Helen" and Sophia

Writing is impossible! (Even little parts of the story that don't
"really matter" have all sorts of little details to them—I added a
point to the far editing tier where I still don't think I got this
right—and I want to explain the details correctly because I think it's
a cute window onto the tapestry of my life, but if I spend too long on
every detail, then I'm not going to finish telling the Whole Dumb
Story before the world ends)

13 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Mon, 20 Mar 2023 20:55:05 +0000 (13:55 -0700)]
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13 months agomemoir: feminism consult, "doesn't unambiguously refer", Ben 1st contact
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 18 Mar 2023 23:28:35 +0000 (16:28 -0700)]
memoir: feminism consult, "doesn't unambiguously refer", Ben 1st contact

13 months agomemoir check in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 18 Mar 2023 05:35:45 +0000 (22:35 -0700)]
memoir check in

13 months agomemoir: Sophia knows more statistics than me
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 18 Mar 2023 05:34:01 +0000 (22:34 -0700)]
memoir: Sophia knows more statistics than me

13 months agomemoir: Sophia correspondence
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 18 Mar 2023 00:35:13 +0000 (17:35 -0700)]
memoir: Sophia correspondence

13 months agomemoir: "Helen" and Sophia
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 17 Mar 2023 04:33:51 +0000 (21:33 -0700)]
memoir: "Helen" and Sophia

13 months agomemoir: secrets vs. spoilers
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 17 Mar 2023 01:44:19 +0000 (18:44 -0700)]
memoir: secrets vs. spoilers

13 months agodiff column to wordcount CSV
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 16 Mar 2023 05:46:47 +0000 (22:46 -0700)]
diff column to wordcount CSV

We want four-figure diffs to be normal, not unusually good!

13 months agomemoir: feminism consultation/counterfactual phone anxiety advice
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 16 Mar 2023 05:38:41 +0000 (22:38 -0700)]
memoir: feminism consultation/counterfactual phone anxiety advice

13 months agocheck in (incl. memoir—tap at December 2019 blogging spree)
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 16 Mar 2023 00:44:42 +0000 (17:44 -0700)]
check in (incl. memoir—tap at December 2019 blogging spree)

13 months agomemoir: "The AI Timelines Scam"
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 15 Mar 2023 20:25:17 +0000 (13:25 -0700)]
memoir: "The AI Timelines Scam"

13 months agomemoir: children's lessons without very advanced math
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 14 Mar 2023 00:16:29 +0000 (17:16 -0700)]
memoir: children's lessons without very advanced math

13 months agosome net tasks
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sun, 12 Mar 2023 22:44:12 +0000 (15:44 -0700)]
some net tasks

13 months agomemoir: "nobody stays here by faking reality in any manner whatever"
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sun, 12 Mar 2023 06:38:54 +0000 (22:38 -0800)]
memoir: "nobody stays here by faking reality in any manner whatever"

13 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 11 Mar 2023 05:40:25 +0000 (21:40 -0800)]
check in

13 months agomemoir: Eliezerfic fight (authorial fiat), poke at conclusion
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 11 Mar 2023 05:28:42 +0000 (21:28 -0800)]
memoir: Eliezerfic fight (authorial fiat), poke at conclusion

13 months agomemoir: Eliezerfic fight, cont'd
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 10 Mar 2023 05:23:59 +0000 (21:23 -0800)]
memoir: Eliezerfic fight, cont'd

14 months agomemoir: "always a complicated person"
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 9 Mar 2023 06:12:18 +0000 (22:12 -0800)]
memoir: "always a complicated person"

Separately from getting caught up in fighting on Less Wrong, I think
I've been self-deceiving about fitting in time to finish this §?
(Because it hurts to confront the part where I'm fighting Big Yud.)
The fact that I wrote committed this today is a good sign that I'm
facing the reality (even if a lot of the day's wordcount isn't "real"
because it's Discord blockquotes, and even part of the text that
isn't, is edited from Discord logs with Scott).

14 months agomemoir check-in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 8 Mar 2023 04:36:45 +0000 (20:36 -0800)]
memoir check-in

14 months agomemoir: "LessWrong.com is dead to me", pt. 1
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 7 Mar 2023 01:49:57 +0000 (17:49 -0800)]
memoir: "LessWrong.com is dead to me", pt. 1

14 months agomemoir: "Unnatural Categories" publication
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Mon, 6 Mar 2023 19:15:26 +0000 (11:15 -0800)]
memoir: "Unnatural Categories" publication

14 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Mon, 6 Mar 2023 15:34:15 +0000 (07:34 -0800)]
check in

14 months agomemoir: Eliezerfic fight poke
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 1 Mar 2023 04:18:40 +0000 (20:18 -0800)]
memoir: Eliezerfic fight poke

14 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 28 Feb 2023 20:26:00 +0000 (12:26 -0800)]
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14 months agomemoir: theory of conspiracies
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 28 Feb 2023 06:11:41 +0000 (22:11 -0800)]
memoir: theory of conspiracies

14 months agomemoir: slapfight on "Yes Requires"
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sun, 26 Feb 2023 02:47:09 +0000 (18:47 -0800)]
memoir: slapfight on "Yes Requires"

14 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 25 Feb 2023 05:40:23 +0000 (21:40 -0800)]
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14 months agomemoir: New York
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 25 Feb 2023 05:39:33 +0000 (21:39 -0800)]
memoir: New York

14 months agomemoir: the Death with Dignity era (plug §)
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 25 Feb 2023 04:48:41 +0000 (20:48 -0800)]
memoir: the Death with Dignity era (plug §)

There's actually a lot more to be said here (about psychologically
preparing for the end, about better-prepared alternate worlds and the
profound silliness of the Asimov universe), but if I'm not immediately
sure how to say it, I think I'm OK with filling in the gap of this
TODO block (as forward progress towards a continuous ms. without gaps)
with the understanding that I can add more later if the structure
comes to me.

14 months agomemoir: last email and not bothering him anymore
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 24 Feb 2023 20:34:02 +0000 (12:34 -0800)]
memoir: last email and not bothering him anymore

14 months agomemoir: "Autogenderphilia Is Common"
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 24 Feb 2023 03:10:57 +0000 (19:10 -0800)]
memoir: "Autogenderphilia Is Common"

I was imagining just dumping the text of my draft into the memoir, but
it's too much of a digression; it does need to be a separate post.

14 months agomemoir: Valinor before and after COVID
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 23 Feb 2023 06:10:07 +0000 (22:10 -0800)]
memoir: Valinor before and after COVID

If I'm willing to give adults pseudonyms for political cover, then the
final version probably shouldn't use children's names at all—maybe not
even for their sake (as I do the moral accounting), but to look less
creepy to third-party readers. But we can cover that in a future edit
pass after privacy negotiations.

14 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 23 Feb 2023 00:53:24 +0000 (16:53 -0800)]
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14 months agomemoir: October 2021 Discord parley with Scott
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 23 Feb 2023 00:51:10 +0000 (16:51 -0800)]
memoir: October 2021 Discord parley with Scott

14 months agomemoir: date night in Cambridge, conclusion
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 22 Feb 2023 00:43:37 +0000 (16:43 -0800)]
memoir: date night in Cambridge, conclusion

14 months agomemoir: date night in Cambridge, pt. 2
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 21 Feb 2023 01:26:17 +0000 (17:26 -0800)]
memoir: date night in Cambridge, pt. 2

14 months agomemoir: Facebook image receipts
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Mon, 20 Feb 2023 04:43:46 +0000 (20:43 -0800)]
memoir: Facebook image receipts

14 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Mon, 20 Feb 2023 03:29:55 +0000 (19:29 -0800)]
check in

14 months agoremove `anchor-` from anchors in "... To Make Predictions"
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sun, 19 Feb 2023 01:52:56 +0000 (17:52 -0800)]
remove `anchor-` from anchors in "... To Make Predictions"

14 months agomemoir: Sabbatai Zevi
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 18 Feb 2023 06:11:54 +0000 (22:11 -0800)]
memoir: Sabbatai Zevi

14 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 17 Feb 2023 06:38:35 +0000 (22:38 -0800)]
check in

14 months agomemoir: the case for voting for nincompoops
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 17 Feb 2023 06:37:09 +0000 (22:37 -0800)]
memoir: the case for voting for nincompoops

14 months agomemoir: pie-splitting contest
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 16 Feb 2023 03:23:48 +0000 (19:23 -0800)]
memoir: pie-splitting contest

14 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 15 Feb 2023 19:13:12 +0000 (11:13 -0800)]
check in

14 months agomemoir: outlining about threats
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 14 Feb 2023 07:35:58 +0000 (23:35 -0800)]
memoir: outlining about threats

14 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Mon, 13 Feb 2023 16:15:14 +0000 (08:15 -0800)]
check in

14 months agocopy edits and Facebook screenshots from prereader feedback
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sun, 12 Feb 2023 20:38:18 +0000 (12:38 -0800)]
copy edits and Facebook screenshots from prereader feedback

14 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sun, 12 Feb 2023 06:26:53 +0000 (22:26 -0800)]
check in

14 months agomemoir: tap at Discord parley with Scott
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sun, 12 Feb 2023 06:26:14 +0000 (22:26 -0800)]
memoir: tap at Discord parley with Scott

14 months agomemoir: tap at threats §
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sun, 12 Feb 2023 00:14:04 +0000 (16:14 -0800)]
memoir: tap at threats §

Not sure how to weave in the Emerson prosecution anecdote; keep
rolling

14 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 11 Feb 2023 05:29:30 +0000 (21:29 -0800)]
check in

14 months agomemoir: threats and timeless decision theory
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 11 Feb 2023 05:28:03 +0000 (21:28 -0800)]
memoir: threats and timeless decision theory

14 months agomemoir: Eliezerfic fight, cont'd cont'd
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 10 Feb 2023 03:33:43 +0000 (19:33 -0800)]
memoir: Eliezerfic fight, cont'd cont'd

14 months agomemoir: Eliezerfic fight, cont'd ...
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 9 Feb 2023 05:05:50 +0000 (21:05 -0800)]
memoir: Eliezerfic fight, cont'd ...

14 months agomemoir: why not comment
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 9 Feb 2023 00:47:41 +0000 (16:47 -0800)]
memoir: why not comment

14 months agocheck in against self-deception
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 8 Feb 2023 05:58:13 +0000 (21:58 -0800)]
check in against self-deception

...

15 months agomemoir: Eliezerfic fight ...
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 7 Feb 2023 01:19:31 +0000 (17:19 -0800)]
memoir: Eliezerfic fight ...

15 months agomemoir: editing prelude to Eliezerfic fight
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 31 Jan 2023 06:52:45 +0000 (22:52 -0800)]
memoir: editing prelude to Eliezerfic fight

15 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 28 Jan 2023 06:02:19 +0000 (22:02 -0800)]
check in

15 months agomemoir: yank out a new pt. 6?!
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 27 Jan 2023 19:24:50 +0000 (11:24 -0800)]
memoir: yank out a new pt. 6?!

"Agreeing With Stalin" was starting to push 30K words, and I still
have the bulk of the Eliezerfic fight analysis to write, and the
analysis of what's wrong with the "agreeing with Stalin" policy
deserves to be the central focus of its own blog post, without too
much Diary-like blather hanging off either end of it.

15 months agomemoir: Feynman
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Fri, 27 Jan 2023 19:07:40 +0000 (11:07 -0800)]
memoir: Feynman

15 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 26 Jan 2023 06:41:22 +0000 (22:41 -0800)]
check in

15 months agomemoir: date night in Cambridge, pt. 1
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Thu, 26 Jan 2023 06:38:05 +0000 (22:38 -0800)]
memoir: date night in Cambridge, pt. 1

15 months agomemoir: "Vassarite" discourse
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 25 Jan 2023 05:31:49 +0000 (21:31 -0800)]
memoir: "Vassarite" discourse

15 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Wed, 25 Jan 2023 05:31:01 +0000 (21:31 -0800)]
check in

15 months agomemoir: bullet notes of Boston–New York trip
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 24 Jan 2023 17:56:51 +0000 (09:56 -0800)]
memoir: bullet notes of Boston–New York trip

I hadn't previously thought of including this, but reviewing the
transcript of my conversation with Scott about "Vassarite" danger
reminded me of it, and it feels like it adds "color" to the story,
revealing information about real life that people don't ordinarily
write about?

15 months agocheck in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 24 Jan 2023 06:35:59 +0000 (22:35 -0800)]
check in

15 months agomemoir poke: Jessica's memoir
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Tue, 24 Jan 2023 06:35:30 +0000 (22:35 -0800)]
memoir poke: Jessica's memoir

15 months agogather/check in
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Mon, 23 Jan 2023 05:48:13 +0000 (21:48 -0800)]
gather/check in

15 months agomemoir: Extraordinary EMT Merrin
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sun, 22 Jan 2023 03:10:19 +0000 (19:10 -0800)]
memoir: Extraordinary EMT Merrin

15 months agomemoir: Glowfic/dath ilan intro
M. Taylor Saotome-Westlake [Sat, 21 Jan 2023 05:28:33 +0000 (21:28 -0800)]
memoir: Glowfic/dath ilan intro